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ARIZ

Arizona 30 at Arizona State 42

ASU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:21 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:45: Demario Richard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +15.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 8:50: Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds for a TD ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +16.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:18: Demario Richard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +14.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:04: Brandon Dawkins run for 50 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ARIZ win probability +12.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:51: Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 9 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +12.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:36ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:36ARIZ 4th & 4 at ASU 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:13ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:45ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:46ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 29, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:50ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:27ARIZ 4th & 16 at ARIZ 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:04ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:54ARIZ 4th & 16 at ARIZ 4, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−4.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:51ARIZ 4th & 3 at ASU 3, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:43ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:38ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:16ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:45ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:43ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:45ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:50ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:18ASU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:04ARIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:51ASU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.4%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
47.4%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
47.4%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
47.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Shun Brown returns for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:2952% → 55%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
47.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 9 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
47.6%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
47.7%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
47.6%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
47.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 5 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+12
47.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 12 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
47.5%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+15
47.5%
[NHSG], Tate, K. pass incomplete to Ellison, T., PENALTY ASU pass interference (Adams, Chad) 15 yards to the ASU26, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
47.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 23 yds to the ArzSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.5%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 0
OPP 1
0
47.5%
[SG], Wilson, N. rush for no gain to the ASU1 (Calhoun, DJ), PENALTY ASU offside 0 yards to the ASU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.3%
Zach Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
46.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+2
46.1%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-5
45.8%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Tony Fields II for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
45.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 37 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:0755% → 60%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
50
+28
44.9%
Shun Brown run for 13 yds to the ARIZONAST 37 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (Jay Jay Wilson) to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
44.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+8
44.7%
Khalil Tate run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.7%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
44.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 5 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.3%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:1742% → 46%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+48
41.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frank Darby for 48 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
42.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
43.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
43.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 9 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
43.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
42.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
43.1%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 21Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+3
43.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+18
45.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:4056% → 60%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 8 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
43.4%
Nick Wilson run for 10 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
42.6%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
42.8%
Khalil Tate sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+17
43.7%
Khalil Tate run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
42.3%
Nick Wilson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+6
42.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
42.2%
Nick Wilson run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+9
42.1%
Zach Green run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
42.1%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
42.1%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+3
42.4%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
40.5%
Josh Pollack 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5139% → 51%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
39.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
39.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
39.5%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
39.5%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+33
38.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 18 yds to the ARIZONAST 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Jace Whittaker) to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
41.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 21 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
41.8%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to John Humphrey for 9 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0254% → 65%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
46.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamie Nunley for 16 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
44.6%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
44.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 1 yd to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+42
45.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 42 yds to the ArzSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
34.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:3036% → 35%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
36.1%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Colin Schooler for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
35.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
34.9%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Parker Zellers for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+3
34.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 52 yds , Shun Brown returns for 3 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:2064% → 62%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
36.2%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+4
36.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+4
36.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
37.9%
Jake Glatting punt for 38 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for no gain to the ArzSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
35.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Jalen HarveySimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
35.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 19 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
37.2%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted for a 1ST down Lorenzo Burns return for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:5766% → 65%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.0%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
34.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
31.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
35.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shun Brown, broken up by Kobe WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
33.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
33.3%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
34.1%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
34.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Curtis Hodges, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 5 blocked by Curtis HodgesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2736% → 47%
Q3 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
35.8%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.0%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
47.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
44.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Bryce Wolma, broken up by Demonte KingSimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
45.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+11
45.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass intercepted Demonte King return for 11 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:5351% → 68%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
51.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
51.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
49.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
51.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Lorenzo BurnsSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
51.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+7
49.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
51.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
67.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds for a TD ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.9%
Tyrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
62.2%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
63.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 5 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
62.5%
Glatting, J. punt 35 yards to the ASU32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ASU roughing the kicker (Hodges, Curtis) 5 yards to the ARIZ38, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
60.3%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
59.9%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
60.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tyrell Johnson, broken up by Demonte KingSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+7
62.2%
Trevor Wood punt for 40 yds , Chad Adams returns for 7 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1665% → 84%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.0%
Demario Richard run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+35
67.5%
Demario Richard run for 35 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
69.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-1
69.3%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Finton Connolly for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+10
67.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 10 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
69.3%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.8%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:5118% → 14%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
81.9%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 15 yards to the Ariz 10Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+1
85.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+8
85.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for 8 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+5
86.1%
Josh Pollack punt for no gain , Curtis Hodges returns for 5 yds to the Ariz 14 Curtis Hodges fumbled, recovered by Ariz Branden LeonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:1315% → 30%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
85.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 19 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
84.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
83.4%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
83.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Jamie NunleySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+9
84.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 9 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
82.4%
[NHSG], PENALTY ARIZ false start (Wolma, B.) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 15
50
+50
70.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 50 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
71.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
70.6%
Manny Wilkins run for no gain to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-6
69.1%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 44 yds , Shun Brown returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 24 ARIZONA Penalty, IB (Scottie Young Jr.) to the Ariz 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0026% → 23%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
73.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 8Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 12
OWN 8
-6
75.1%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by Alani Latu for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 2Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+2
76.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 2 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 16
OWN 4
+7
77.2%
Jake Glatting punt for 36 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for 7 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:5283% → 96%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
83.0%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
83.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+11
81.5%
Demario Richard run for 11 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
83.0%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
83.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+7
81.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
83.0%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Jalen HarveySimilar
Q4 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 9 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 85 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+48
95.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 48 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
94.6%
Brandon Dawkins run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
93.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+14
93.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
93.8%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.8%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
94.3%
Zach Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Shawn Poindexter, broken up by Kobe Williams ARIZONA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:4497% → 98%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+63
96.9%
Demario Richard run for 63 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
97.4%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
98.0%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
98.0%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-1
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:50
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds for a TD ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+16.6
TD · Q3 12:45
Demario Richard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q3 2:18
Demario Richard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com