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RUTG

Rutgers 17 at Nebraska 27

NEB
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+8.5NEB 85.2%Drew Brown 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 24 · Q4 14:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:10 · Drew Brown 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+5.9Home team on offense+14.1Garbage-time factor+8.1Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:28: Gus Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +2.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:48: Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +9.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:07: Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Kiy Hester return for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +13.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:49: Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +12.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:10: Drew Brown 32 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +8.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:52RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:53NEB 4th & 10 at RUTG 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:20RUTG 4th & 6 at NEB 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:20NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:04RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.0%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:00NEB 4th & 6 at RUTG 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:07NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:24RUTG 4th & 5 at NEB 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−2.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10NEB 4th & 8 at RUTG 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−12.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:10RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:59NEB 4th & 8 at RUTG 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−7.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:59RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:04NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 30, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:28RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:48NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:07RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:49NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3226% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 16 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
74.5%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
74.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+14
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 14 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Gus Edwards for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+25
74.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Hunter Hayek for 19 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Aaron Williams) to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
74.5%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.7%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3072% → 73%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
72.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Gabe Rahn for 17 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
72.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
72.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
72.6%
Jaylin Bradley run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
72.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
73.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 18 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.4%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
72.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-18
72.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the Rutgr 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Kyle BolinSimilar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 20
OWN 15
-5
73.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 40 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
72.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
72.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+10
72.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Gabe Rahn for 10 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
73.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Gabe Rahn, broken up by Jon BatekySimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
72.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Gabe RahnSimilar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
72.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:4429% → 29%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
71.4%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
71.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+12
71.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 12 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
71.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+4
71.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Hunter Hayek for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-2
71.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Robert Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-3
70.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Robert Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 25
-2
71.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 60 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
70.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 2
OWN 21
-1
71.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
70.3%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Blessuan Austin return for no gain to the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2132% → 33%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
68.0%
Kyle Bolin run for 11 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
67.6%
Gus Edwards run for 13 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
67.4%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
67.4%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
68.0%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
66.6%
Andrew Harte 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.4%
JD Spielman run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
68.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
67.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
67.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
69.1%
Jaylin Bradley run for 8 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
69.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
69.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Gabe RahnSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-2
68.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
66.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hunter Hayek at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
63.7%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
63.4%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Dacoven BaileySimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
64.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Dacoven Bailey, broken up by Chris WeberSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+63
65.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 46 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 63 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3729% → 26%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
71.0%
Gus Edwards run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
69.8%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
69.3%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
70.7%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
73.8%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
74.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
74.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
74.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Gabe RahnSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
73.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 30 yds, downed at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
75.4%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
75.2%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14INT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4872% → 59%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
71.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
71.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Mikale WilbonSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+33
58.6%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Kiy Hester return for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
60.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
59.9%
Devine Ozigbo rush up middle for loss of 4 yards to the NEB18, PENALTY NEB false start (Michael Decker) 5 yards to the NEB17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+2
59.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
58.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler HoppesSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+31
58.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hunter Hayek at the NEBRASKA 45 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0045% → 42%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
50
+3
55.2%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
55.2%
Johnathan Lewis run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
55.8%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
57.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 42 yds, downed at the Neb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
20 plays · 97 yds · 8:1058% → 76%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+11
57.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 11 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
57.9%
Mikale Wilbon run for 5 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
58.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+15
57.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 15 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
59.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
59.3%
Jaylin Bradley run for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+24
58.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 9 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, personal foul (Julius Turner) to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
62.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
63.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+10
61.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
63.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-5
63.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Conor Young for 13 yards to the RU6, PENALTY NEB ineligible downfield on pass (Tyler Hoppes) 5 yards to the RU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+17
61.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 17 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
63.5%
Jaylin Bradley run for no gain to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
63.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
61.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to D. Pierson-El, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Tyler Hoppes) 15 yards to the RU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
+10
59.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, personal foul (Kiy Hester) to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
63.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
63.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Kiy HesterSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
76.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
71.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 19 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.2%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
68.0%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+29
71.1%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Antonio Reed return for 19 yds to the NEBRASKA 44 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1877% → 85%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
77.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
77.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
77.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
76.6%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
85.2%
Drew Brown 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
78.7%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
79.8%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
81.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 7:1687% → 93%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
87.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 7 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
87.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
87.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+12
87.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
87.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
87.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 0
+1
87.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
90.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
90.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Rutgr 10 Devine Ozigbo fumbled, recovered by Neb Nick GatesSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
90.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
92.5%
Drew Brown 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Dacoven BaileySimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Hunter Hayek for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.1%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
92.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Hunter HayekSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
93.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
93.5%
Ryan Anderson punt for 56 yds, downed at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2493% → 95%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
92.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+7
92.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
93.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
93.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+2
95.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
95.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
97.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 7 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+9
96.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 9 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
96.9%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Luke Gifford return for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:07
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Kiy Hester return for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 2:49
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q2 4:48
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com