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2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-0.9NU 0.3%Trace McSorley 5 Yd Run (Tyler DavisKick)AWAY 31 - HOME 0 · Q4 8:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:52 · Trace McSorley 5 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 247Pregame prior−6.5Home team on offense−52.7Score differential−36.3Garbage-time factor−19.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:04: Tommy Stevens 10 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:53: Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8 — PSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:31: Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 00:31 — PSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:33: Saquon Barkley 1 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:13: Saquon Barkley 53 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 16 of 18PSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 8 at NU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48PSU 4th & 8 at NU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:48NU 4th & 8 at PSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:37NU 4th & 8 at PSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:41PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:44PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:13PSU 4th & 3 at NU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00NU 4th & 5 at NU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:15NU 4th & 5 at NU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:04NU 4th & 2 at PSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:01NU 4th & 2 at PSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:01PSU 4th & 4 at NU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:31PSU 4th & 4 at NU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:46NU 4th & 1 at PSU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:42NU 4th & 1 at PSU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q2 0:31NU 4th & 11 at PSU 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q2 0:00NU 4th & 11 at PSU 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 15:00NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  19. Q3 13:54NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  20. Q3 8:35NU 4th & 17 at NU 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  21. Q3 6:21PSU 4th & 11 at NU 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  22. Q3 5:28NU 4th & 8 at NU 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  23. Q3 4:02PSU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  24. Q3 3:19NU 4th & 10 at NU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  25. Q3 0:04NU 4th & 12 at NU 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  26. Q4 13:45PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  27. Q4 12:45NU 4th & 15 at NU 4, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  28. Q4 7:45NU 4th & 7 at NU 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  29. Q4 4:05PSU 4th & 17 at NU 17, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 12:04PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:33PSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:13PSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:52PSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:46NU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1DOWNS
21 plays · 37 yds · 3:1286% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 8 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 10 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+2
14.4%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+1
14.4%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
14.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
15.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 8 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
15.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 10 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
15.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Irvin CharlesSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
15.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+2
15.4%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+1
15.8%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2INT
26 plays · 34 yds · 5:0716% → 19%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
16.0%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
16.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 13 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
16.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
16.2%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
16.1%
Clayton Thorson run for 6 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
16.1%
Jeremy Larkin run for 2 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
16.2%
Riley Lees run for no gain to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
16.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jeremy Larkin, broken up by Kevin GivensSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+24
16.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 24 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
16.2%
Jackson, Justin rush for no gain to the PSU10 (Farmer, Koa), PENALTY NU holding (Hance, Blake) 10 yards to the PSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
-8
16.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 28
0
16.1%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 28
0
16.0%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for no gain to the PnSt 10Similar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
16.1%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
16.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 13 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
16.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
16.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
16.8%
Clayton Thorson run for 6 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
17.1%
Jeremy Larkin run for 2 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
17.5%
Riley Lees run for no gain to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
17.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jeremy Larkin, broken up by Kevin GivensSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+24
17.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 24 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
18.1%
Jackson, Justin rush for no gain to the PENNST10, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Hance, Blake) 10 yards to the PENNST20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
-8
18.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 28
0
18.5%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 28
0
18.6%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for no gain to the PnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 1:5782% → 80%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
18.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 18Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
18.3%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 19Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-3
18.5%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 16Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
18.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Nwest 45Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
18.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 18Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
18.6%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 19Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-3
19.3%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 16Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
19.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Nwest 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 7 yds · 1:0620% → 21%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
20.1%
Justin Jackson run for 28 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 27 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Justin Jackson) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
20.3%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Grant HaleySimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-9
20.0%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 48 Clayton Thorson fumbled, recovered by PnSt Ryan Buchholz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
20.5%
Justin Jackson run for 28 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 27 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Jackson) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
20.5%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
20.9%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Grant HaleySimilar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-7
20.7%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 48 Clayton Thorson fumbled, forced by Shaka Toney, recovered by PnSt Ryan Buchholz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FG
18 plays · 49 yds · 3:2581% → 80%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
19.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
19.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-3
19.2%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+20
19.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 20 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
19.0%
McSorley, Trace pass intercepted by Hartage, Montre at the NU2, Hartage, Montre return to the NU25 (Johnson, Juwan;Cothran, Curtis), PENALTY NU pass interference (Hartage, Montre) 15 yards to the NU6, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
19.0%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 10Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
19.0%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 12Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
19.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
19.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
19.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-3
19.7%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+20
20.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 20 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
19.7%
McSorley, Trace pass pass intercepted by Hartage, Montre at the NORTHWSTRN3, Hartage, Montre return 22 yards to the NORTHWSTRN25, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference (Hartage, Montre) 15 yards to the NORTHWSTRN6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q1 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
19.8%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 10Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
19.9%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 12Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
20.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
20.0%
Tyler Davis 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:5120% → 20%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
20.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
20.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
20.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+23
19.8%
Hunter Niswander punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 42 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
20.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+23
20.0%
Hunter Niswander punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 42 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:1180% → 83%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
19.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 19 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
19.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+23
19.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 23 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
19.2%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 10Similar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
19.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 19 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
19.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+23
19.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 23 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
19.7%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 10Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
16.8%
Tommy Stevens 10 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8DOWNS
21 plays · 36 yds · 5:0317% → 18%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.9%
Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
17.3%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
17.1%
Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
17.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
17.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
17.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
18.0%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-3
18.5%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
18.0%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-6
17.5%
Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.9%
Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
17.4%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
17.2%
Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
18.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
18.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
18.5%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-3
19.2%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
18.4%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-6
17.8%
Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 17 yds · 3:3084% → 83%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
16.4%
Trace McSorley sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+4
17.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+15
18.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
50
0
16.4%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
50
+5
16.4%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+1
16.6%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
16.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
16.4%
Trace McSorley sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+4
17.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+15
18.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
50
0
16.5%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
50
+5
16.6%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+1
16.9%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
17.4%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10INT
35 plays · 55 yds · 3:3117% → 18%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
17.1%
Jackson, Justin rush for 3 yards to the NU11 (Brown, Cam), PENALTY NU holding (North, Brad) 4 yards to the NU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+3
17.1%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
17.1%
Jackson, Justin rush for 3 yards to the NORTHWSTRN11, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (North, Brad) 4 yards to the NORTHWSTRN4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+1
17.5%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+3
17.6%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+32
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 32 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
19.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 5 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 6 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
20.5%
Jeremy Larkin run for no gain to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+1
18.6%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+32
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 32 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
19.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 5 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
19.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 6 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
19.9%
Jeremy Larkin run for no gain to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
19.2%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson, broken up by Kevin GivensSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-8
20.5%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
20.1%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
20.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+7
18.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 7 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
18.1%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted, touchback. Christian Campbell return for no gainSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-8
19.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+7
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 7 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
17.7%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted, touchback. Christian Campbell return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 1:0618% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.5%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
17.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
17.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
17.1%
Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds, downed at the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.6%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
17.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
17.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
17.2%
Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds, downed at the PnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:2182% → 91%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
17.9%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
17.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
17.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
17.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 6 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
17.2%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
17.8%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
17.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
17.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
16.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 6 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
16.9%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
16.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 1 yd to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+38
17.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 38 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
16.7%
Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Nwest 1Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.8%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the Nwest 1Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.9%
Saquon Barkley 1 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5310% → 10%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
10.3%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
10.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
10.1%
Hunter Niswander punt for 33 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0391% → 91%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
9.0%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+13
9.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Tommy Stevens for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Paddy Fisher) to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
8.6%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
8.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-6
8.6%
Trace McSorley sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
9.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 42 yds, downed at the Nwest 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4610% → 9%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
9.7%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
9.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek, broken up by Amani OruwariyeSimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
9.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+45
9.4%
Hunter Niswander punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 41 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Irvin Charles) to the PnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2292% → 92%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
8.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-7
8.0%
Trace McSorley sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+8
8.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 9
50
0
8.3%
Blake Gillikin punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:3610% → 9%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
9.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 11 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
9.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett DickersonSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
9.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
9.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett DickersonSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
9.3%
Hunter Niswander punt for 40 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for no gain to the PnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 0:5992% → 98%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
7.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+15
7.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 15 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Irvin CharlesSimilar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+53
2.0%
Saquon Barkley 53 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:543% → 2%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 1 yd to the Nwest 21Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
2.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
2.8%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Rashawn Slater) to the Nwest 19Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+4
2.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 4 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-5
2.5%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
2.4%
Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1598% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
1.9%
Trace McSorley sacked by Trent Goens for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+1
1.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 36Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+7
1.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 7 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
1.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:502% → 2%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
2.0%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett DickersonSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-5
2.0%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 4Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 15
OWN 4
0
1.9%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan WilsonSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 15
OWN 4
+1
1.9%
Hunter Niswander punt for 51 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4898% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
1.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
1.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 4 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
1.4%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
1.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 12 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles SandersSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
1.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 4 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+8
1.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 8 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
1.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon BarkleySimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+12
1.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 7 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (Godwin Igwebuike) to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.1%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles SandersSimilar
Q4 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.3%
Trace McSorley 5 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.2%
Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Macan WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+32
0.2%
Hunter Niswander punt for 51 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 32 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 45 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24MISSED FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+16
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 16 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Andre Robinson run for no gain to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 6 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+20
0.2%
Tommy Stevens run for 20 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
0.2%
Tommy Stevens sacked by Nate Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton, broken up by JR PaceSimilar
Q4 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
0.2%
Tyler Davis 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:120% → 1%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Riley Lees for 14 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
0.2%
Matt Alviti run for 14 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.2%
Matt Alviti run for 5 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
0.1%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Cameron Green for 9 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Cameron Green, broken up by Jarvis MillerSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
0.1%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
0.2%
Jesse Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Jace James for 25 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
Matt Alviti 1 Yd Run (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
0.4%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 8 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+4
0.4%
Mark Allen run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Mark Allen run for no gain to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
0.4%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Brandon Polk for 11 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:33
Saquon Barkley 1 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)
-7.9
TD · Q3 2:13
Saquon Barkley 53 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)
-4.1
TD · Q2 12:04
Tommy Stevens 10 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com