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BGSU

Bowling Green 7 at Northwestern 49

NU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:13 · Joseph Davidson punt for 61 yds, downed at the Nwest 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+22.9Home team on offense+27.4Score differential+24.5Blowout margin+11.7Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:09: Josh Cleveland run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:58: Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 58 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +1.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:58: Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 18 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +3.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:27: Justin Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:07: Jeremy Larkin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:05NU 4th & 1 at NU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:31BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:58BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:08BGSU 4th & 15 at NU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:01BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 30, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:56NU 4th & 8 at NU 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:13BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:58BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:14BGSU 4th & 5 at NU 44, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:51BGSU 4th & 9 at NU 18, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:26BGSU 4th & 12 at NU 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:44NU 4th & 5 at NU 6, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:49NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:09BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:58NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:58NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:27NU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:07NU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:51NU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:26NU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.7%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to MILLER, Scott, PENALTY NU pass interference (Igwebuike, G.) 15 yards to the BGSU40, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
91.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
91.7%
James Morgan sacked by Jordan Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 29 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Josh Cleveland , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+6
91.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
91.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
91.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 3 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
91.2%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
91.3%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson, broken up by Robert Jackson Jr.Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
91.2%
John Moten IV run for no gain to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
91.2%
Hunter Niswander punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
90.5%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
90.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding, broken up by Joe GazianoSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+4
90.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+6
90.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 47 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:2790% → 91%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
50
+2
90.4%
John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
90.4%
John Moten IV run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+16
90.4%
Clayton Thorson run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
90.4%
Jeremy Larkin run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+14
90.4%
Clayton Thorson run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.8%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:3510% → 13%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
90.5%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+7
90.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 7 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
90.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
90.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+5
90.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 5 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
90.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
90.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+33
90.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 33 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
87.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:0688% → 90%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
88.1%
Clayton Thorson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
88.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
90.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 58 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 57 yds · 1:5311% → 11%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+18
89.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
89.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
89.5%
Matt Domer run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+11
89.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
89.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Pete Norris for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-3
88.9%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+9
89.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 9 yds Datrin Guyton fumbled, forced by Montre Hartage, recovered by Nwest Godwin Igwebuike , return for 45 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8TD
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
92.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 18 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
91.6%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
91.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 10 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
91.6%
Matt Domer run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
91.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
91.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3492% → 96%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.2%
Justin Jackson run for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
92.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 28 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
92.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 27 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
92.6%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.7%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 3:195% → 5%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
95.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
95.0%
WILSON, Donovan rush for 4 yards to the BGSU40 (Lancaster, T.), PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the BGSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
95.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Nate HallSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-2
95.3%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+21
95.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
50
+14
94.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 14 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
94.9%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the Nwest 36Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
94.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
95.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Matthew Wilcox Jr., broken up by Brett WalshSimilar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 10
OPP 36
-5
95.1%
DAVIDSON, Joe punt 30 yards to the NU6, downed, PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the NU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
95.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 4:3796% → 99%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
96.4%
John Moten IV run for 1 yd to the Nwest 11Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
96.4%
John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+11
96.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 11 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
96.4%
Jeremy Larkin run for 8 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
96.5%
Jelani Roberts run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Cameron JefferiesSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
96.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
96.4%
Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
96.5%
John Moten IV run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+18
96.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 18 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.7%
Jeremy Larkin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
99.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
99.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton, broken up by Montre HartageSimilar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-2
98.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 43 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0999% → 99%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jalen Brown for 8 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.0%
Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+18
99.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 18 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-11
99.0%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Shannon Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.2%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 10Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+20
99.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 20 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.2%
Justin Jackson run for 11 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-5
99.1%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Josh Croslen for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+13
99.2%
Hunter Niswander punt for 54 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 13 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 44 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.3%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+3
99.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 3 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+2
99.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 61 yds, downed at the Nwest 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 15Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 11 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
99.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 14 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.5%
Jelani Roberts run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 48 Jelani Roberts fumbled, forced by Armani Posey, recovered by BwGrn Brandon HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.5%
James Morgan sacked by Tyler Lancaster for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-1
99.5%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
99.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+53
99.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 51 yds, downed at the NORTHWSTRN 4 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the Nwest 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 98 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.7%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 2Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+10
99.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 10 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.7%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+42
99.7%
Justin Jackson run for 42 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
99.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 39 yds Jeremy Larkin fumbled, forced by Brandon Harris, recovered by BwGrn Torrian HamptonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
99.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
99.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
99.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 21 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Jared Wyatt, broken up by Godwin IgwebuikeSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
99.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding, broken up by Trae WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:07100% → 100%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 3 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
99.8%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 14 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.8%
Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+7
99.8%
Clayton Thorson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.8%
Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+28
99.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 28 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Garrett Dickerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 13 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 13 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Jarret Doege run for 5 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+11
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 11 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
99.9%
Matt Domer run for 14 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Matt Domer run for 1 yd to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Matt DomerSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 9
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+68
99.9%
Matt Alviti run for 68 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Jesse Brown run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jesse Brown run for 8 yds for a TD, (Makay Redd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 5 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 10 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Janarvis Pough, broken up by Alonzo MayoSimilar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 5 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-7
99.9%
Jarret Doege sacked by Trent Goens for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Nwest 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
100.0%
TJ Green run for no gain to the Nwest 1Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.9%
TJ Green run for 1 yd to the Nwest 2Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 9
OWN 2
-1
99.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-1 Yards) to the Nwest 1Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.9%
TJ Green pass complete to Jackson Tirmonia for 5 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
100.0%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Terence Stephens Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+12
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 12 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Matt Domer for 4 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Matt Domer for 3 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by JR PaceSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+6
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 6 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:09
Josh Cleveland run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q2 13:58
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 18 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 10:27
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com