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FAU

Florida Atlantic 14 at Wisconsin 31

WIS
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:27 · Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+17.4Home team on offense+25.0Score differential+12.8Garbage-time factor+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:05: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:29: Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +2.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:29: Greg Joseph kickoff for 64 yds , A.J. Taylor return for 21 yds to the Wisc 22 — WIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:02: Rafael Gaglianone 20 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +1.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:12: Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 12:21WIS 4th & 4 at FAU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:35FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:35FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:40WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:11WIS 4th & 1 at FAU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:55FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:22FAU 4th & 13 at WIS 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:26WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:49FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02WIS 4th & 2 at FAU 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−3.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:15FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:58WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:15FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:03FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:21FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:27WIS 4th & 9 at FAU 36, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:08FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:15WIS 4th & 2 at FAU 19, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:54FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:00WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:40WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:09FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:05WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:29FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:12WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:3497% → 97%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
97.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
97.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
97.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
97.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlAtl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:253% → 3%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
97.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+3
96.9%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-2
96.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Devin Singletary for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
96.8%
Ryan Rickel punt for 53 yds, downed at the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:1597% → 97%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.7%
Danny Davis III run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+64
96.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 64 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:083% → 3%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Daniel Parr run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
96.8%
Daniel Parr run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
96.7%
Daniel Parr sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
Ryan Rickel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:5297% → 97%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+35
96.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 35 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
96.7%
Chris James run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
96.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 29 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:573% → 3%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.8%
Daniel Parr run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
96.8%
Ryan Rickel punt for 49 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 8 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3597% → 97%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
96.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 6 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
96.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+7
96.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds , Shelton Lewis returns for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:113% → 4%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+63
95.9%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 63 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:4996% → 95%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
95.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
95.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 20 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
95.8%
Chris James run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
95.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
95.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+13
95.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 13 yds to the FlAtl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
95.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:055% → 5%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
94.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+6
94.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 6 yds to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 8
-4
94.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Antonyo Woods) to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
94.8%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
94.9%
Ryan Rickel punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:3795% → 96%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for no gain to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+25
94.9%
Chris James run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Jalen Young) to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
94.8%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
96.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:294% → 4%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
95.7%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 13 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
95.6%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.5%
Daniel Parr run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-1
95.5%
Daniel Parr sacked by T.J. Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+35
95.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 35 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
95.1%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 13
OPP 21
0
95.2%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
95.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to John Franklin IIISimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 13
OPP 21
-5
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3796% → 96%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
95.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+15
95.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Leighton McCarthy return for 15 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:555% → 8%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
94.8%
Daniel Parr run for 8 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
94.8%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+4
95.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
94.7%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4993% → 93%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
93.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
93.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
92.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+4
92.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 43 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for 4 yds to the FlAtl 27 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:267% → 8%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
92.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.0%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-9
92.0%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reggie Bain) to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 19
OWN 39
+1
92.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+9
92.5%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
92.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17DOWNS
15 plays · 75 yds · 1:3892% → 93%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
92.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
92.3%
Chris James run for 11 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
92.4%
Chris James run for no gain to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
92.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 14 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+34
92.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 34 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
93.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
93.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
92.8%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
92.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
93.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:377% → 6%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.2%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
93.0%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Ladante HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
93.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 50 yds , Nick Nelson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 21 WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Mike Maskalunas) to the Wisc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0093% → 93%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
93.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
93.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+3
93.3%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
92.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
92.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds , Shelton Lewis returns for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:387% → 6%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.9%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
92.9%
Daniel Parr sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 16
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:0793% → 94%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.1%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+12
93.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
50
+14
93.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 36 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Shelton Lewis, recovered by FlAtl Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:527% → 6%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
93.4%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
93.0%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
92.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jakobi Smith) to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+1
93.4%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 19
OWN 38
-1
93.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+4
93.4%
Daniel Parr run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:4393% → 98%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
93.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.3%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+8
93.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 8 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
93.6%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
93.7%
Chris James run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
93.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+18
93.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
93.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
93.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
93.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:343% → 3%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
96.9%
Daniel Parr sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
97.2%
Daniel Parr sacked by Leon Jacobs for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
97.3%
Ryan Rickel punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4698% → 98%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.0%
Derrick Tindal run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
98.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
97.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:103% → 2%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+26
97.5%
Devin Singletary run for 26 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.3%
Daniel Parr run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-15
97.2%
Parr, Daniel pass complete to Bussey III, Henry for no gain to the FLAATLANTC34, PENALTY FLAATLANTC illegal block (McNeal, DeAndre) 15 yards to the FLAATLANTC19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 21
OWN 19
-5
97.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Jakobi Smith) to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 26
OWN 14
0
97.5%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 26
OWN 14
+11
97.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+2
97.7%
Ryan Rickel punt for 45 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:4798% → 98%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
98.0%
Chris James run for 11 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
98.1%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+9
98.1%
Chris James run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
98.1%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+17
98.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 17 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
98.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
98.2%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-1
98.3%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
98.3%
Rafael Gaglianone 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:062% → 2%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
98.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 30END OF GAME
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:2499% → 99%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
98.5%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
98.6%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.6%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
98.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
98.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
99.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Offside (James Pierre) to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+1
99.0%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
99.0%
Alec Ingold run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:12
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 4:29
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q2 9:05
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com