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MINN

Minnesota 17 at Purdue 31

PUR
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:38 · Joe Schopper punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+6.7Home team on offense−6.0Score differential−3.0Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:38: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 22 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +13.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 9:58: J.D. Dellinger 19 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +11.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:26: Emmit Carpenter 38 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +29.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:17: Markell Jones 12 Yd Run (Elijah Sindelar Pass to Gregory Phillips for Two-Point Conversion) — PUR win probability +40.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:10: Conor Rhoda pass intercepted for a TD Ja'Whaun Bentley return for 76 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +9.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:43MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:43MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:56PUR 4th & 2 at MINN 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 45, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 24, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:38MINN 4th & 9 at PUR 42, up 8
    Close callPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:38MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:18PUR 4th & 18 at MINN 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:03MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 5, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:40PUR 4th & 4 at MINN 34, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%−2.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−4.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MINN 4th & 7 at PUR 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:58PUR 4th & 2 at MINN 2, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−21.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:58MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 49, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.3%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:43MINN 4th & 1 at PUR 41, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−5.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−8.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:26MINN 4th & 3 at PUR 20, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−9.5
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−22.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:10MINN 4th & 5 at PUR 27, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.7 ptsWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%−5.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−11.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:43PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:56MINN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:13MINN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:38PUR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:17PUR Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    82.6%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:10PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
61.4%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
61.4%
Conor Rhoda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
61.4%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for 4 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
61.4%
Jacob Herbers punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:5462% → 62%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
61.6%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 2 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+15
61.6%
D.J. Knox rush for no gain to the MINN35 (Shenault, A;Barber, Thomas), PENALTY MINN face mask (Moore, Gary) 15 yards to the MINN20, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
62.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 20 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
62.4%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
61.9%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
62.0%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 5 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
62.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.9%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Brandon LingenSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.9%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
61.9%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen, broken up by Navon MosleySimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+29
62.0%
Ryan Santoso punt for 34 yds, downed at the PURDUE 25 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
63.3%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-15
63.4%
Markell Jones rush for no gain to the PUR35 (Barber, Thomas), PENALTY PUR personal foul 15 yards to the PUR20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+10
63.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 10 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
63.0%
David Blough pass intercepted Adekunle Ayinde return for no gain to the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:4338% → 40%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
62.4%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+40
62.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 40 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
62.0%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
62.0%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 3Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.6%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6INT
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:5660% → 61%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
60.2%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
60.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+18
59.9%
David Blough run for 18 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
61.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
61.4%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
61.4%
David Blough sacked by Thomas Barber and Carter Coughlin for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 18
OPP 48
0
60.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+16
60.2%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 16 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+3
60.7%
Jackson Anthrop run for 3 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
61.7%
David Blough run for 16 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Jonathan Celestin) to the Minn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
61.7%
David Blough sacked by Jonathan Celestin for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
61.7%
Richie Worship run for 6 yds to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
61.3%
David Blough pass intercepted, touchback. Kamal Martin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4241% → 49%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
58.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 19 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+51
58.0%
Rodney Smith run for 51 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
57.0%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
56.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.7%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 2 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
52.1%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
53.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Terry Wright for 15 yds Terry Wright fumbled, forced by Thomas Barber, recovered by Minn Thomas BarberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
50.1%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
50.3%
Conor Rhoda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+2
50.8%
Conor Rhoda run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
51.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 54 yds, downed at the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:5850% → 52%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
50.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+39
50.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 39 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
51.5%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Merrick Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 37 Elijah Sindelar fumbled, recovered by Minn Andrew Stelter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1652% → 47%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
47.7%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+15
47.4%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 15 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
47.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
47.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+2
53.2%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
52.8%
Conor Rhoda run for 1 yd to the Prdue 7 Conor Rhoda fumbled, forced by Danny Ezechukwu, recovered by Prdue Navon MosleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
47.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+3
47.4%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
47.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+4
47.4%
Elijah Sindelar run for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
47.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
46.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
51.2%
Conor Rhoda run for 4 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
51.0%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for 12 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
49.9%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
50.0%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen, broken up by Navon MosleySimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+4
50.4%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-5
51.3%
MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (Conor Rhoda) to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
51.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 36 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for no gain to the Prdue 2 Jackson Anthrop fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jackson AnthropSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
42.7%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+4
42.6%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:2245% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
44.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
44.4%
Markell Jones run for 10 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
45.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 8 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
46.9%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+6
45.5%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
46.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Isaac Zico, broken up by Antonio ShenaultSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
46.8%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+13
45.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 13 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-7
46.9%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 22Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 17
OPP 22
+22
60.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 22 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.8%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
52.7%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-3
51.2%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+1
52.7%
Conor Rhoda run for 1 yd to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+34
54.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 34 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
55.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
54.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+10
54.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 10 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
58.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 24 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
60.9%
Gregory Phillips run for 5 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-10
60.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Phillips for 15 yards to the MINN15, out-of-bounds (Thomas, Kiondre), PENALTY PUR holding (Shane Evans) 10 yards to the MINN40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 15
OPP 40
-3
57.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 18
OPP 43
0
55.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 18
OPP 43
0
53.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 41 yds, downed at the Minn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
53.4%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Josh OkonyeSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
53.8%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 3Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+2
55.2%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+35
56.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 25 yds, downed at the Minn 30 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5059% → 54%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
58.7%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+1
58.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 1 yd to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+6
57.0%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+52
53.9%
Spencer Evans 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4050% → 50%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
50.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
48.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
48.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
47.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
46.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
45.9%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
49.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:0751% → 67%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
50.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 9 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
54.4%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
52.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+35
52.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 35 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
58.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 6 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-11
58.5%
D.J. Knox rush for 7 yards to the MINN15 (Ayinde,Adekunle), PENALTY PUR holding (Shane Evans) 11 yards to the MINN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+24
55.2%
D.J. Knox run for 24 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
58.5%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Minn 6Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
58.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
56.2%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Minn 2Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
67.4%
J.D. Dellinger 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22FG
22 plays · 62 yds · 7:3237% → 65%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
63.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
62.8%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
62.7%
Rhoda, Conor pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY PUR holding (Navon Mosley) 10 yards to the MINN40, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
60.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
59.8%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Nate WozniakSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
61.6%
Conor Rhoda run for 7 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
61.0%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
50
0
58.0%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
50
+6
58.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
58.7%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
61.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.7%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Brandon LingenSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
58.7%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+10
60.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 10 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
56.7%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+5
61.5%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+1
63.4%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
35.5%
Emmit Carpenter 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:0956% → 97%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
55.8%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
55.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+37
56.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 37 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.9%
Markell Jones 12 Yd Run (Elijah Sindelar Pass to Gregory Phillips for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24INT TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:078% → 3%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.6%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
89.9%
Conor Rhoda run for 4 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.5%
Conor Rhoda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+32
90.6%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rashad Still for 32 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
85.1%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
85.7%
Conor Rhoda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
88.2%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+76
97.3%
Conor Rhoda pass intercepted for a TD Ja'Whaun Bentley return for 76 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
97.5%
Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:17
Markell Jones 12 Yd Run (Elijah Sindelar Pass to Gregory Phillips for Two-Point Conversion)
+40.6
FG · Q4 2:26
Emmit Carpenter 38 yd FG GOOD
-29.1
TD · Q3 10:38
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 22 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com