Try the model
PUR

Purdue 12 at Rutgers 14

RUTG
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · High Point Solutions Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:06 · Joe Schopper punt for 54 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior−15.1Home team on offense+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:02: Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 35 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +20.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:58: Gus Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line — RUTG win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:25: David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — PUR win probability +20.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:25: Spencer Evans kickoff for 6 yds PURDUE Penalty, ball on PUR36, PENALTY offside ( Yards) declined — RUTG win probability +8.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:25: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 38 — RUTG win probability +18.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 12PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17PUR 4th & 10 at RUTG 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:30RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:36PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:41RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:05PUR 4th & 9 at RUTG 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:05RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:25PUR 4th & 2 at RUTG 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−1.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:10RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:06PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 26, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:06PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:17RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:17RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:21PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:20PUR 4th & 6 at RUTG 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−6.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:14RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 39, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−1.8
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:15PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−3.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 5 at PUR 41, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−2.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%−1.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:00PUR 4th & 1 at RUTG 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−4.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−9.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:56RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:10RUTG 4th & 19 at RUTG 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−7.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:56PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.7%−1.3
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:25RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:23RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:02RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:25PUR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.8%−6.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
26.6%
Jared Sparks run for 18 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
26.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
26.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+6
26.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 6 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
26.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4528% → 29%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
27.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Gus Edwards for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+74
28.7%
Gus Edwards run for 74 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
28.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 26 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
28.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
28.4%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
28.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
28.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
28.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony Mahoungou, broken up by Zane CampbellSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
28.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
30.2%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
30.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
30.1%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
30.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
30.4%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
30.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
30.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 42 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for no gain to the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
33.4%
Markell Jones run for 14 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
33.2%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
32.7%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
32.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
32.9%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
33.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
33.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
35.1%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
35.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+16
34.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 16 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
35.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
35.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
35.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Marcus Applefield) to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+5
35.2%
PURDUE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
35.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
35.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:1263% → 64%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
37.5%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
37.4%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-5
38.0%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Matt McCann) to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+22
38.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 22 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+41
37.9%
D.J. Knox run for 41 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
36.3%
Jared Sparks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
36.3%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
36.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
36.3%
Elijah Sindelar run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
38.5%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Shane Evans) to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
38.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
36.2%
Spencer Evans 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.4%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
37.7%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
37.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
36.5%
Ryan Anderson punt for 51 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for no gain to the Prdue 31 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
38.5%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+12
38.5%
Richie Worship run for 12 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
38.1%
Richie Worship run for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
37.0%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
37.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to G. Phillips (Wharton, Isaiah), PENALTY RU holding (Wharton, Isaiah) 10 yards to the PUR46, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
36.2%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+2
35.7%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
36.0%
David Blough run for no gain to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+1
37.0%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
43.0%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
41.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 12
OWN 43
+5
40.5%
Anderson, Ryan punt 36 yards to the PUR21, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop, PENALTY PUR roughing the kicker 5 yards to the RU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
41.1%
Ryan Anderson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
41.1%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
41.3%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
41.3%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Jawuan Harris PURDUE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+13
42.7%
Joe Schopper run for 13 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
39.8%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+1
38.9%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
40.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:4745% → 44%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
45.0%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-7
44.8%
Giovanni Rescigno run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+1
44.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
44.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
43.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted K.J. Gray return for no gain to the Rutgr 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:4446% → 47%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
46.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Janarion Grant for 5 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+9
46.2%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
47.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+2
48.0%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-3
47.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 25 , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to D.J. KnoxSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.2%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
47.3%
Gus Edwards run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
48.6%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
45.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome Washington, broken up by Jacob ThienemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
45.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 57 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 1 yd to the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
47.6%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
48.1%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
48.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
49.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 4:0749% → 71%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
49.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
51.2%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
51.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for 15 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
52.2%
Robert Martin run for 16 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
53.1%
Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
53.0%
Martin, Robert rush for 1 yard to the PUR25 (Markus Bailey;Austin Larkin), PENALTY RU holding (Applefield, M.) 10 yards to the PUR36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+1
50.6%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+35
70.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 35 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:3531% → 29%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
69.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Isaac Zico for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
69.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 13 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
68.4%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+26
67.0%
Richie Worship run for 26 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
64.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Richie Worship for 10 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
64.0%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+7
64.0%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.0%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
64.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 4 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
65.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
70.8%
J.D. Dellinger 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
75.3%
Gus Edwards run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
77.0%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
75.8%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Ryan Anderson punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
74.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
75.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
76.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Kemoko TuraySimilar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
77.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 25 yds, downed at the Prdue 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0681% → 79%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
81.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
80.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
78.6%
Ryan Anderson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1623% → 24%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
77.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 11 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
77.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 12 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
76.4%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+21
74.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 21 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
73.3%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+1
70.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
73.0%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
76.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0083% → 80%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
82.6%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+2
81.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
81.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+4
79.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 48 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
82.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted Damon Hayes return for no gain to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0086% → 82%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
85.6%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
85.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jerome Washington for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-11
84.3%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Josh Okonye for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 19
OWN 31
+47
81.5%
Ryan Anderson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RUTGERS 32 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
84.7%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
82.5%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
82.9%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+2
81.1%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
81.8%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
84.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-5
84.7%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (David Blough) to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 20
OWN 33
+11
85.1%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 11 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+4
83.2%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
83.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole Herdman, broken up by K.J. Gray PURDUE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3393% → 94%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
93.2%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 12
50
0
92.8%
Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 12
50
-1
92.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Gus Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
93.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 1:5510% → 35%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
91.6%
David Blough run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
88.8%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 7 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+10
87.7%
David Blough pass incomplete, PENALTY RU holding (Hayes, Damon) 10 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
87.1%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+16
89.1%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 16 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
85.1%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
84.9%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Trevor MorrisSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
64.9%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0292% → 92%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
92.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-2
91.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:02
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 35 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)
+20
TD · Q4 0:25
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:25
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 38
+18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com