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MD

Maryland 13 at Wisconsin 38

WIS
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:03 · Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+27.5Home team on offense+10.7Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:02: Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:32: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:15: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:50: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 10 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +3.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:10: Austin Ramesh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:09MD 4th & 20 at MD 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:55MD 4th & 1 at WIS 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:26MD 4th & 9 at WIS 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52MD 4th & 5 at WIS 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:57MD 4th & 14 at MD 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:03WIS 4th & 1 at MD 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05WIS 4th & 7 at MD 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:15WIS 4th & 6 at MD 42, up 18
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:39MD 4th & 10 at WIS 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:29MD 4th & 14 at WIS 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:04MD 4th & 18 at MD 40, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:36WIS 4th & 1 at MD 15, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:18WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:02WIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32WIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:15WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:50MD Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:10WIS Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1INT TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:347% → 7%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.4%
Ty Johnson run for 15 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
93.2%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
93.1%
Ty Johnson run for 8 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
93.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Olive Sagapolu for a loss of 10 yards to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+8
92.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lorenzo Harrison III for 8 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+54
93.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted for a TD T.J. Edwards return for 54 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:597% → 7%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
92.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lorenzo Harrison III for 11 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
92.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-15
92.8%
Bortenschlager, Max pass complete to Johnson, Ty for 6 yards to the MARYLAND41, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Edwards, Avery) 15 yards to the MARYLAND20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 28
OWN 20
+4
92.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lorenzo Harrison III for 4 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 24
OWN 24
+4
92.7%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
92.7%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2793% → 92%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
92.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-5
92.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (David Edwards) to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+15
92.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 15 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+10
92.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
92.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
92.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+21
92.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Josh Woods return for 21 yds to the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 4:598% → 9%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.8%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
91.7%
Max Bortenschlager run for 1 yd to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+8
91.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 8 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+5
91.5%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
91.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+3
91.1%
Bortenschlager, Max pass incomplete to Moore, D.J., PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Dixon, D'Cota) 3 yards to the WISCONSIN36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND.Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
91.1%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-2
90.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lorenzo Harrison III for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
91.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 1 yd to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
91.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
91.1%
Wade Lees punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wisc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
91.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 5 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Brett Kulka, recovered by Mary Darnell Savage Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2310% → 10%
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.2%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Wisc 5Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
89.8%
Henry Darmstadter 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3590% → 93%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
89.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-2
90.0%
Alex Hornibrook run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 37 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, recovered by Wisc Alex HornibrookSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+7
89.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
89.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
89.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Michael Deiter) to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
89.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+15
88.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
89.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 13 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
89.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+30
89.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 30 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:518% → 8%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
91.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 5 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+8
91.5%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 8 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
91.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Jacquille VeiiSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
91.4%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+15
91.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 15 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
91.0%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-15
90.8%
Bortenschlager, Max pass complete to Moore, D.J. for 4 yards to the WISCONSIN43, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Jacobs, Taivon) 15 yards to the MARYLAND38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 19
OWN 38
+5
91.5%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
91.7%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 5:1792% → 95%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
91.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+14
91.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
91.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 20 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
92.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
92.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+10
91.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
92.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Clipping (Beau Benzschawel) to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 25
OPP 44
+9
92.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 16
OPP 35
0
92.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+15
91.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+5
91.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
92.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
94.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:1595% → 94%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
94.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
94.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
94.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
94.2%
Rafael Gaglianone 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
94.0%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 17 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:2894% → 99%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
95.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+9
95.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 15 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
96.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
96.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+23
96.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 23 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
98.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:002% → 5%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
98.3%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 7 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
98.3%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 5 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.3%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+22
98.3%
Ty Johnson run for 22 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
98.3%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 9 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+6
98.2%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 6 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
98.2%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+11
98.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Nelson) to the Wisc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.3%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
98.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
95.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 10 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:2397% → 97%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
96.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
96.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
96.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Rachid IbrahimSimilar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 26 yds, downed at the Mary 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 3:354% → 5%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
96.1%
Ty Johnson run for 7 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+4
96.0%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
96.1%
Taivon Jacobs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 24 Taivon Jacobs fumbled, forced by Derrick Tindal, recovered by MarySimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+38
96.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 38 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
96.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 15 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
95.6%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-10
95.9%
Harrison III, Lorenzo rush for 9 yards to the WISCONSIN8, PENALTY MARYLAND holding (Gray, Derwin) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
96.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
96.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+45
95.4%
Henry Darmstadter 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:5096% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
96.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-10
96.4%
Cephus, Quintez rush for 5 yards to the WISCONSIN34, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Fumagalli, Troy) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+24
96.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 24 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.7%
Austin Ramesh run for 6 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
96.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
96.9%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+4
96.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+14
97.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Antoine Brooks Jr.) to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+14
97.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.3%
Austin Ramesh run for 4 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Austin Ramesh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 2:581% → 1%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 8 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.2%
Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.3%
Max Bortenschlager run for 7 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 18
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 18
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Wade Lees punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:12100% → 100%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
99.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 20 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 11 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
99.6%
Quintez Cephus run for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+12
99.6%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
99.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
Rafael Gaglianone 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:02
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q3 6:50
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 10 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q2 0:32
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com