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UNT

North Texas 14 at Iowa 31

IOWA
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:16 · Alvin Kenworthy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Joshua Jackson at the Iowa 9 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Kemon Hall) to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+21.1Home team on offense−4.6Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:52: Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 8 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:11: Jalen Guyton 13 Yd pass from Quinn Shanbour (Trevor Moore Kick) — UNT win probability +11.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:24: Noah Fant 23 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +13.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:16: Ivory Kelly-Martin 2 Yd Run (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +11.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:47: Ivory Kelly-Martin 6 Yd Run (Miguel Recinos Kick) — IOWA win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:40IOWA 4th & 3 at UNT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:36IOWA 4th & 1 at UNT 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:07UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:36IOWA 4th & 4 at UNT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:12UNT 4th & 4 at IOWA 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:23IOWA 4th & 9 at UNT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:15UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:46IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16UNT 4th & 14 at IOWA 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:24IOWA 4th & 5 at UNT 23, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−9.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:06UNT 4th & 8 at IOWA 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:46UNT 4th & 13 at UNT 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:47IOWA 4th & 1 at UNT 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:34UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:52IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:11UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:24IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:16IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:47IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1FUMBLE
13 plays · 76 yds · 6:2690% → 89%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
90.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 9 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
90.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
90.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 14 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
89.9%
James Butler run for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
89.8%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+1
89.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-2
89.5%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+7
89.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 7 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
89.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+12
89.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 12 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
89.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
88.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 6 yds Nick Easley fumbled, recovered by NoTex touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2812% → 15%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
88.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 6 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
88.1%
Jeffery Wilson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
87.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
87.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
50
+9
87.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinetin Jackson for 9 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+41
85.3%
Jeffery Wilson run for 41 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK, NORTH TEXAS Illegal Formation Penalty on PAT, -5 yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3186% → 87%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+53
86.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 68 yds to the IOWA 6 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
86.0%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 1 yd to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+8
85.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 8 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
84.9%
James Butler run for no gain to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+2
84.1%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
84.4%
James Butler run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 13Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
83.9%
Nathan Stanley run for 5 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 8 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:3315% → 15%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
85.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+12
85.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 12 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
85.0%
Jeffery Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
84.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to - Team for 7 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-15
84.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 25
OWN 20
-6
84.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 14Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 31
OWN 14
+15
84.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 15 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
84.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:1986% → 84%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
85.5%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
85.6%
James Butler run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+9
85.1%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 9 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
85.2%
James Butler run for 6 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
84.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
84.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:1617% → 20%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-4
82.3%
Jeffery Wilson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 40 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+41
82.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 41 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
80.3%
Jeffery Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+7
80.2%
Nic Smith run for 7 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
80.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
80.5%
Trevor Moore 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joshua JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:2783% → 83%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.1%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
82.8%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+12
81.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 12 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
83.4%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+27
82.8%
James Butler run for 12 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ashton Preston) to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
83.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.7%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
83.6%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
82.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
83.4%
Miguel Recinos 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5517% → 17%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.0%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
82.4%
Jeffery Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
82.4%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1484% → 83%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
83.5%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+2
83.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 2 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.3%
Nathan Stanley sacked by E.J. Ejiya for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 16 Nathan Stanley fumbled, recovered by NoTex T.J. Tauaalo , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the Iowa 16 T.J. Tauaalo fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5981% → 81%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
81.4%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-2
81.2%
Toren Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
81.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
80.6%
Colten Rastetter punt for 47 yds, downed at the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 0:2918% → 33%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
82.6%
Fine, Mason pass incomplete to Guyton, Jalen, PENALTY IOWA roughing passer 15 yards to the NORTHTEXAS49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHTEXAS.Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
67.1%
Jalen Guyton 13 Yd pass from Quinn Shanbour (Trevor Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
71.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:2829% → 31%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
71.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 14 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
69.2%
Jeffery Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
68.6%
Jeffery Wilson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
67.6%
Jeffery Wilson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
67.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 10 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
66.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-13
66.0%
Mason Fine sacked by Parker Hesse for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Mason Fine fumbled, forced by Parker Hesse, recovered by NoTex NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 23
50
+9
68.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 9 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 14
OPP 41
+17
69.2%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Joshua Jackson at the Iowa 9 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Kemon Hall) to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 6:3869% → 78%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.9%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
68.2%
James Butler run for 7 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
67.6%
Stanley, Nathan pass incomplete, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS offside 5 yards to the IOWA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
68.6%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
69.8%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
69.0%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.7%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
68.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 10 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
68.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 1 yd to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+8
67.5%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 8 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
66.8%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
68.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
67.9%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
64.4%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+23
78.0%
Noah Fant 23 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:5424% → 24%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.2%
Jeffery Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
75.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 15 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
74.1%
Jeffery Wilson run for 12 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
72.7%
Jeffery Wilson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
72.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Team, -Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
72.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin SmithSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
75.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Joshua Jackson at the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
18 plays · 87 yds · 8:4476% → 92%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
75.9%
Toren Young run for 12 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.9%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
75.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 8 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+2
77.8%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
77.8%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
80.6%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
80.8%
Toren Young run for 9 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
80.7%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Alaric Jackson) to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+5
79.4%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
80.4%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+7
79.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 7 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
81.1%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
81.0%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+25
79.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 23 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (2 Yards) to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.1%
Toren Young run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
80.9%
Toren Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 2Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin 2 Yd Run (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:049% → 6%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
91.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 13 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
92.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 5 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-10
91.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+2
92.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jeffery Wilson for 2 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 13
OWN 18
0
93.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 13
OWN 18
+17
93.8%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 42 yds , Joshua Jackson returns for 17 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
14 plays · 43 yds · 3:5293% → 99%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.2%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
93.1%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+12
93.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 12 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
93.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
94.9%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+10
95.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 10 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
95.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
96.5%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
96.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin 6 Yd Run (Miguel Recinos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Joshua Jackson return for 5 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20Uncategorized
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:3399% → 99%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.2%
Toren Young run for 15 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.2%
Toren Young run for 11 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:24
Noah Fant 23 Yd pass from Nathan Stanley (Miguel Recinos Kick)
+13.5
TD · Q4 8:16
Ivory Kelly-Martin 2 Yd Run (Miguel Recinos Kick)
+11.3
TD · Q2 0:11
Jalen Guyton 13 Yd pass from Quinn Shanbour (Trevor Moore Kick)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com