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MINN

Minnesota 10 at Iowa 17

IOWA
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:56 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:00: Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 45 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +10.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:37: Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +16.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:37: Ryan Santoso kickoff for 54 yds , Ivory Kelly-Martin return for 19 yds to the Iowa 30 — IOWA win probability +6.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:37: Stanley, Nate pass complete to Hockenson, T.J. for 9 yards to the IOWA39 (McGhee, D), PENALTY IOWA holding (Hockenson, T.J.) 10 yards to the IOWA20, NO PLAY. — IOWA win probability +6.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:28: Emmit Carpenter 33 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +4.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MINN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 12:37MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27IOWA 4th & 2 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47MINN 4th & 1 at IOWA 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:34MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:05MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:24IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:41MINN 4th & 9 at IOWA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:58IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:49MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:00MINN 4th & 21 at MINN 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:03IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:03MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:55IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:37IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:40MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:34IOWA 4th & 5 at MINN 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−6.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:28MINN 4th & 10 at IOWA 15, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−2.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:20IOWA 4th & 5 at MINN 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−0.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:21MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:37IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:00IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:37MINN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2368% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
67.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 22 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
67.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 25 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
67.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 5 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+16
67.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Minn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
68.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.2%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
68.2%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
68.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+5
68.3%
Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
68.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
68.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
50
0
68.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 2
50
0
68.7%
Ryan Gersonde punt for 25 yds, downed at the Minn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4DOWNS
16 plays · 68 yds · 4:0931% → 30%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.7%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
68.4%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
68.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
68.6%
Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
68.4%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+16
68.5%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 16 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
68.3%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+10
68.2%
[SG], Croft, Demry pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY IOWA holding (Rugamba, Manny) 10 yards to the IOWA27, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
68.1%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
68.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
70.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
69.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
69.6%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Jake GervaseSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+8
70.1%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 8 yds to the Iowa 7Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
70.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
71.1%
Nathan Stanley pass intercepted Jacob Huff return for no gain to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
70.6%
Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+11
70.6%
Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
70.6%
Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
70.0%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
70.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
70.0%
Demry Croft pass intercepted, touchback. Jake Gervase return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3671% → 71%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
71.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
71.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 0
0
70.6%
Gersonde, Ryan punt 39 yards to the MINN37, downed, PENALTY IOWA illegal formation 0 yards to the IOWA24, NO PLAY, PENALTY MINN roughing the kicker 0 yards to the IOWA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+47
70.7%
Ryan Gersonde punt for 37 yds MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Minn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
71.8%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
71.9%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
72.3%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:34
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
72.6%
Ryan Santoso punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.8%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
71.8%
Butler, James rush left for 13 yards to the IOWA40 (McGhee, D;Umlor, Nate), PENALTY IOWA holding (Render, Keegan) 10 yards to the IOWA17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+7
71.5%
Nathan Stanley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
71.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ivory Kelly-MartinSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
70.8%
Ryan Gersonde punt for 50 yds, downed at the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
72.5%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Shannon BrooksSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+16
72.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 16 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
71.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
70.9%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
71.0%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
72.1%
Ryan Santoso punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
72.6%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
72.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. Hockenson, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+5
72.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 5 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
71.5%
Ryan Gersonde punt for 39 yds, downed at the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0127% → 26%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
73.1%
Rodney Smith run for 17 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
71.6%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+9
73.3%
Demry Croft pass complete to Eric Carter for 9 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-2
71.8%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
73.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
74.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 4 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+9
74.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
74.5%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 17 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
75.7%
Stanley, Nate rush left for 4 yards to the IOWA44, out-of-bounds (Harris, Justus), PENALTY IOWA holding (Welsh, Sean) 10 yards to the IOWA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+6
74.5%
Nathan Stanley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+5
74.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
74.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
73.5%
Colten Rastetter punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5225% → 23%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
75.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-4
75.4%
Demry Croft sacked by Cedrick Lattimore for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 11Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+6
76.7%
Demry Croft run for 6 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
77.2%
Ryan Santoso punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
76.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
76.6%
James Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
76.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+19
75.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to James Butler for 19 yds James Butler fumbled, forced by Ken Handy-Holly, recovered by Minn Ken Handy-HollySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 25%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
76.4%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-2
75.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
73.2%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
72.6%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
73.3%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Joshua JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+2
74.6%
Ryan Santoso punt for 43 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:2575% → 86%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
74.8%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+3
74.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+11
73.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 11 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
76.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
86.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 45 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
84.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
83.7%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
83.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
84.0%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-9
84.0%
Demry Croft sacked by Parker Hesse for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 25 MINNESOTA Penalty, intentional grounding (Demry Croft) to the Minn 25Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 18
OWN 25
-3
85.2%
Demry Croft run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 22Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 21
OWN 22
0
85.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 43 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for no gain to the Iowa 22 IOWA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
87.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
87.1%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBerg, broken up by Adekunle AyindeSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
86.5%
Colten Rastetter punt for 40 yds, downed at the Minn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
85.6%
Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
85.0%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
84.8%
Demry Croft run for no gain to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
85.2%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Joshua JacksonSimilar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
85.9%
Ryan Santoso punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
89.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
89.3%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
88.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
88.3%
Ryan Gersonde punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:5213% → 28%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
86.7%
Demry Croft run for 7 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+7
86.2%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
85.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+13
85.5%
Demry Croft pass complete to Kobe McCrary for 13 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
85.5%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Iowa 14Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+10
85.5%
Demry Croft pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 10 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
88.1%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.0%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
84.2%
Stanley, Nate pass complete to Hockenson, T.J. for 9 yards to the IOWA39 (McGhee, D), PENALTY IOWA holding (Hockenson, T.J.) 10 yards to the IOWA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+6
83.9%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+3
83.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
83.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
82.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 41 yds , Drew Hmielewski returns for no gain to the Minn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
80.1%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
80.0%
Demry Croft sacked by Bo Bower for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+7
82.2%
Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 7 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+2
82.0%
Ryan Santoso punt for 41 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:5686% → 91%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
86.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 8 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
86.6%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
87.3%
Stanley, Nate pass incomplete to Smith-Marsette,, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Harris, Justus) 15 yards to the MINN47, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
88.0%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
88.1%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
88.2%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+6
88.2%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
88.2%
James Butler run for no gain to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
88.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Brady Ross for 5 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
87.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
91.3%
Miguel Recinos 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 27FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:068% → 13%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+63
91.9%
Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 63 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
88.4%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
88.4%
Demry Croft pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
91.4%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark Williams MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
87.1%
Emmit Carpenter 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:0892% → 95%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
91.7%
Nathan Stanley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
91.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+17
93.8%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 17 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
94.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
94.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-2
95.5%
James Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 5
OPP 46
+4
95.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 35 yds , Drew Hmielewski returns for 4 yds to the Minn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
92.8%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
93.0%
Demry Croft run for 5 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
93.1%
Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 5
OWN 20
-2
93.3%
Demry Croft sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-2
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:37
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q3 11:00
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 45 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
+10
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:37
Ryan Santoso kickoff for 54 yds , Ivory Kelly-Martin return for 19 yds to the Iowa 30
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com