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NEB

Nebraska 28 at Illinois 6

ILL
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:34 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:57: Chase McLaughlin 25 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +3.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:38: Devine Ozigbo run for 15 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +6.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:23: Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +14.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Chase McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , JD Spielman return for 20 yds to the Neb 20 — NEB win probability +5.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:34: Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +5.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00ILL 4th & 1 at NEB 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:57ILL 4th & 7 at NEB 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−4.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:38ILL 4th & 13 at NEB 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:49ILL 4th & 7 at NEB 7, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−6.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:49ILL 4th & 24 at NEB 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at ILL 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−2.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−6.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:34ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:20NEB 4th & 21 at NEB 49, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:18ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 32, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:57NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:38NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:23NEB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:34NEB Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.0%
Mike Epstein run for 7 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
35.0%
Mike Epstein run for 13 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
35.0%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+3
35.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
35.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
35.0%
Blake Hayes punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:0864% → 65%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
36.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
36.2%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+14
36.3%
Lee,Tanner pass incomplete to Hoppes,Tyler (Williams,B.), PENALTY ILL targeting (Williams,B.) 14 yards to the NEB26, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
36.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 12 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
36.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
36.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 11 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
35.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
35.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+45
34.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 45 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3FG
19 plays · 64 yds · 9:0035% → 38%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
35.2%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
35.1%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+15
34.9%
Crouch,Chayce pass incomplete to Dudek,Mike, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lee Jr,Eric) 15 yards to the ILL43, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
35.5%
Chayce Crouch run for 5 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+6
35.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
35.8%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Carmoni Green for 18 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
36.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+6
35.9%
Chayce Crouch run for 6 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
36.0%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+9
35.7%
Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
36.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 8 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+1
36.0%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
35.8%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
36.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
36.0%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 8Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
35.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
38.7%
Chase McLaughlin 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
37.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Carlos Davis) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1962% → 71%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
38.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
37.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
37.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
37.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
36.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+21
36.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 21 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
36.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 4 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
29.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 15 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
31.3%
Chayce Crouch run for 1 yd to the Illin 19Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+11
31.3%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 11 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
31.5%
Mike Epstein run for 13 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
32.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 3
50
+15
32.8%
Crouch,Chayce pass incomplete to Turner,Malik, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lee Jr,Eric) 15 yards to the NEB35, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
33.6%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
33.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-5
32.7%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
30.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 27 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 5:0271% → 86%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
29.5%
JD Spielman run for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+10
29.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 10 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
29.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 18 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
28.3%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+24
28.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 24 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
28.1%
JD Spielman run for 8 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+15
28.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for 15 yds to the Illin 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7INT
11 plays · 31 yds · 1:1818% → 23%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
18.0%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 18 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
18.8%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 9 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-10
19.7%
Foster,K. rush for 5 yards to the 50 yardline (Gifford,Luke), PENALTY ILL holding (Fagan,Jordan) 10 yards to the ILL35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-2
17.7%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+19
17.5%
Chayce Crouch run for 19 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
18.1%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
23.0%
Chayce Crouch pass intercepted Chris Weber return for no gain to the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
15.0%
Tanner Lee sacked by James Crawford for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 14 Tanner Lee fumbled, recovered by Neb Brenden Jaimes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+7
15.1%
Jaylin Bradley run for 7 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
15.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
15.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 32 yds, downed at the Illin 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:3517% → 18%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
17.4%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
17.6%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 10 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
17.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
17.6%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+11
17.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 11 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
18.2%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
18.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+7
17.9%
Trenard Davis pass complete to Bobby Walker for 7 yds to the Neb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
18.2%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.2%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
17.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q3 7:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
18.4%
Chase McLaughlin 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
14.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 32 Devine Ozigbo fumbled, forced by Patrick Nelson, recovered by Illin Stanley Green , return for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
16.6%
PENALTY ILL unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY NEB unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
19.5%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 34 Chayce Crouch fumbled, recovered by Illin Christian DiLauro , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
19.2%
Chayce Crouch run for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 12
OPP 34
-12
18.4%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 24
OPP 46
0
17.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 39 yds, downed at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 6:2787% → 98%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
13.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 11 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
13.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
13.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
13.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler Hoppes, broken up by Del'Shawn PhillipsSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+13
13.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
12.3%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-10
12.2%
Wilbon,Mikale rush for 1 yard to the ILL48 (Jones,Julian), PENALTY NEB holding (Foster,Jerald) 10 yards to the NEB41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+21
12.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 21 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
12.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
12.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+10
12.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
8.9%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
7.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
7.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Connor KetterSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+23
2.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.7%
Chayce Crouch run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
2.8%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
2.7%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
2.6%
Blake Hayes punt for 41 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 40 De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, forced by Cameron Watkins,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
2.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+5
2.1%
Lee,Tanner pass complete to Ozigbo,Devine for 2 yards to the NEB40 (Phillips,D.), PENALTY ILL offside (Woods,Jamal) 5 yards to the NEB43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
2.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
2.1%
Lee,Tanner pass incomplete to Morgan,Stanley (Dunlap,Jaylen), PENALTY ILL personal foul (Dunlap,Jaylen) 15 yards to the ILL40, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
2.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds Stanley Morgan Jr. fumbled, forced by Nate Hobbs,Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
2.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-10
2.1%
Tanner Lee sacked by Del'Shawn Phillips and Tre Watson for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 21
OWN 49
0
2.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
2.1%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 19 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
2.1%
Chayce Crouch run for 6 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-3
2.3%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-6
2.1%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Chris Weber for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 32Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
2.0%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16END OF GAME
16 plays · 53 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
1.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+8
1.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+15
1.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 15 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
1.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 10 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
1.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
0.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
0.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-11
0.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Illin 30 NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Tanner Farmer) to the Illin 45Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+1
0.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+20
0.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 20 yds to the Illin 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
0.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-2
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 21Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-2
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:23
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q2 10:38
Devine Ozigbo run for 15 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-6.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Chase McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , JD Spielman return for 20 yds to the Neb 20
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com