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GASO

Georgia Southern 17 at Indiana 52

IU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:48 · Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+32.2Home team on offense+19.9Score differential+16.4Blowout margin+4.8Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:56: Simmie Cobbs Jr. 0 Yd Fumble Return (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +0.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:14: Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:49: Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:51: Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +1.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:21: Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 71 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9GASO made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:56IU 4th & 2 at IU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:53GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:56GASO 4th & 1 at IU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14IU 4th & 9 at GASO 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:49GASO 4th & 25 at GASO 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:48IU 4th & 7 at IU 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:11GASO 4th & 2 at IU 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:51IU 4th & 1 at GASO 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:21GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:38IU 4th & 4 at IU 29, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11GASO 4th & 2 at IU 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:46GASO 4th & 15 at IU 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:46IU 4th & 4 at IU 46, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:02IU 4th & 10 at IU 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:10GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 11, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:24IU 4th & 1 at GASO 45, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:11GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:40IU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:54IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:56IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:49IU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:51GASO Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:21IU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:42IU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:38GASO Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.6%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
93.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
93.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
93.6%
Matt Flynn punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.4%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
93.4%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
93.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+10
93.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 44 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 10 yds to the GeoSo 38 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the GeoSo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
93.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
93.1%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
93.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+4
93.2%
Matt Flynn punt for 45 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 4 yds to the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 2:2593% → 93%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
92.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 8 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+8
92.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
92.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 3
50
+10
92.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.9%
Morgan Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
92.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 11 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
92.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ian ThomasSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
92.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
92.9%
Ellison, Morgan rush for 2 yards to the GS16 (D. Cooper), PENALTY GS substitution infraction 5 yards to the GS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+1
92.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+10
92.9%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete, PENALTY GS pass interference (M. Brinson) 10 yards to the GS2, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 65
OWN 0
0
92.8%
Oakes, Griffin kickoff 62 yards to the GS3, L. Ramsby return to the GS18, PENALTY GS offside off-setting, PENALTY IND illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:277% → 7%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
92.7%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
92.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+70
93.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 40 yds , J-Shun Harris II returns for 70 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
93.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 46 L.A. Ramsby fumbled, forced by Tyler Green, recovered by Ind Chris CovingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:5694% → 94%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
93.7%
Morgan Ellison run for 34 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
93.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+8
93.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
93.6%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 0
OWN 1
0
94.4%
Simmie Cobbs Jr. 0 Yd Fumble Return (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
94.4%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
94.2%
Wesley Fields run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.4%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
94.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+6
94.5%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
94.1%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:2595% → 96%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
95.1%
Cole Gest run for 42 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
95.2%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-3
95.2%
Richard Lagow run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
-5
95.1%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
-3
94.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 26
+17
94.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 17 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
95.9%
Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
95.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
95.5%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36 Shai Werts fumbled, forced by Chase Dutra, recovered by Ind Chase DutraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:3696% → 98%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
96.4%
Morgan Ellison run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
96.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
96.4%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, PENALTY GS pass interference (R. Murray) 8 yards to the GS22, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
96.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-1
96.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+7
96.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
96.4%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
9 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
97.9%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
97.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
97.8%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-5
98.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 21
OWN 24
-7
98.0%
Shai Werts sacked by Jacob Robinson and Chris Covington for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 28
OWN 17
+3
98.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 25
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ian Thomas, broken up by Deshon CooperSimilar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.5%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:202% → 4%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
98.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
98.3%
Shai Werts run for 20 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
98.2%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
98.2%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
98.0%
S. Werts pass complete to E. Richardson for 17 yards to the IND20, PENALTY GS ineligible downfield on pass (J. Edwards) 5 yards to the IND42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+6
98.2%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+8
98.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.1%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
96.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
97.3%
Morgan Ellison run for 33 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
97.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
97.5%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ian Thomas, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
97.4%
Morgan Ellison run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+8
97.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Morgan Ellison for 8 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
97.4%
Cole Gest run for no gain to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
97.3%
Cole Gest run for no gain to the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
96.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
96.9%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3997% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Richard Lagow run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
99.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 71 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.4%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Defensive holding (Nate Hoff) to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.4%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-15
99.4%
L. Ramsby rush for 1 yard to the GS37 (Robinson, Jacob), PENALTY GS illegal block (J. Edwards) 15 yards to the GS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 27
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 27
OWN 21
+20
99.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 20 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 14:21
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
99.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Cobbs, Simmie, PENALTY GS offside (T. Phillips) 5 yards to the IND31, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 16 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+42
99.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Devonte Williams for 42 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.5%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 63 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Devonte Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
99.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+22
99.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 46 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 22 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:400% → 0%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.6%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 7
50
+5
99.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for 5 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-15
99.6%
W. Fields rush for no gain to the IND45 (Riggins, A'Shon), PENALTY GS illegal block (R. Northrup) 15 yards to the GS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+15
99.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 15 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+13
99.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 13 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.7%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+21
99.7%
Monteo Garrett run for 21 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
99.7%
Shai Werts sacked by Greg Gooch for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 15 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, intentional grounding (Shai Werts) to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
99.7%
Tyler Bass 32 yd FG GOOD INDIANA Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.8%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke Timian, broken up by Rashad ByrdSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+17
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-10
99.8%
L. Ramsby rush for 4 yards to the IND49 (Layne, Raheem), PENALTY GS holding (D. Grall) 10 yards to the GS37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 7 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Devonte Williams run for 9 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Devonte Williams run for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 5
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, downed at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
99.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Drew Wilson) to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+5
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSo 10 L.A. Ramsby fumbled, recovered by GeoSo L.A. RamsbySimilar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Alex Rodriguez run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Alex Rodriguez run for no gain to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Mike Fiacable pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 31 yds, downed at the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
99.9%
Mike Fiacable run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Connor Thomas run for 3 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 9
50
+7
100.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 39 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 7 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 30FUMBLE TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
100.0%
Kado Brown pass complete to Obe Fortune for 4 yds for a TD Obe Fortune fumbled, forced by Andre Brown Jr., recovered by Ind Andre Brown Jr. , return for 22 yds, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
100.0%
Kado Brown run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
100.0%
Kado Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Kado Brown pass incomplete to Obe FortuneSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+21
100.0%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
100.0%
Kado Brown sacked by Allen Stallings IV for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Kado Brown run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:21
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 71 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 2:51
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q2 11:49
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com