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WIS

Wisconsin 40 at BYU 6

BYU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:15 · Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the BYU 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense−50.4Pregame prior−6.8Score differential−43.9Garbage-time factor−16.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:55: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +4.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +5.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Rhett Almond 32 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +1.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:59: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 9:41WIS 4th & 2 at BYU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:47BYU 4th & 14 at WIS 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:12BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:05BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:28WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:23BYU 4th & 16 at BYU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:04BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:46WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 42, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:15WIS 4th & 1 at BYU 12, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:00WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:55WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:25WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:59WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:00WIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0814% → 15%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
14.3%
Ula Tolutau run for 6 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
14.5%
Ula Tolutau run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+2
14.8%
Beau Hoge pass intercepted T.J. Edwards return for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:4985% → 84%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
14.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+3
14.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
15.2%
Chris James run for 11 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
15.5%
Chris James run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+3
15.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 3 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+7
16.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 7 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+23
16.4%
Rafael Gaglianone 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3FG
17 plays · 61 yds · 6:4317% → 20%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.5%
Ula Tolutau run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
16.8%
Ula Tolutau run for 9 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
16.9%
Ula Tolutau run for 5 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
17.3%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+7
17.4%
Beau Hoge run for 7 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
17.8%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+18
18.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 18 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
18.5%
Beau Hoge run for 7 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
18.8%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
18.8%
Beau Hoge run for 10 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
19.2%
Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the Wisc 4Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
19.5%
Hoge, Beau rush for loss of 2 yards to the WISCONSIN6, PENALTY BYU holding (Kanuch, Tuni) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-3
19.5%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-5
19.1%
BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (Beau Hoge) to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
+8
19.4%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
20.3%
Rhett Almond 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3480% → 83%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
20.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 50 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
19.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
19.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
19.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5819% → 18%
Q2 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
18.8%
Austin Kafentzis run for no gain to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+1
18.3%
Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
18.3%
Jonny Linehan punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:5582% → 87%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
18.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
18.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+13
18.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
17.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
17.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
18.0%
Chris James run for 7 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
18.0%
Austin Ramesh run for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
18.1%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
13.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4514% → 15%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.1%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Talon Shumway, broken up by Natrell JamersonSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
13.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 11 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
14.8%
Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
14.7%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Beau Tanner for 5 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+1
15.0%
Beau Hoge run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+2
14.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 40 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:3586% → 93%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
14.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
14.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+17
14.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 17 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
13.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 20 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
13.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
13.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Chris James for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+16
12.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 16 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
12.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
12.0%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for 5 yards to the BYU9, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Biadasz, Tyler) 10 yards to the BYU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+9
12.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 9 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
7.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9END OF HALF
10 plays · 60 yds · 0:249% → 13%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
8.7%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Micah Simon for 50 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
10.1%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Talon Shumway for 5 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
10.0%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Trey DyeSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
9.7%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Beau Tanner, broken up by Nick NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+5
10.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+32
12.8%
Rhett Almond 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:0291% → 92%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
8.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
8.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-6
8.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 14
OWN 40
-10
8.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Chris James for 5 yds to the Wisc 40 WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Biadasz) to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 24
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Chris James run for no gain to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 24
OWN 25
+11
8.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 11 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
8.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tanner Jacobson at the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 4:059% → 9%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
9.3%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Tuni Kanuch) to the BYU 8Similar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+1
9.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 9Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+8
8.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+8
9.0%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.1%
Trey Dye run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
9.1%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
8.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Matt Bushman for 9 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
9.3%
Ula Tolutau run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
9.5%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Ula Tolutau, broken up by Garrett RandSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
9.1%
Beau Hoge sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+1
8.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 48 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:0693% → 100%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
7.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 23 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
6.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
6.6%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for 5 yards to the BYU39, PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the BYU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+6
6.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
5.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 13 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
5.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+6
4.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 6 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
0.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Micah SimonSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.6%
Ula Tolutau run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Handsome Tanielu) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-11
0.4%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 11 yards to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+17
0.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Chris James for 17 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+1
0.4%
Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds , Tanner Jacobson returns for 1 yd to the BYU 43 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
0.4%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Micah Simon for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+1
0.4%
Trey Dye run for 1 yd to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+4
0.4%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.4%
Beau Hoge pass intercepted Dontye Carriere-Williams return for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
12 plays · 34 yds · 6:30100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
0.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+5
0.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
0.3%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 12
-10
0.3%
Rachid Ibrahim run for no gain to the BYU 12 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Micah Kapoi) to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+8
0.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 8 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
0.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
0.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
0.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+5
0.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 8
OPP 9
-10
0.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 18
OPP 19
+19
0.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 19 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17SF
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
0.1%
Beau Hoge sacked by Christian Bell for a loss of 14 yards, Beau Hoge fumbled, forced by Christian Bell, recovered by BYU Beau Hoge , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18END OF GAME
12 plays · 50 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
0.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
0.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
0.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
0.2%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
0.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
0.1%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
0.1%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
0.1%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
0.1%
Alec Ingold run for 5 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.1%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:25
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q2 7:55
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q3 2:59
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com