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WASH

Washington 22 at Stanford 30

STAN
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2017 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:23 · Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Wash 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior−0.5Home team on offense+24.8Garbage-time factor+7.0Score differential+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Bryce Love run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +5.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:15: Bryce Love run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +19.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:01: Jet Toner 32 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +9.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:48: Bryce Love run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +11.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:22: Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Browning pass to Dante Pettis for Two-Point Conversion) — WASH win probability +13.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:48STAN 4th & 8 at WASH 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:26STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.3%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:29STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:19WASH 4th & 1 at STAN 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−1.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−6.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:32STAN 4th & 8 at WASH 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:46WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.9
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:43WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:39WASH 4th & 4 at STAN 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:01STAN 4th & 5 at WASH 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−13.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:45STAN 4th & 4 at WASH 14, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−11.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:40WASH 4th & 29 at WASH 6, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−3.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:35STAN 4th & 7 at WASH 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:23WASH 4th & 21 at WASH 19, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:16WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:37WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:15STAN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:48STAN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:22WASH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:0230% → 32%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
29.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
30.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
30.4%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
30.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
50
0
31.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Donald Stewart, broken up by Greg GainesSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
50
+3
31.2%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-1
31.6%
K.J. Costello sacked by Azeem Victor for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
31.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:2468% → 70%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
31.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 11 yds Salvon Ahmed fumbled, forced by Frank Buncom, recovered by WashSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
31.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
31.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+6
32.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 24
OPP 37
+7
32.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 7 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+11
32.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
32.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 16 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
31.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
31.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+11
32.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
32.1%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 2Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 6:0831% → 39%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
30.6%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+1
30.8%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
30.6%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
31.0%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
31.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
31.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
31.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
31.4%
K.J. Costello run for 3 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
30.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 6 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
31.4%
K.J. Costello run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line K.J. Costello fumbled, recovered by Stanf K.J. Costello , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
50
+9
32.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+39
32.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 39 yds to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
33.0%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:0464% → 71%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
35.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
36.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
36.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+47
35.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 32 yds to the STANFORD 40 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Harrison Phillips) to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
34.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
34.5%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 15Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
29.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5431% → 31%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
31.4%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
31.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
31.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Connor WedingtonSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
30.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:0369% → 70%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
30.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+29
30.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 29 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
29.0%
Jake Browning run for 5 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+14
28.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
28.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
27.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-5
27.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+5
28.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
29.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Stanf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:3831% → 37%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
30.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 17Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+3
30.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+39
30.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 39 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
33.8%
Trevor Speights run for no gain to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
33.8%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+15
33.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 15 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
35.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
35.1%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
32.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
37.0%
Jet Toner 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3066% → 66%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 8 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
33.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Alameen MurphySimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
34.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jay Tyler at the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:3636% → 33%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trevor Speights for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
35.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
36.5%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Dalton Schultz) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
33.0%
K.J. Costello run for 18 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1165% → 63%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
34.6%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
34.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
36.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 4 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
36.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jay Tyler at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2037% → 57%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Daniel MarxSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
36.7%
K.J. Costello run for 5 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
37.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
50
-1
39.7%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 49Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+21
38.0%
Bryce Love run for 21 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
42.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 12 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
42.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 15
OPP 23
-3
42.0%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 18
OPP 26
0
40.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Keishawn BierriaSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 18
OPP 26
+13
38.3%
Costello, K.J. pass sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WASHINGTON35 (Vea, Vita), PENALTY WASHINGTON face mask (Vea, Vita) 13 yards to the WASHINGTON13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
57.3%
Bryce Love run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:2949% → 50%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
50.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 18 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
47.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
46.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Alameen MurphySimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
47.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
49.8%
Jake Browning punt for 42 yds, downed at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FG
14 plays · 81 yds · 7:2953% → 71%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
53.2%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+1
53.6%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 12Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+26
52.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 26 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
56.8%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
58.5%
Trevor Speights run for 1 yd to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+14
57.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 14 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
60.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
60.8%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+17
59.8%
Bryce Love run for 17 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
62.4%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
62.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Daniel Marx for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 0:06
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
61.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
71.2%
Jet Toner 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3238% → 37%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
60.3%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 14 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Dissly, Will) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+5
62.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 31 Myles Gaskin fumbled, forced by Bobby Okereke, recovered by Stanf Dylan JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3775% → 81%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
75.1%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
75.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 10 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
76.4%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
78.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Ezekiel TurnerSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+3
76.9%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
80.5%
Jet Toner 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 1:5719% → 15%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.9%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.8%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-18
84.0%
Jake Browning sacked by Bobby Okereke for a loss of 18 yards to the Wash 6Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 29
OWN 6
+14
85.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 37 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 14 yds to the Wash 29 WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (A.J. Carty) to the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:4484% → 95%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
84.4%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
95.4%
Bryce Love run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:187% → 19%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
93.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 20 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
92.5%
Dante Pettis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+15
92.9%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Baccellia, Andre, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Buncom, Frank) 15 yards to the STANFORD41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
92.8%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+10
93.1%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pettis, Dante, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Murphy, Alameen) 10 yards to the STANFORD34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
92.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
92.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 11 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
92.4%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Pettis, Dante for 3 yards to the STANFORD17, PENALTY WASHINGTON ineligible downfield on pass (McGary, Kaleb) 5 yards to the STANFORD25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+6
93.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 6 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+18
93.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 18 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.5%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Stanf 1Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Browning pass to Dante Pettis for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:4093% → 95%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+50
93.1%
Bryce Love run for 35 yds to the STANFORD 48 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ezekiel Turner) to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
93.5%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
94.6%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-1
95.4%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
95.1%
Jet Toner 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:078% → 5%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-10
93.7%
Coleman, Lavon rush for 17 yards to the WASHINGTON47, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (McGary, Kaleb) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+8
94.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 8 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 12
OWN 28
-9
94.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Bobby Okereke for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 21
OWN 19
+9
95.5%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:5798% → 98%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:15
Bryce Love run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
+19
TD · Q4 4:22
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Browning pass to Dante Pettis for Two-Point Conversion)
-13.4
TD · Q4 8:48
Bryce Love run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com