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WIS

Wisconsin 24 at Illinois 10

ILL
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:12 · Blake Hayes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior−45.1Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:07: Garrett Groshek 2 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:01: Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36 — WIS win probability +2.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:30: Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42 — WIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:54: Michael Deiter 4 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:49: Kendrick Foster 3 Yd Run (Chase McLaughlin Kick) — ILL win probability +2.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:32WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45WIS 4th & 4 at ILL 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:12ILL 4th & 11 at WIS 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07WIS 4th & 1 at ILL 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:34ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:39ILL 4th & 10 at WIS 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:31ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:04WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:25ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:38WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:12ILL 4th & 6 at WIS 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:41WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:07WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:07WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:54WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:49ILL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2096% → 95%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
4.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
4.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
4.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mike Dudek at the Illin 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:125% → 5%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
4.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic ThiemanSimilar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
4.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+9
4.7%
Cam Thomas pass intercepted Derrick Tindal return for 9 yds to the Illin 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1595% → 95%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
4.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-1
4.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
5.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
5.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:285% → 6%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
5.2%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
5.2%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+29
5.3%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Malik Turner for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
50
+2
5.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+9
5.9%
Cam Thomas run for 9 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
6.1%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
6.3%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
6.3%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Dominic ThiemanSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
6.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
17 plays · 92 yds · 7:5894% → 93%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
6.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
6.4%
A.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
6.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+5
6.8%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
6.6%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 24Similar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+7
6.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
6.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
6.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
7.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
7.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
7.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 29 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
7.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+9
7.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
7.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Illin 4Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
8.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Illin 2Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
8.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Illin 1Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.3%
Alec Ingold 1 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:268% → 8%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.7%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
7.7%
Cam Thomas run for 8 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
8.0%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+56
7.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the ILLINOIS 25 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:5192% → 92%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
8.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
8.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+18
8.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 18 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
8.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
8.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+20
8.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Bennett Williams return for 20 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:1110% → 9%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
9.9%
Cam Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
9.8%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-5
9.4%
Jeff George Jr. sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line Jeff George Jr. fumbled, forced by Tyler Johnson, recovered by Wisc Alec James , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:0892% → 94%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
50
+4
8.4%
Quintez Cephus run for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+28
8.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 13 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (James Knight) to the Illin 18 for a 1ST down. ILLINOIS James Knight ejected for TargetingSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
8.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
8.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Illin 10Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+6
8.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
8.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Illin 2Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.4%
Garrett Groshek 2 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:217% → 10%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.8%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
7.0%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 10 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
7.3%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Mike Dudek for 20 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
7.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
8.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
8.2%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Mike Dudek for 7 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
8.3%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic ThiemanSimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+6
8.1%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Mike Dudek for 6 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
8.3%
Cam Thomas run for 11 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
8.4%
Cam Thomas run for 4 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
8.5%
Jeff George Jr. sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 10 Jeff George Jr. fumbled, forced by Chris Orr, recovered by Illin Doug Kramer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
8.2%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic ThiemanSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
9.6%
Chase McLaughlin 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:2591% → 94%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
8.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 19 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
8.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
8.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 15 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
8.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+52
6.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:228% → 8%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
7.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 18 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
8.3%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
8.3%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
7.8%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
7.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:1993% → 93%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
7.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+12
7.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 12 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
7.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 9 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
6.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
6.7%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Tymir Oliver for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+4
7.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+9
6.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 9 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
7.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Turner at the Illin 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:338% → 8%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
7.6%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Reggie CorbinSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
7.6%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+14
7.3%
Cam Thomas run for 14 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
7.7%
Cam Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 24Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 13
OWN 24
-8
7.6%
Cam Thomas sacked by Alec James for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 16Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 21
OWN 16
+15
7.4%
Cam Thomas pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 15 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
7.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , Nick Nelson returns for no gain to the Wisc 27 Nick Nelson fumbled, recovered by WiscSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3593% → 93%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
6.7%
Quintez Cephus run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
6.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+7
6.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 7 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
6.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
6.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
6.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
6.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds, downed at the Illin 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:188% → 9%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
7.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
7.4%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+10
7.2%
George Jr., Jeff pass complete to Turner, Malik for 6 yards to the ILLINOIS28, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Orr, Chris) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.Similar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
7.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
7.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+29
7.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 29 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
9.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
9.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
9.2%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Louis DorseySimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
8.6%
Chase McLaughlin 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
5.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-1
5.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
5.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+8
5.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 51 yds , Malik Turner returns for 8 yds to the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:008% → 6%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
7.7%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Caleb ReamsSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
7.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+27
8.1%
Cam Thomas run for 27 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
9.4%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
9.2%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+13
7.9%
Cam Thomas run for 13 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
8.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-10
7.8%
Corbin, Reggie rush for no gain to the WISCONSIN18, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Dorsey, Louis) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+37
6.3%
Cam Thomas pass intercepted Joe Ferguson return for 37 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:3696% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
4.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+11
4.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 11 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
3.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 24 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
3.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+18
3.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 18 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
3.6%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Illin 3Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
3.3%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 4Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.5%
Michael Deiter 4 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:011% → 3%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
1.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 14 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
1.0%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 26 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
1.1%
Jeff George Jr. sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+9
1.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 9 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+15
0.9%
George Jr., Jeff pass incomplete to Smalling, Ricky, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Carriere-Williams, Dontye) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.Similar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
1.1%
Jeff George Jr. sacked by Alec James for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+10
0.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 10 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+15
0.9%
George Jr., Jeff pass incomplete to Smalling, Ricky, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.Similar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.3%
Kendrick Foster 3 Yd Run (Chase McLaughlin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:01
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36
-2.9
TD · Q4 0:49
Kendrick Foster 3 Yd Run (Chase McLaughlin Kick)
+2.4
TD · Q2 7:07
Garrett Groshek 2 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com