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NIU

Northern Illinois 21 at Nebraska 17

NEB
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:19 · Matt Ference punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 1 yd to the Neb 30 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+12.0Home team on offense−17.6Score differential−9.5Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:05: Tanner Lee run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +17.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:14: Tanner Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +24.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:52: Jordan Huff run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +34.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:31: Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35 — NIU win probability +14.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36: Jordan Huff run for 44 yds to the NEBRASKA 26 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lamar Jackson) to the Neb 13 for a 1ST down — NIU win probability +17.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 12NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:19NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 9, down 7
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:42NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:02NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:16NIU 4th & 3 at NEB 22, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%−0.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:26NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:36NIU 4th & 29 at NIU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−4.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:26NEB 4th & 3 at NIU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    47.8%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 20 at NIU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−2.6
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:51NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:19NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−3.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:17NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:00NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:35NEB 4th & 2 at NIU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−2.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−4.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:15NEB 4th & 7 at NIU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−13.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−5.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:35NEB 4th & 7 at NIU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−5.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:59NIU 4th & 5 at NEB 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−2.0
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%−3.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:09NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 16, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:24NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:13NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:05NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:14NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:52NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1INT TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3676% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
75.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for 5 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
75.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 36 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
75.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+11
75.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 11 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
75.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for 7 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+87
74.3%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Shawun Lurry return for 87 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
73.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
73.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 5 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
73.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
73.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
72.6%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
72.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 3 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
72.5%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
72.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
72.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 7 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
72.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to D.J. Brown NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
72.5%
Matt Ference punt for 53 yds, downed at the Neb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
71.3%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+5
71.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 5 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
71.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Albert SmallsSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
70.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
69.7%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
69.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 3 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
69.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
70.1%
Matt Ference punt for 47 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6INT TD
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:2770% → 62%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
69.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
69.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 11 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
69.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan for 17 yards to the NEB37, PENALTY NEB holding (Matt Farniok) 10 yards to the NEB10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-4
69.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 6 yds to the Neb 16 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 24
OWN 6
+7
69.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 7 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+8
69.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 8 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+25
62.4%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Jawuan Johnson return for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
50
-5
63.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
63.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
63.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
62.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Mikale Wilbon, broken up by Sutton SmithSimilar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
62.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:5439% → 45%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
60.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jordan Huff for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
60.3%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
60.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Spencer Tears for 5 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
60.3%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+14
59.8%
Jordan Huff run for 14 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
59.7%
Jordan Huff run for 19 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
59.6%
Christian Blake pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
59.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Marcus Jones for 1 yd to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+6
59.9%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
55.0%
Christian Hagan 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:5056% → 51%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
56.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
56.2%
JD Spielman run for 7 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+13
56.8%
Mikale Wilbon run for 13 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
57.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 39 Mikale Wilbon fumbled, recovered by Neb Tanner LeeSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+14
56.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 14 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
53.1%
Tanner Lee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
53.2%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
53.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-8
51.7%
Tanner Lee sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
50.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 3:2651% → 50%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
49.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Spencer Tears for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 15Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+15
49.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 15 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
49.6%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
49.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 12 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-13
47.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the NoIll 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoIll Daniel SantacaterinaSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 23
OWN 33
0
45.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to D.J. Brown, broken up by Khalil DavisSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 23
OWN 33
-6
46.1%
Daniel Santacaterina run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 29
OWN 27
-5
50.1%
Matt Ference punt for 47 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 21 De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, recovered by Neb De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11MISSED FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 3:2647% → 40%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
47.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 13 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
47.7%
Mikale Wilbon run for 25 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
50.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
50.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Mikale WilbonSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+14
49.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 14 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
51.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 7 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
51.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
50.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+11
49.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 11 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
51.0%
Tanner Lee sacked by Ben LeRoy for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
50.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-3
49.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+37
40.0%
Drew Brown 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by William Lee TEAM return for no gain to the NoIll 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.5%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
39.3%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
39.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Shane WimannSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+10
40.4%
Matt Ference punt for 53 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 10 yds to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
39.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+1
39.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 1 yd to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
38.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+12
38.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds , Jalen Embry returns for 12 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
35.1%
Daniel Santacaterina run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
35.1%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-8
34.9%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Carlos Davis and Luke Gifford for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 14
OWN 29
+1
36.9%
Matt Ference punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 1 yd to the Neb 30 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
34.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for 6 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
34.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
33.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler Hoppes, broken up by Mycial AllenSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 4
OWN 25
-22
33.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds , Jalen Embry returns for a loss of 22 yards to the NoIll 2 Jalen Embry fumbled, recovered by Neb Marquel DismukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4836% → 53%
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
35.9%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 4Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
53.2%
Tanner Lee run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
44.1%
Jordan Huff run for 18 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
41.8%
Christian Blake run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 42 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+3
42.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 3 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
42.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Matt Ference punt for 45 yds, downed at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:2046% → 49%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
45.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
45.4%
Mikale Wilbon run for 11 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
45.7%
JD Spielman run for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 15Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+15
45.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 15 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
46.7%
Luke McNitt run for 4 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
46.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+28
45.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 28 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
50.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
52.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
50.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Shawun LurrySimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+9
48.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
52.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Bryan Reimers, broken up by Kyle PughSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
52.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
50.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Connor KetterSimilar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
48.6%
Drew Brown 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:1557% → 54%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.9%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
40.9%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
43.5%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Khalil Davis and Alex Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 23 Daniel Santacaterina fumbled, recovered by NoIll Daniel Santacaterina , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+7
46.1%
Matt Ference punt for 47 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 7 yds to the Neb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:1447% → 78%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
46.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 21 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
50.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
50.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+36
50.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 36 yds to the NoIll 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
53.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 1Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.6%
Tanner Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2230% → 71%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
70.1%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 47 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
62.8%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
62.8%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
62.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 22Similar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+4
63.6%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 4 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+16
63.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 16 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.8%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:1142% → 42%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
41.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
41.1%
Mikale Wilbon run for 7 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+15
40.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 15 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
45.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 18 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
47.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Bryan ReimersSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
47.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 3 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
46.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Bryan ReimersSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
41.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler Hoppes, broken up by Mycial AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:3273% → 77%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
27.4%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
27.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 10 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
25.4%
Jordan Huff run for 14 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.2%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
19.8%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
20.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
22.8%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0031% → 27%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
30.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
31.1%
Tanner Lee run for no gain to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-8
28.7%
Tanner Lee sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+64
26.7%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Josh Corcoran return for 9 yds to the NoIll 25 NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shawun Lurry) to the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:0591% → 93%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+57
9.3%
Jordan Huff run for 44 yds to the NEBRASKA 26 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lamar Jackson) to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 13
OPP 16
-3
6.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 16
OPP 19
-5
7.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 21
OPP 24
-4
7.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:52
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-34.6
TD · Q4 11:14
Tanner Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+24.6
TD · Q3 8:05
Tanner Lee run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com