2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Ryan Field
Speed4x
View as
Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scorePSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:01 · Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 12:04: Tommy Stevens 10 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 2:53: Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8 — PSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 0:31: Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 00:31 — PSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
- TD · Q3 9:33: Saquon Barkley 1 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:13: Saquon Barkley 53 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 16 of 18PSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
- Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 8 at NU 39, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call81.6%34% to convertField goal81.6%−<0.136% to makePunt81.6%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 11:48PSU 4th & 8 at NU 39, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call80.1%34% to convertField goal80.0%−<0.136% to makePunt80.0%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 11:48NU 4th & 8 at PSU 34, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call20.1%34% to convertField goal20.1%−<0.147% to makePunt20.0%−0.1average punt
- Q1 8:37NU 4th & 8 at PSU 34, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call21.7%34% to convertField goal21.7%−<0.147% to makePunt21.6%−0.1average punt
- Q1 6:41PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 16, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snapGo for it77.0%−<0.147% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call77.0%average punt
- Q1 4:44PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 16, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snapGo for it75.8%−0.147% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call75.9%average punt
- Q1 0:13PSU 4th & 3 at NU 3, tiedClose callKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snapGo for it75.0%44% to convertField goalTheir call74.7%−0.393% to makePunt72.7%−2.3average punt
- Q2 15:00NU 4th & 5 at NU 29, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snapGo for it24.3%−0.141% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call24.4%average punt
- Q2 14:15NU 4th & 5 at NU 29, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snapGo for it24.5%−0.141% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call24.7%average punt
- Q2 12:04NU 4th & 2 at PSU 33, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call20.7%57% to convertField goal20.1%−0.749% to makePunt19.7%−1.0average punt
- Q2 7:01NU 4th & 2 at PSU 33, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call20.9%57% to convertField goal20.1%−0.849% to makePunt19.7%−1.2average punt
- Q2 7:01PSU 4th & 4 at NU 44, up 10Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snapGo for it79.8%48% to convertField goal79.1%−0.727% to makePuntTheir call79.5%−0.3average punt
- Q2 3:31PSU 4th & 4 at NU 44, up 10Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snapGo for it79.4%48% to convertField goal78.7%−0.727% to makePuntTheir call79.0%−0.4average punt
- Q2 0:46NU 4th & 1 at PSU 39, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call20.9%70% to convertField goal20.0%−0.836% to makePunt19.5%−1.4average punt
- Q2 0:42NU 4th & 1 at PSU 39, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call20.9%70% to convertField goal20.1%−0.836% to makePunt19.5%−1.4average punt
- Q2 0:31NU 4th & 11 at PSU 37, down 10Close callWent for it · 19.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call19.8%−0.427% to convertField goal20.3%40% to makePunt19.4%−0.8average punt
- Q2 0:00NU 4th & 11 at PSU 37, down 10Close callWent for it · 19.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call19.5%−0.227% to convertField goal19.6%−0.240% to makePunt19.7%average punt
- Q3 15:00NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, down 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snapGo for it19.8%−0.352% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call20.1%average punt
- Q3 13:54NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, down 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snapGo for it19.8%−0.252% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call20.0%average punt
- Q3 8:35NU 4th & 17 at NU 18, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snapGo for it10.3%−1.713% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call12.0%average punt
- Q3 6:21PSU 4th & 11 at NU 46, up 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snapGo for it89.8%−0.627% to convertField goal89.3%−1.123% to makePuntTheir call90.4%average punt
- Q3 5:28NU 4th & 8 at NU 6, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snapGo for it9.7%−1.030% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call10.7%average punt
- Q3 4:02PSU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snapGo for it90.8%−0.432% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call91.1%average punt
- Q3 3:19NU 4th & 10 at NU 31, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snapGo for it9.7%−1.729% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call11.4%average punt
- Q3 0:04NU 4th & 12 at NU 18, down 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snapGo for it2.4%−0.322% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call2.7%average punt
- Q4 13:45PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 43, up 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snapGo for it97.7%−0.229% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call97.9%average punt
- Q4 12:45NU 4th & 15 at NU 4, down 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snapGo for it1.6%−0.514% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call2.1%average punt
- Q4 7:45NU 4th & 7 at NU 23, down 31Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snapGo for it0.2%−0.135% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call0.3%average punt
- Q4 4:05PSU 4th & 17 at NU 17, up 31Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snapGo for it99.7%−0.113% to convertField goalTheir call99.8%80% to makePunt99.4%−0.4average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
- Q2 12:04PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call79.4%97% to makeGo for two79.3%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 9:33PSU Touchdown, up 16 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call88.1%97% to makeGo for two88.0%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 2:13PSU Touchdown, up 23 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call97.2%97% to makeGo for two97.2%−<0.145% to convert
- Q4 8:52PSU Touchdown, up 30 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call99.8%−<0.197% to makeGo for two99.8%45% to convert
- Q4 1:46NU Touchdown, down 25 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call0.5%97% to makeGo for two0.3%−0.245% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartPSUDrive 1DOWNS21 plays · 37 yds · 3:1286% → 84%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 8 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
14.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 10 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
14.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
15.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 8 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
15.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 10 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2INT26 plays · 34 yds · 5:0716% → 19%
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
16.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 13 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
16.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
16.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jeremy Larkin, broken up by Kevin GivensSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+24
16.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 24 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
16.2%
Jackson, Justin rush for no gain to the PSU10 (Farmer, Koa), PENALTY NU holding (Hance, Blake) 10 yards to the PSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
-8
16.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 28
0
16.0%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for no gain to the PnSt 10Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
16.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 13 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
16.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
17.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jeremy Larkin, broken up by Kevin GivensSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+24
17.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 24 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
18.1%
Jackson, Justin rush for no gain to the PENNST10, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Hance, Blake) 10 yards to the PENNST20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
-8
18.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 28
0
18.6%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for no gain to the PnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT8 plays · 6 yds · 1:5782% → 80%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FUMBLE8 plays · 7 yds · 1:0620% → 21%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
20.1%
Justin Jackson run for 28 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 27 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Justin Jackson) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Grant HaleySimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-9
20.0%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 48 Clayton Thorson fumbled, recovered by PnSt Ryan Buchholz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
20.5%
Justin Jackson run for 28 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 27 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Jackson) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
20.9%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Grant HaleySimilar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-7
20.7%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 48 Clayton Thorson fumbled, forced by Shaka Toney, recovered by PnSt Ryan Buchholz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FG18 plays · 49 yds · 3:2581% → 80%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
19.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
19.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+20
19.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 20 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
19.0%
McSorley, Trace pass intercepted by Hartage, Montre at the NU2, Hartage, Montre return to the NU25 (Johnson, Juwan;Cothran, Curtis), PENALTY NU pass interference (Hartage, Montre) 15 yards to the NU6, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
19.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
19.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
19.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+20
20.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 20 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
19.7%
McSorley, Trace pass pass intercepted by Hartage, Montre at the NORTHWSTRN3, Hartage, Montre return 22 yards to the NORTHWSTRN25, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN pass interference (Hartage, Montre) 15 yards to the NORTHWSTRN6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
20.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 9 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT9 plays · 5 yds · 0:5120% → 20%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
20.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
20.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+23
19.8%
Hunter Niswander punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 42 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+23
20.0%
Hunter Niswander punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 42 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD9 plays · 52 yds · 2:1180% → 83%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
19.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 19 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
19.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+23
19.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 23 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
19.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 19 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
19.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+23
19.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 23 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
16.8%
Tommy Stevens 10 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8DOWNS21 plays · 36 yds · 5:0317% → 18%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
17.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
17.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
17.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
18.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
18.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT14 plays · 17 yds · 3:3084% → 83%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
16.4%
Trace McSorley sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+15
18.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
16.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
16.4%
Trace McSorley sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+15
18.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
17.4%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10INT35 plays · 55 yds · 3:3117% → 18%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
17.1%
Jackson, Justin rush for 3 yards to the NU11 (Brown, Cam), PENALTY NU holding (North, Brad) 4 yards to the NU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
17.1%
Jackson, Justin rush for 3 yards to the NORTHWSTRN11, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (North, Brad) 4 yards to the NORTHWSTRN4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+32
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 32 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
19.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 5 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 6 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+32
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 32 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
19.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 5 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
20.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
19.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 6 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
20.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson, broken up by Kevin GivensSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-8
20.5%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+7
18.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 7 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
18.1%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted, touchback. Christian Campbell return for no gainSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-8
19.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+7
18.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 7 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
17.7%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted, touchback. Christian Campbell return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT9 plays · 7 yds · 1:0618% → 17%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
17.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
17.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
17.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD15 plays · 66 yds · 4:2182% → 91%
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
17.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
17.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
17.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 6 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
17.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
17.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
16.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 6 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
16.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 1 yd to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+38
17.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 38 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5310% → 10%
Q3 8:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
10.1%
Hunter Niswander punt for 33 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0391% → 91%
Q3 7:51
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+13
9.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Tommy Stevens for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Paddy Fisher) to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-6
8.6%
Trace McSorley sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4610% → 9%
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
9.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek, broken up by Amani OruwariyeSimilar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+45
9.4%
Hunter Niswander punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 41 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Irvin Charles) to the PnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2292% → 92%
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-7
8.0%
Trace McSorley sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT5 plays · 11 yds · 0:3610% → 9%
PSUDrive 18TD4 plays · 71 yds · 0:5992% → 98%
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+15
7.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 15 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT7 plays · -2 yds · 1:543% → 2%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 1 yd to the Nwest 21Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
2.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+4
2.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 4 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
2.4%
Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1598% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
1.9%
Trace McSorley sacked by Trent Goens for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+7
1.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 7 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
1.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT4 plays · -5 yds · 0:502% → 2%
PSUDrive 22TD11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4898% → 100%
Q4 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
1.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 4 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
1.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 4 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+8
1.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 8 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+12
1.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 7 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (Godwin Igwebuike) to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT5 plays · 3 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 7:45
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+32
0.2%
Hunter Niswander punt for 51 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 32 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 45 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24MISSED FG9 plays · 35 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+16
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 16 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 6 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
0.2%
Tommy Stevens sacked by Nate Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton, broken up by JR PaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25TD9 plays · 80 yds · 2:120% → 1%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Riley Lees for 14 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
0.1%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Cameron Green for 9 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Cameron Green, broken up by Jarvis MillerSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
0.2%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Jace James for 25 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26END OF GAME5 plays · 23 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:33
Saquon Barkley 1 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)
-7.9
TD · Q3 2:13
Saquon Barkley 53 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)
-4.1
TD · Q2 12:04
Tommy Stevens 10 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick)
-2.9