Try the model
UNLV

UNLV 21 at Ohio State 54

OSU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:38 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:15: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q1 1:02: Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY — UNLV win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:50: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:39: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:58: J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:02UNLV 4th & 19 at OSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50OSU 4th & 3 at UNLV 3, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:39OSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 4, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:24OSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 12, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 49, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:36OSU 4th & 11 at UNLV 13, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:30UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 48, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:50UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 17, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:52OSU 4th & 12 at OSU 33, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:49UNLV 4th & 9 at OSU 25, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:19OSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 9, up 33
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:39UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 7, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:49OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:15OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:50OSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:39OSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:58OSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:32UNLV Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:32OSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:46UNLV Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:55OSU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:00UNLV Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Tim Holt for 7 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-2
99.1%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+12
99.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 12 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Jordan FullerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-8
99.1%
Armani Rogers sacked by Tyquan Lewis and Malik Harrison for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Evan Pantels punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:2999% → 99%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+69
98.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 69 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 30 yds · 4:471% → 1%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
98.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
50
0
98.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Denzel WardSimilar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 5
50
+10
98.9%
ROGERS, Armani pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY OSU holding (Sheffield, K.) 10 yards to the OSU40, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
98.9%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-5
98.9%
Deadball foul, PENALTY UNLV false start (POLU, Justin) 5 yards to the OSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+1
98.9%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
98.9%
[Shotgun], ROGERS, Armani pass incomplete to WOODS JR., Darr, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Sheffield, K.) 15 yards to the OSU26, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 5 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-5
98.9%
Deadball foul, PENALTY UNLV delay of game 5 yards to the OSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-9
98.9%
Armani Rogers sacked by Jerome Baker for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 19
OPP 35
+52
98.6%
Evan Pantels 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dre'Mont Jones TEAM return for no gain to the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
98.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
98.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Mark Finau for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 38 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+22
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 22 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
98.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 4 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
98.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 16 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
98.7%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.7%
Darren Woods Jr. run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
98.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
98.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 2 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 31 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 9 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
98.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 15 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 18 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds Parris Campbell fumbled, forced by Chauncey Scissum, recovered by UNLV Mark FinauSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-2
98.4%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q1 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q1 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.0%
Brandon Presley run for 13 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
98.9%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+35
99.0%
Armani Rogers pass intercepted Damon Arnette return for 35 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q2 12:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Armani Rogers pass intercepted Damon Webb return for no gain to the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
99.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+2
99.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
99.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the UNLV 11Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:210% → 1%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+24
99.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 24 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.6%
Armani Rogers run for 8 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
99.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 9
OPP 40
+15
99.6%
[Shotgun], ROGERS, Armani deep pass intercepted by Smith, Erick at the OSU11, Smith, Erick return to the OSU11, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Ward, Denzel) 15 yards to the OSU25, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
99.5%
Armani Rogers run for 23 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.7%
Deadball foul, PENALTY OSU false start (Bowen, Branden) 5 yards to the OSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+25
99.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 25 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 9 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
99.7%
Dwayne Haskins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 28 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-6
99.8%
Armani Rogers sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 16
OWN 5
-1
99.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 17
OWN 4
+4
99.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 9 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+10
99.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 10 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the OhSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+9
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 9 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-3
99.8%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Roger Mann for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 43 yds, downed at the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-3
99.8%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 5Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 13
OWN 5
0
99.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 5Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+9
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 9 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+15
99.8%
PANTELS, Evan punt 45 yards to the OSU41, McCall, Demario return to the UNLV37 (WHITE, Javin;MANN, Roger), PENALTY OSU roughing the kicker (Forte, Trevon) 15 yards to the UNLV29, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 12 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Tim Holt for 4 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+55
99.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 55 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 20 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+10
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 10 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 8 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+2
99.8%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
K.J. Hill run for 1 yd to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Rashod Berry for 11 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 13Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Sean Nuernberger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
ROGERS, Armani deep pass incomplete to PRESLEY, Brando, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Sheffield, K.) 15 yards to the UNLV42, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Kurt Palandech run for no gain to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 13 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 16 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
[NH], [Shotgun], Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete to Victor, B., PENALTY UNLV pass interference (JACKSON, Robert) 15 yards to the UNLV38, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Rashod Berry for 38 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
99.9%
[Shotgun], THOMAS, Lexingt rush over left end for 26 yards to the OSU49, out-of-bounds (Sheffield, K.), PENALTY UNLV illegal block off-setting, PENALTY OSU substitution infraction off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-7
99.9%
Armani Rogers sacked by Isaiah Pryor for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+7
99.9%
Evan Pantels punt for 52 yds , Demario McCall returns for 7 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22INT TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+16
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Demario McCall for 16 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Antonio Williams for 5 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Jordan Leasure run for 5 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
[NH], [Shotgun], Haskins, Dwayne sideline pass complete to Hausmann, Jake for 2 yards to the UNLV30, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OSU ineligible downfield on pass (Knox, Demetrius) 5 yards to the UNLV37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Johnnie Dixon, broken up by Evan AustrieSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+65
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass intercepted for a TD Javin White return for 65 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-8
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Salanoa-Alo Wily for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:060% → 0%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.9%
Deadball foul, PENALTY UNLV false start (JACOBSON, Natha) 5 yards to the UNLV10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+3
99.9%
Brandon Presley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+23
99.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 23 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 21 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete, broken up by Jeffrey OkudahSimilar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-2
99.9%
Evan Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 3 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
99.9%
Daniel Gutierrez 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 50 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Jaylen Harris for 11 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 1 yd to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 4 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+8
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Rashod Berry for 8 yds Rashod Berry fumbled, forced by Javin White, recovered by UNLV Jericho FlowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
100.0%
Evan Owens run for 7 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 3
OWN 8
-1
100.0%
Evan Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
100.0%
Evan Owens run for no gain to the UNLV 7 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
100.0%
Daniel Gutierrez punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
100.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 6 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
Deadball foul, PENALTY OSU false start (Taylor, Brady) 5 yards to the UNLV45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
100.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 6 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+9
100.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 9 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
100.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Jaylen Harris for 16 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:50
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 12:39
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+0.4
SAFETY · Q1 1:02
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com