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WSU

Washington State 33 at Utah 25

UTAH
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:55 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−14.1Score differential−4.7Garbage-time factor−4.4Pregame prior−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:29: Zack Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 3:02: Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 1 yd for a TD (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:42: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Huntley pass for Two-Point Conversion) — UTAH win probability +11.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:23: Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds for a TD (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:19: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +12.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:35WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13WSU 4th & 3 at UTAH 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49WSU 4th & 6 at UTAH 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:12WSU 4th & 4 at UTAH 21, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:19UTAH 4th & 15 at WSU 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    38% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:19WSU 4th & 10 at midfield, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32UTAH 4th & 25 at WSU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:55WSU 4th & 10 at UTAH 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−8.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:55UTAH 4th & 22 at UTAH 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:15WSU 4th & 11 at UTAH 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:15UTAH 4th & 22 at WSU 47, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:33WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 9, up 16
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:40WSU 4th & 10 at UTAH 44, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44WSU 4th & 4 at UTAH 45, up 8
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:31WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:29UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:02WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:42UTAH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:23WSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:19UTAH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%−2.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
44.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
44.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
44.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
44.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
44.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
44.9%
Kyle Sweet punt for 40 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Utah 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Utah Boobie HobbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
45.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 17 yds Demari Simpkins fumbled, forced by Robert Taylor, recovered by WshSt Jalen ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:0155% → 57%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
44.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 3 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
44.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-5
44.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+20
45.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 20 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
44.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
44.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 8 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+6
44.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
44.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
44.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 3 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
43.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
44.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
44.3%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
44.1%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Robert Taylor return for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:5757% → 58%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
42.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+10
42.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 10 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
42.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 7 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
42.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
42.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
42.5%
Erik Powell 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
42.5%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Simpkins,Demari for 22 yards to the UTAH47 (Molton, Darrien), PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY WSU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
42.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 19 Tyler Huntley fumbled, recovered by WshSt Hercules Mata'afa , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1659% → 61%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
41.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 7 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
41.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
41.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-5
42.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
39.5%
Erik Powell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -22 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
41.1%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae. (Harper Jr, Sean), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Singleton, Rae.) 12 yards to the UTAH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 22
OWN 13
-4
41.0%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 9Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 26
OWN 9
0
40.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 26
OWN 9
-6
40.6%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 32
OWN 3
+24
40.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 27 , Davontavean Martin returns for 24 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5762% → 63%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
37.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack, broken up by Kavika LuafatasagaSimilar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
37.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 6 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
37.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle Sweet, broken up by Donavan ThompsonSimilar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
37.5%
Erik Powell 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:5339% → 38%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
38.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
39.0%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+9
38.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
38.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+15
39.1%
Huntley, Tyler pass intercepted by Strong, Marcus at the UTAH17, Strong, Marcus return to the UTAH17, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Strong, Marcus) 15 yards to the WSU43, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
39.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Justus Rogers for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+9
39.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 9 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+2
39.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
40.1%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
40.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-5
39.1%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Justus Rogers for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 15
OPP 38
+56
37.5%
Matt Gay 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
39.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
50
-6
38.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+6
38.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 10
50
0
38.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 10
50
0
39.5%
Kyle Sweet punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4837% → 50%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
37.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+76
37.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 71 yds to the UTAH 9 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Jahad Woods) to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
39.9%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Fakailoatonga,S, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Luvu, Frankie) 2 yards to the WSU2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.6%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2755% → 66%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
44.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 5 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
44.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+9
44.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 9 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
43.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 14 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
43.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 18 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
42.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
42.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Utah 5 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Defensive holding (2 Yards) to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
42.9%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 2Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
42.9%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 1 yd for a TD (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15MISSED FG
14 plays · 9 yds · 2:1836% → 31%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
36.3%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+13
35.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 13 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
36.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
36.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 16 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
37.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
37.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 12 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
37.5%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
37.5%
Demari Simpkins run for a loss of 15 yards to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 25
OPP 28
0
34.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan Thompson, broken up by Frankie LuvuSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 25
OPP 28
0
33.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 25
OPP 28
+45
31.2%
Matt Gay 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
32.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
31.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+22
32.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 22 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
31.0%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
31.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal Morrow, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+15
31.5%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tav, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Young, Kenric) 15 yards to the UTAH29, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
30.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+35
30.9%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Corrion Ballard return for 35 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+34
31.8%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Hunter Dale return for 34 yds to the Utah 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3971% → 78%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
28.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-4
28.8%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+4
29.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+28
22.5%
Erik Powell 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
27.6%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 16
OWN 31
-6
26.9%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Hunter Dale for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 22
OWN 25
0
25.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson Nacua UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
25.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:5679% → 84%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
20.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
20.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
50
0
20.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
50
+19
20.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Julian Blackmon) to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
20.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+7
20.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 7 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
20.0%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 17Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
20.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
20.6%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+33
16.1%
Erik Powell 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
18.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
18.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 19 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
20.2%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the WshSt 43 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+6
20.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
20.6%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+2
19.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-8
19.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 17
OPP 42
-5
18.2%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 22
OPP 47
0
18.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 yds, downed at the WshSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
12.9%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 12
OWN 1
0
13.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+8
13.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 8 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
13.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:3218% → 29%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
17.5%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
14.2%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Wilson, Siaosi, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY WSU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+17
17.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 17 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
18.4%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae., PENALTY WSU holding (Strong, Marcus) 10 yards to the WSU16, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
18.4%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
17.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+7
16.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
17.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Huntley pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
20.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
20.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 8 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
18.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
19.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 8 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+9
19.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 9 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
18.3%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
18.3%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
18.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
20.9%
Mitchell Cox punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
21.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
21.2%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 14 Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Daniel Ekuale, recovered by WshSt Jalen ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:1285% → 95%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
15.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Andre Dillard) to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+4
15.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 4 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+12
15.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 12 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
15.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
14.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (B.J. Salmonson) to the Utah 8Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
14.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
4.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds for a TD (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:047% → 22%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
7.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
7.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 23 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
8.2%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Salesi Uhatafe) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+13
7.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 13 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+16
9.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Jahad Woods) to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
22.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 29INT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
11.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
10.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 6 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
10.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack, broken up by Kavika LuafatasagaSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
10.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
10.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
50
0
9.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 7
50
0
10.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Kenric Young return for no gain to the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 30INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0012% → 16%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
11.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 2
OWN 21
0
12.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari Simpkins, broken up by Marcus StrongSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+3
11.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
12.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+16
11.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 16 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
14.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
13.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 11 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
16.0%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Chima Onyeukwu return for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1495% → 96%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
4.6%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
3.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-1
3.1%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
3.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 35 yds, downed at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 32INT
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:334% → 5%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
3.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 12 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
3.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+32
3.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 32 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.3%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the WshSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:19
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Gay KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q4 13:42
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Huntley pass for Two-Point Conversion)
+11.5
TD · Q4 8:23
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds for a TD (Erik Powell KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com