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COLO

Colorado 13 at Utah 34

UTAH
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:29 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense+15.0Pregame prior+15.2Score differential+10.8Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:01: Zack Moss run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:29: Troy Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Troy Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:34: Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +4.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:19: Steven Montez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — COLO win probability +3.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:39COLO 4th & 10 at UTAH 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 11 at UTAH 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:22COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:29UTAH 4th & 1 at COLO 48, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:55COLO 4th & 28 at COLO 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:22UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 30, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:38UTAH 4th & 6 at COLO 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:32COLO 4th & 12 at UTAH 39, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:19UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:58UTAH 4th & 11 at COLO 30, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 38, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:25UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:01UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:29UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:34COLO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:19COLO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
73.3%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-1
73.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+9
73.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 9 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
73.3%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
73.3%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
73.3%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.3%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
73.3%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-9
73.3%
Troy Williams sacked by Drew Lewis for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
73.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
72.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
72.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 4 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
72.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+7
72.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 54 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 7 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:3572% → 75%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
72.2%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
72.6%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
50
+25
72.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Zack Moss for 25 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
72.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 11 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
72.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 15Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
74.9%
Zack Moss run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:4626% → 26%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
74.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 7 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
74.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
73.7%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 3 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-15
73.5%
Montez, Steven pass complete to MacIntyre, Jay for 15 yards to the UTAH38, out-of-bounds, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Bobo, Bryce) 15 yards to the COLO32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 22
OWN 32
+23
74.2%
Steven Montez run for 23 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
73.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
73.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Kenric YoungSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
73.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Kavika LuafatasagaSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+51
74.4%
James Stefanou 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:3875% → 80%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
74.7%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+35
75.3%
Zack Moss run for 20 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Drew Lewis) to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
75.6%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 9 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+15
75.6%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Carrington, D., PENALTY COLO pass interference (Oliver, Isaiah) 15 yards to the COLO2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:5322% → 21%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
78.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 20 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
77.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
77.9%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
78.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Juwann WinfreeSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
78.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 4:2480% → 89%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
79.6%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
79.6%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+14
79.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 14 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
79.7%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
80.2%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+40
79.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 40 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
80.4%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+10
80.4%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
80.4%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
89.0%
Troy Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
88.2%
Steven Montez sacked by Bradlee Anae and Filipo Mokofisi for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+2
88.4%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+13
88.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 13 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
90.5%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
90.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
90.7%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
90.7%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
91.0%
Demari Simpkins run for 9 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
91.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Nate LandmanSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
90.7%
Cody Ippolito run for no gain to the Colo 48 Cody Ippolito fumbled, forced by Nate Landman, recovered by Utah Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
90.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 3:3810% → 8%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
90.1%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
89.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
89.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
89.8%
Devin Ross run for 6 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
89.6%
Lindsay, Philli rush for no gain to the COLO44 (Barton, Cody), PENALTY COLO personal foul (Haigler, Aaron) 15 yards to the COLO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 25
OWN 29
-8
90.1%
Steven Montez sacked by Cody Barton for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 33
OWN 21
-10
90.3%
Lindsay, Philli rush for 8 yards to the COLO29 (Anae, Bradlee), PENALTY COLO illegal use of hands (Irwin, Jeromy) 10 yards to the COLO11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 43
OWN 11
+2
90.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 41
OWN 13
+13
90.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 28
OWN 26
0
91.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 48 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:2094% → 98%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
93.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 16 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
94.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 9 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+15
94.1%
Zack Moss run for 15 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
94.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 10 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
94.2%
Zack Moss run for 15 yds to the Colo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Troy Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
97.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 60 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
98.6%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+10
98.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
98.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 8 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
98.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:381% → 6%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+21
98.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 21 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
98.8%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to MacIntyre, Jay, PENALTY UTAH holding (Guidry, Javelin) 10 yards to the UTAH42, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+13
98.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 13 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
98.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Chris Bounds for 19 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:5696% → 97%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
95.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+23
95.6%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 23 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
96.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 8 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
96.0%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
96.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 8 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+11
95.9%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
96.0%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 26 Troy Williams fumbled, recovered by Utah Troy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+7
96.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
95.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
97.2%
Matt Gay 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:133% → 5%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
97.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 21Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+14
97.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 14 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
97.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 28 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-5
97.0%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Jeromy Irwin) to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 12
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+19
97.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 19 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-8
96.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 18
OPP 28
+13
96.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 13 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+8
96.9%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
96.6%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
98.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.8%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Terran HasselbachSimilar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
95.5%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
95.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
95.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
95.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 2
OPP 26
0
95.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+12
95.3%
K.D. Nixon run for 12 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
95.0%
Steven Montez sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 33 Steven Montez fumbled, recovered by Utah Cody Barton , return for 0 yards , return for 13 yds to the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 5:1598% → 100%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
97.5%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
97.6%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
97.7%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+22
97.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 22 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
97.8%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+9
97.8%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 25 Troy Williams fumbled, recovered by Utah Zack Moss , return for 9 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-5
97.8%
Troy Williams sacked by Derek McCartney for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
99.5%
Matt Gay 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr., broken up by Boobie HobbsSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+7
99.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 7 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyre, broken up by Sunia TauteoliSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Cody BartonSimilar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-1
99.3%
Steven Montez sacked by Cody Barton for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.7%
Troy Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+10
99.7%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.7%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
99.7%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+13
99.7%
Troy Williams run for 13 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 4Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:29
Troy Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q3 9:34
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q1 1:01
Zack Moss run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com