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MICH

Michigan 27 at Indiana 20

IU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-2IU 29.4%Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 0 · Q2 14:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 44Pregame prior−18.7Home team on offense−3.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:06: Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +15.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q4 10:25: Karan Higdon run for 59 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +14.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:27: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +31.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Griffin Oakes 46 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +36.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Karan Higdon run for 25 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +38.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:52IU 4th & 10 at IU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35MICH 4th & 12 at IU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:00IU 4th & 3 at MICH 33, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54MICH 4th & 3 at IU 20, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:05IU 4th & 2 at IU 33, down 6
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:10IU 4th & 7 at IU 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:07MICH 4th & 5 at midfield, up 13
    Close callPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:46IU 4th & 9 at MICH 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:30MICH 4th & 6 at MICH 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:29MICH 4th & 6 at IU 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:29IU 4th & 5 at IU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:55MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:03IU 4th & 14 at IU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−5.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:59MICH 4th & 13 at MICH 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−4.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:58IU 4th & 7 at IU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−2.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:44MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:33IU 4th & 1 at IU 41, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:18IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:39MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:06MICH 4th & 17 at MICH 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:05MICH 4th & 3 at IU 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−4.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−3.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:00IU 4th & 1 at MICH 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−3.6
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−23.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:19MICH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:06IU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:25MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:27IU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:0326% → 27%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
26.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 14 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
26.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-13
26.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 2 yds to the Ind 35 INDIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Wes Martin) to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+5
26.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+5
27.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Rashan Gary) to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
27.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
27.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:3672% → 70%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
27.6%
John O'Korn pass complete to Zach Gentry for 9 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
27.5%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
27.7%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
27.9%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+6
28.1%
John O'Korn pass complete to Zach Gentry for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
28.2%
Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
28.3%
John O'Korn pass complete to Tyrone Wheatley for 4 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
28.5%
Kareem Walker run for 8 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+11
28.5%
Karan Higdon run for 11 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
28.7%
John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-4
28.8%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
29.6%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
29.7%
Quinn Nordin 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3MISSED FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 4:2730% → 32%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
29.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
29.4%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
29.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
29.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Lavert Hill) to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
30.2%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Cobbs Jr., Simmie, PENALTY MICHIGAN offside (McCray, Mike) 1 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
30.8%
Mike Majette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
30.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
31.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+2
31.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-2
31.7%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+11
31.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
32.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
32.0%
Morgan Ellison run for 7 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
32.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+51
32.0%
Griffin Oakes 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Maurice Hurst Lavert Hill return for 35 yds to the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0170% → 71%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.9%
John O'Korn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
30.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 20
OPP 37
-5
30.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 25
OPP 42
+6
31.2%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 36
+16
31.4%
Karan Higdon run for 16 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
29.4%
Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3830% → 31%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
30.4%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by David Long for a loss of 13 yards to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+1
30.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+20
30.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 20 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
30.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 1 yd to the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4170% → 77%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
29.8%
Ty Isaac run for 13 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
29.3%
Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
29.1%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+17
29.3%
John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 17 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
28.3%
John O'Korn run for 4 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Tegray Scales) to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
28.1%
Karan Higdon run for 16 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
23.0%
Karan Higdon run for 12 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5525% → 24%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
25.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
24.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+3
24.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 3 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+6
24.3%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 6 yds to the Mich 25 MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Mich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:5376% → 78%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
24.0%
John O'Korn pass complete to Sean McKeon for 2 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
24.1%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+15
24.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rashard Fant) to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
22.2%
Eddie McDoom run for 12 yds to the INDIANA 43 MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kekoa Crawford) to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 13
OWN 42
-5
23.5%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 37Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 18
OWN 37
0
23.3%
Ty Isaac run for no gain to the Mich 37Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+13
22.9%
John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 5
50
0
22.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 25 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 2:5822% → 26%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
22.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 18 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
22.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+8
23.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
23.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
24.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Mich 34Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-5
25.0%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Ian Thomas) to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+10
24.6%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Long, David) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
26.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Mike MajetteSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
26.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Mike MajetteSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+14
24.7%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Mack, Taysir, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer (Hurst, Maurice) 14 yards to the MICHIGAN15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
26.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Mike MajetteSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
26.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Mich 14Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
24.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
25.5%
Griffin Oakes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3875% → 76%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.5%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
24.4%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
23.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2576% → 75%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.4%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 24Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
24.7%
John O'Korn pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 5 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
24.4%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Karan HigdonSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
25.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:2024% → 41%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
23.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+31
23.6%
Morgan Ellison run for 31 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
26.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 6 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
26.2%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+19
24.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 19 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
40.6%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:2765% → 66%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.1%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
34.9%
Karan Higdon run for 10 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
33.8%
Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
33.5%
Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
31.8%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
31.9%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
32.4%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
34.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5237% → 34%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
36.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+1
36.6%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
35.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
34.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2666% → 63%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
34.3%
John O'Korn pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
35.5%
John O'Korn run for 4 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
35.4%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Karan HigdonSimilar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
37.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4537% → 35%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
37.2%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
37.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-7
35.5%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Rashan Gary and Maurice Hurst for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 11Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 14
OWN 11
-2
34.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5268% → 62%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
32.5%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
32.4%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-5
33.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
35.6%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Zach GentrySimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 13
OWN 42
+6
37.6%
Brad Robbins punt for 49 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 6 yds to the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5538% → 35%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
37.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
37.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 3 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
36.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
35.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 44 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 18 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0765% → 62%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
35.4%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
35.5%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
35.8%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+15
37.8%
Brad Robbins punt for 49 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 15 yds to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5839% → 39%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
39.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+12
38.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 12 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
42.1%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
38.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 1:5766% → 87%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
34.2%
Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+5
33.1%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
33.7%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+10
31.3%
Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
13.0%
Karan Higdon run for 59 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0013% → 12%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.4%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
13.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ian Thomas for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
11.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2188% → 89%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
12.2%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
12.1%
Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+2
11.7%
John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 2 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
11.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0710% → 11%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
9.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
10.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Lavert Hill return for no gain to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:5691% → 91%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
9.3%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-5
10.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Tyrone Wheatley) to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+7
9.6%
Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-7
10.2%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+53
9.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 46 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 53 yds to the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:349% → 40%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
8.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
8.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+12
7.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 12 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
8.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
8.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
39.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0683% → 90%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
16.9%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
50
+2
14.7%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
9.7%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+35
10.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 45 yds for a touchback MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:4919% → 60%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
19.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 9 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+24
22.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 24 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
23.7%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Knight) to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
19.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+14
17.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 14 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
23.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+46
59.7%
Griffin Oakes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 29TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
20.8%
Karan Higdon run for 25 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30Uncategorized
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0028% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
28.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Mich 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
28.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
28.8%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
25.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 4Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
23.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted, touchback. Tyree Kinnel return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Karan Higdon run for 25 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-38.9
FG · Q4 0:00
Griffin Oakes 46 yd FG GOOD
+36.4
TD · Q4 3:27
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+31.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com