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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 3 at Minnesota 34

MINN
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:29 · Matt Bonadies punt for 50 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+28.0Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:53: Canon Rooker 45 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:02: Kobe McCrary run for 14 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +4.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:56: John Urzua pass intercepted for a TD Jacob Huff return for 67 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +6.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:56: Ryan Santoso kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — MINN win probability +4.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:17: Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 8:29MINN 4th & 3 at MTSU 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:29MINN 4th & 15 at MINN 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:34MTSU 4th & 25 at MTSU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:27MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:22MTSU 4th & 6 at MINN 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:16MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 10, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:53MTSU 4th & 10 at MINN 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:20MINN 4th & 8 at MTSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:20MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:58MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 37, down 17
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:40MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 46, up 17
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:34MINN 4th & 1 at MTSU 3, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:27MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 44, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:40MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 28, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:32MTSU 4th & 5 at MINN 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:08MINN 4th & 2 at MTSU 27, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 6:02MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:56MINN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:17MINN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:27MINN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 6:3181% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
81.0%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
81.0%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+7
81.0%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
79.8%
Emmit Carpenter 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.8%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
79.7%
John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
79.9%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-2
80.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 50 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
79.2%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
79.0%
Conor Rhoda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
78.8%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
78.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
79.0%
John Urzua run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
78.7%
Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+22
78.7%
Richie James run for 22 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
78.5%
Richie James run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-10
78.2%
LEE, Ty rush for 5 yards to the MINN29 (Winfield, A), PENALTY MT holding (UPTON, Isiah) 10 yards to the MINN44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 17
OPP 44
-3
78.8%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 47 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 20
OPP 47
0
79.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 20
OPP 47
-5
79.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 25
OWN 48
0
79.4%
Matt Bonadies punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
78.0%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 24 MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Donnell Greene) to the Minn 12Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+11
77.9%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 11 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
77.6%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for no gain to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:1923% → 24%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
77.4%
John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+18
77.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Isiah Upton for 18 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
76.5%
John Urzua run for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
76.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah Upton, broken up by Jonathan CelestinSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
76.6%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah UptonSimilar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
76.5%
John Urzua punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
76.6%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
76.5%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 4Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+6
76.0%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+3
76.0%
Ryan Santoso punt for 64 yds , Ty Lee returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:5424% → 26%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+25
76.5%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 25 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.3%
Ty Lee run for no gain to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+18
75.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 18 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.6%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
74.8%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Duke McGheeSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
75.4%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
73.6%
Canon Rooker 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3376% → 76%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
76.1%
Rodney Smith run for 29 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
77.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
77.0%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Kobe McCrarySimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
76.4%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
76.0%
Emmit Carpenter 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.6%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah Upton, broken up by Jonathan CelestinSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
76.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5578% → 83%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
77.8%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+18
77.7%
Rodney Smith run for 18 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-11
77.9%
Conor Rhoda sacked by Darius Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 21
OPP 36
+27
77.0%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 27 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
77.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
82.5%
Kobe McCrary run for 14 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12INT TD
12 plays · 36 yds · 4:0619% → 13%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
81.1%
John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
80.6%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
80.6%
John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-10
79.9%
URZUA, John pass incomplete to LEE, Ty, PENALTY MT holding (HARRIS, Luke) 10 yards to the MT30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-2
81.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Desmond Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+5
83.0%
URZUA, John rush for 13 yards to the MT41 (Moore, Gary), PENALTY MINN offside (Cashman, Blake) 5 yards to the MT33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+20
82.8%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 20 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
80.6%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
80.2%
John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ Windham, broken up by Zo CraightonSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+67
86.8%
John Urzua pass intercepted for a TD Jacob Huff return for 67 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5811% → 11%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.6%
Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
88.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
88.8%
Brad Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
89.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 64 yds, downed at the Minn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
92.0%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.3%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
89.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ Windham, broken up by Zo CraightonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+6
89.7%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
89.4%
Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
89.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
90.0%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 3 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.2%
Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 39Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
90.1%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+2
89.8%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 2 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
89.2%
Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
91.2%
John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 13 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
90.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.6%
John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for no gain to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
90.8%
John Urzua pass intercepted Colton Beebe return for no gain to the Minn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
17 plays · 56 yds · 8:0694% → 99%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
93.6%
Demetrius Douglas run for 2 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
93.6%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
93.4%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.6%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
93.6%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Phillip Howard for 8 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
93.4%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
93.6%
Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+6
93.6%
Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
93.6%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+5
94.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+1
94.7%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
94.8%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 5 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
94.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
94.7%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
94.2%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
97.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
97.9%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
98.3%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:2299% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Conor Rhoda run for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+50
99.1%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 50 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Kyle Banks pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Brad Anderson run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.8%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Brad Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-2
99.8%
Kyle Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Wesley BushSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 2 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Ryan Santoso punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass complete to Tyrese Johnson for 15 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass complete to Brad Anderson for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass complete to Tyshawn Brown for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-5
99.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Amir Luckett) to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+14
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 14 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
99.9%
Kyle Banks sacked by Andrew Stelter for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass complete to Tyrese Johnson for 9 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass incomplete to Tyshawn BrownSimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Kyle Banks pass incomplete to Desmond AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
McCrary, Kobe rush for 3 yards to the MINN43 (FELTON, Caleb;POYDRAS, R.), PENALTY MT offside (HARGES, Myles) 5 yards to the MINN45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:56
John Urzua pass intercepted for a TD Jacob Huff return for 67 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q3 1:17
Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 6:02
Kobe McCrary run for 14 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com