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OSU

Ohio State 56 at Nebraska 14

NEB
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:13 · Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the OhSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior−17.9Home team on offense−50.8Score differential−39.5Garbage-time factor−14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:47: J.K. Dobbins run for 52 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — NEB win probability +0.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:37: J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:10: J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:29: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Rashod Berry for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:05: Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 77 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:23NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:15NEB 4th & 5 at OSU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:42NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:44OSU 4th & 3 at NEB 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:18OSU 4th & 9 at NEB 31, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:13NEB 4th & 10 at OSU 30, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:28OSU 4th & 11 at NEB 20, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:07NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 40, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:47OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:39OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:37OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:20OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:10OSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:29OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:05NEB Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:49OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:52NEB Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:20OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
4.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
4.5%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+3
4.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
4.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 57 yds, downed at the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 2:4495% → 95%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
4.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 2
OWN 12
0
4.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+7
4.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
4.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 11 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
4.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 7 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-1
4.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
4.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
4.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+52
5.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 52 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
5.4%
JD Spielman run for 1 yd to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
5.4%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
5.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+51
5.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 yds OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:4894% → 95%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
5.6%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
5.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 13 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
5.6%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Hill, K.J., PENALTY NEB pass interference (Dicaprio Bootle) 15 yards to the OSU43, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
5.5%
Mike Weber run for 23 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
5.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
5.5%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+18
5.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 18 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
5.5%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
5.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 7 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
5.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 1:076% → 6%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
5.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+3
5.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+15
5.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 15 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
6.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-10
6.1%
Devine Ozigbo rush up middle for 17 yards to the OSU25, PENALTY NEB holding (Nick Gates) 10 yards to the NEB48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
6.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
5.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Mikale WilbonSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
5.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:1194% → 96%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
5.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+22
5.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 22 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
5.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 8 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
5.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
5.8%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to McLaurin, Terry, PENALTY NEB substitution infraction 5 yards to the NEB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+2
5.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+15
5.9%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Hill, K.J., PENALTY NEB pass interference (Dicaprio Bootle) 15 yards to the NEB23, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
5.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+17
5.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 17 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
5.9%
Dobbins, J.K. rush over right tackle for 6 yards to the NEB5 (F. Akinmoladun;Joshua Kalu), PENALTY OSU illegal formation 5 yards to the NEB16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
5.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+16
4.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
4.7%
Tanner Lee run for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
4.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+37
4.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the NEBRASKA 24 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:2396% → 96%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
4.2%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
4.2%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
4.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 13 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
4.0%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+12
4.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 12 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
4.1%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
4.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
3.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 31 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
2.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 8 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+2
2.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
2.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-3
2.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+38
2.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 38 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
2.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 3 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
2.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
2.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
2.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:2996% → 99%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
4.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 16 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
4.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 5 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
3.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+8
3.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
3.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+6
3.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 6 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
3.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11END OF HALF
14 plays · 26 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Kendall SheffieldSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
1.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
1.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
1.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler HoppesSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
1.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan, PENALTY OSU offside defense (Young, Chase) 5 yards to the NEB46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
1.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Jordan FullerSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
0.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler HoppesSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3199% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
1.3%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
1.3%
Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
1.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
1.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+21
1.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 21 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
1.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+13
1.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Rashod Berry for 13 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Rashod Berry for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:171% → 1%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+77
0.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 77 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1699% → 99%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
1.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Freedom Akinmoladun) to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
1.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
0.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
0.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+7
0.9%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 11 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
0.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 18 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
0.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to D. Pierson-El, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Sheffield, K.) 13 yards to the NEB45, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+37
0.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 37 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
0.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Jerald Foster) to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+2
0.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+17
0.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
17 plays · 66 yds · 6:2499% → 100%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
0.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
0.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+4
0.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+3
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-7
0.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 31 OHIO ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+26
0.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Carlos Davis) to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
0.3%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 66 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 14 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 3 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the NEBRASKA 48 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (De'Mornay Pierson-El) to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 11
OWN 42
+5
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 5 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+23
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Conor Young for 23 yds to the NEBRASKA 30 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Damon ArnetteSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Conor YoungSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Damon ArnetteSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+7
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
0.2%
Antonio Williams run for 18 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
0.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 12 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
0.2%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 4
OPP 37
-5
0.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+5
0.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Antonio Williams for 5 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+4
0.2%
Dwayne Haskins run for 4 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
0.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 8 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+6
0.2%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-6
0.2%
Joe Burrow run for 4 yds to the Neb 15 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 16
OPP 25
+4
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+1
0.2%
Joe Burrow run for 1 yd to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 11
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to C.J. SaundersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19INT
15 plays · 54 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Conor Young, broken up by Isaiah PryorSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to JD Spielman for 8 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+5
0.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Tyjon LindseySimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Conor YoungSimilar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-5
0.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Jerald Foster) to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+11
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien run for 11 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+18
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to JD Spielman for 18 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Tyjon LindseySimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+12
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jack Stoll for 12 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Conor Young for 8 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien run for no gain to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-5
0.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Michael Decker) to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
0.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass intercepted, touchback. Amir Riep return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:10
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q2 13:37
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
-1.8
TD · Q1 10:47
J.K. Dobbins run for 52 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com