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WIS

Wisconsin 38 at Nebraska 17

NEB
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior−25.7Home team on offense−3.8Score differential−2.4Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:20: Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 80 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +9.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:09: Jonathan Taylor run for 75 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +10.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:43: Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Aaron Williams return for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +13.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:56: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +11.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:08: Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +14.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:34NEB 4th & 5 at WIS 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:31WIS 4th & 4 at NEB 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:31NEB 4th & 7 at WIS 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    23.0%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WIS 4th & 21 at WIS 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:10NEB 4th & 12 at WIS 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:10WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:31NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:32WIS 4th & 3 at NEB 38, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−0.6
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:10NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 6 at WIS 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−2.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:40NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:34WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:20NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:09WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:43NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:56WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:08WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:40WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1INT TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2619% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
18.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
18.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 37 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
18.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
18.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+78
19.5%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Chris Orr return for 78 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
19.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 10 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
19.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Andrew Van Ginkel) to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
19.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
19.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for no gain to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+4
19.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
19.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:4780% → 79%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
20.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24 WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 16
OWN 14
+4
20.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
20.2%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+17
20.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
19.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+30
19.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 30 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
19.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Neb 19 WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 19
OPP 34
+5
19.8%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+10
19.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
19.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
20.7%
Rafael Gaglianone 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
20.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+22
20.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
21.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Natrell JamersonSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
21.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
21.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler Hoppes, broken up by Natrell JamersonSimilar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
20.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:4779% → 78%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
21.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 14 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
20.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 19
OWN 21
-5
21.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 16Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 24
OWN 16
0
21.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Chris WeberSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 16
+9
21.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Chris James for 9 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-6
21.6%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Luke Gifford for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 19
+49
21.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:1121% → 21%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
20.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+18
21.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 18 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
21.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
21.6%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+10
21.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
22.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
22.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+12
21.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
22.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 16Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
22.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
21.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Dontye Carriere-WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
20.7%
Drew Brown 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
22.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
21.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
22.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+1
22.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 1 yd to the Neb 27 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
20.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
20.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
20.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by D'Cota DixonSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
19.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 69 yds, downed at the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
21.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+6
20.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
20.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
20.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
20.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
20.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 45Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+10
20.2%
Hornibrook, A. pass incomplete to Taylor, A.J., PENALTY NEB holding (Joshua Kalu) 10 yards to the NEB45, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
19.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor, broken up by Chris WeberSimilar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
19.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
20.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
20.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
29.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 80 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
20.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 75 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 1:0420% → 28%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
20.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+28
20.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 28 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
21.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
21.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+11
20.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
22.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 4 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
22.4%
Tanner Lee run for 5 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
20.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
22.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
22.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 5 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
23.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
28.3%
Drew Brown 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
22.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
20.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
20.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
21.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Joshua KaluSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
21.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+9
23.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 9 yds to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
24.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
24.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
24.8%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
24.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+7
22.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 57 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4577% → 63%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
23.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 12Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+14
36.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Aaron Williams return for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 5:4764% → 80%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
36.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Leon Jacobs) to the Wisc 7Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 18
OWN 7
+7
36.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+15
36.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
35.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
34.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
34.6%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+31
33.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 31 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
31.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
31.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
31.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:5125% → 24%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
24.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
24.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+9
23.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
25.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
24.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+22
23.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
28.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
27.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
28.1%
Tanner Lee run for no gain to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
24.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:4578% → 96%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
22.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+21
21.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
19.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
19.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
19.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+24
19.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 24 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
17.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
17.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
18.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 15 yds Stanley Morgan Jr. fumbled, forced by Derrick Tindal, recovered by Wisc Ryan ConnellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 6:1596% → 100%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
4.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
4.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+9
4.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
4.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
4.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+5
4.3%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
4.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+9
4.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.1%
Rachid Ibrahim run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
1.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 1 yd to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-7
1.0%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Natrell Jamerson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
1.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
0.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:08
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 10:43
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Aaron Williams return for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+13.4
TD · Q3 4:56
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com