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PUR

Purdue 9 at Wisconsin 17

WIS
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+2.1WIS 89.0%Rafael Gaglianone 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 2:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:38 · Rafael Gaglianone 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+22.1Home team on offense+11.9Garbage-time factor+3.4Score differential+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:12: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 14 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:14: Spencer Evans 36 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +1.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:38: Rafael Gaglianone 46 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:14: Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 14 — WIS win probability +8.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:44: Timeout PURDUE, clock 01:44 — WIS win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:28PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:14PUR 4th & 3 at WIS 19, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−2.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:31PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:06WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:59PUR 4th & 20 at WIS 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:38WIS 4th & 2 at PUR 28, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22PUR 4th & 6 at WIS 42, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:07PUR 4th & 5 at WIS 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:45PUR 4th & 9 at WIS 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:01WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:35WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:12WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2587% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
86.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
86.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 67 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK), (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
86.6%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Chris OrrSimilar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
86.6%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
86.6%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Michael Mendez) to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:4687% → 88%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
86.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-5
86.4%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Tyler Biadasz) to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
86.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (David Edwards) to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
86.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 11 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
86.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-1
86.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+10
86.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 10 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
86.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+17
86.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 17 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+22
86.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 22 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
88.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 14 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:5813% → 15%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.3%
Jones M run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
87.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 17 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+10
87.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Mahoungou A for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.0%
Elijah Sindelar run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 46 Elijah Sindelar fumbled, recovered by Prdue Elijah Sindelar , return for no gain to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 17
OPP 46
+10
87.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Mahoungou A for 10 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+10
87.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Phillips G, PENALTY WIS holding (Jacobs, Leon) 10 yards to the WIS26, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
86.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jones M for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-4
86.9%
Jones M run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+12
87.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 12 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
87.2%
Richie Worship run for 7 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
85.5%
Spencer Evans 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:0986% → 86%
Q1 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-5
85.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (David Edwards) to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+17
85.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 17 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
85.9%
A.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III, broken up by T.J. JallowSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+27
86.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 27 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
86.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+42
86.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Da'Wan Hunte return for 42 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
85.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Phillips G, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
85.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Carrierewill DSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
85.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
86.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
86.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+5
86.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Wisc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
86.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+20
86.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Bradrick Shaw for 5 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, IH (Kai Higgins) to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
87.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
86.6%
Alex Hornibrook run for no gain to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+18
86.3%
Anthony Lotti punt blocked by Garrett Hudson blocked by Garrett Hudson Race Johnson return for 18 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:4516% → 14%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-7
84.4%
David Blough sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 22Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 17
OPP 22
+5
84.8%
Jones M run for 5 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 12
OPP 17
-8
85.2%
David Blough sacked by Alec James for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 20
OPP 25
+42
86.5%
J.D. Dellinger 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 4:2187% → 89%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
86.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
50
0
87.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
50
+6
87.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+8
86.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 8 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
87.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
87.3%
Danny Davis III run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
86.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+46
89.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10FG
20 plays · 43 yds · 2:3812% → 11%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.5%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Matt McCann) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
88.6%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+21
88.7%
Elijah Sindelar run for 21 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to D.J. KnoxSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
88.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Mahoungou A for 12 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
87.8%
Jones M run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
87.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Mahoungou A for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-5
88.6%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Cole Herdman) to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
89.3%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Dave Steinmetz) to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+9
89.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+22
89.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 7 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (T.J. Edwards) to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
88.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Phillips GSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-7
88.3%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Conor Sheehy for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 17
OPP 27
-5
90.0%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Grant Hermanns) to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 22
OPP 32
+49
88.6%
Spencer Evans 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.0%
Richie Worship run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Mahoungou A, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
87.1%
Elijah Sindelar run for 6 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
86.6%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
86.6%
Elijah Sindelar run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
86.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Carrierewill DSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+20
87.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 52 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 20 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12INT
13 plays · 40 yds · 0:0087% → 88%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
87.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+2
87.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+16
87.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
50
+10
88.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
88.3%
A.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
88.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
87.8%
Austin Ramesh run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
88.3%
Shaw, Bradrick rush for 5 yards to the PUR24 (Gelen Robinson), PENALTY WIS holding (Penniston, Kyle) 10 yards to the PUR39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+6
88.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Bradrick Shaw for 6 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+6
88.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 16 yds to the Prdue 17 WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal block (Rachid Ibrahim) to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
88.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-5
87.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Tyler Biadasz) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+38
87.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Danny Ezechukwu return for 38 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2616% → 16%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
84.2%
Jared Sparks run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
84.2%
Jones M run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
85.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
84.4%
J.D. Dellinger 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FUMBLE
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:0788% → 90%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
87.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
88.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+10
88.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
89.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+41
89.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 41 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
89.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
90.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 5 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Neal, recovered by Prdue Lorenzo NealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
14 plays · 51 yds · 2:0813% → 14%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
87.5%
D.J. Knox run for 10 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
87.2%
D.J. Knox run for 9 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+2
86.3%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
87.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by D'Cota DixonSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
87.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jared Sparks, broken up by Derrick TindalSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
88.0%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Matt McCann) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+20
88.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 20 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Mahoungou ASimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
86.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Phillips G for 14 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
83.7%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
83.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Conor SheehySimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
85.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
86.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
88.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-1
88.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 17Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
87.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
86.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for no gain to the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17INT
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:0015% → 19%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
85.1%
Jones M run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+12
84.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Phillips G for 12 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
83.5%
Jones M run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+31
83.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 31 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
81.5%
Jones M run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
81.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted Leon Jacobs return for 2 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18END OF GAME
19 plays · 77 yds · 6:4290% → 97%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
89.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-3
89.5%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+20
88.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 20 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
90.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
91.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+18
90.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 18 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
91.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-2
91.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+7
90.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 7 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
91.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 14 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
91.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
97.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+2
97.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:14
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 14
+8.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:44
Timeout PURDUE, clock 01:44
+5.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com