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STAN

Stanford 21 at Washington State 24

WSU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:10 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:49: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:30: K.J. Costello run for a loss of 8 yards K.J. Costello fumbled, recovered by K.J. Costello run for 22 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +17.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 2:37: Luke Falk pass intercepted by Bobby Okereke return for 52 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +23.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 6:56: Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 11 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +30.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:10: Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 25 — WSU win probability +12.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:22STAN 4th & 9 at WSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:47WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:21STAN 4th & 21 at STAN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:15WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39STAN 4th & 14 at STAN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53STAN 4th & 10 at WSU 37, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:51WSU 4th & 20 at STAN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:37WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.8%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:12WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:13STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:11WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:52STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−5.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:21STAN 4th & 7 at WSU 48, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:35WSU 4th & 5 at STAN 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:06STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:49WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:29WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:37STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:56WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2352% → 52%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
47.8%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
47.8%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Hunter DaleSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-5
47.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 11
50
+2
47.9%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
48.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0848% → 48%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
48.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+8
48.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 8 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
48.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+11
48.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
48.5%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-5
48.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Keith Harrington) to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
48.4%
Kyle Sweet punt for 62 yds, downed at the Stanf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1051% → 50%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
48.8%
Daniel Marx run for no gain to the Stanf 11Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+18
48.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 18 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
48.8%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
49.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
49.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Sean Harper Jr.Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+2
49.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5849% → 49%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
49.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+11
49.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 11 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
49.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
50.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 3 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
49.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
49.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 51 yds, downed at the Stanf 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 5:1951% → 49%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
49.5%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+6
49.6%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
49.6%
Ryan Burns run for 9 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+4
49.2%
Trevor Speights run for 4 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
49.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-6
49.6%
K.J. Costello sacked by Daniel Ekuale for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 22Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 18
OWN 22
-5
50.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 23
OWN 17
+2
50.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 21
OWN 19
+4
50.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 54 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 4 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0351% → 50%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
51.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James Williams, broken up by Mike TylerSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
50.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-1
51.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
50.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
42.5%
Bryce Love run for 52 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1144% → 54%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
44.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
45.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
45.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
45.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 5 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
45.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+24
45.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 24 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
54.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 2:0650% → 48%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
50.3%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 14
OWN 14
-2
50.1%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 12Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 16
OWN 12
-5
50.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Devery Hamilton) to the Stanf 7Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 21
OWN 7
+7
51.2%
Trevor Speights run for 7 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
51.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:0152% → 64%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+39
52.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 39 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
55.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
55.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
55.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 10 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
55.4%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Dillard, Andre) 10 yards to the STANFORD20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
-10
55.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST holding (Morrow, Jamal) 10 yards to the STANFORD30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 30
+3
55.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 3 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 27
+27
63.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 27 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:0740% → 38%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
60.5%
K.J. Costello sacked by Justus Rogers for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+24
62.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 24 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
59.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin, broken up by Marcus StrongSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
60.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+10
59.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 10 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
59.4%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 38 Bryce Love fumbled, recovered by Stanf JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+1
59.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 1 yd to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
60.6%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
62.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 33 yds, downed at the WshSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0963% → 63%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
63.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+2
62.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+4
62.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:0466% → 72%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
66.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
66.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
68.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
68.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+20
67.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 20 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
69.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+16
70.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 16 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
70.6%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-11
70.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 11 yards to the Stanf 24 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Falk) to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 20
OPP 24
0
68.4%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+41
71.9%
Erik Powell 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:1029% → 47%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
71.2%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+10
72.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 10 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+24
71.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Daniel Marx for 24 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
70.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
70.7%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+7
71.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 7 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
70.6%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+22
53.1%
K.J. Costello run for a loss of 8 yards K.J. Costello fumbled, recovered by K.J. Costello run for 22 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15INT TD
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:4761% → 41%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
59.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 7 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
59.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
63.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
64.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
64.2%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+52
41.2%
Luke Falk pass intercepted by Bobby Okereke return for 52 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2040% → 36%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
37.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
35.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trenton Irwin at the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5067% → 64%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
33.2%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
32.0%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
33.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
35.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 48 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for no gain to the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4938% → 35%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
38.1%
James Williams run for 11 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
38.5%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-9
37.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Joey Alfieri for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+11
36.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 11 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+7
35.0%
Kyle Sweet punt for 44 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 7 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0369% → 69%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
31.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-2
32.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+12
35.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 12 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
31.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 4:5036% → 75%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
36.0%
James Williams run for 12 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
37.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Jovan Swann and Jordan Perez for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 14 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
36.6%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+17
34.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 17 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
38.1%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
41.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 3 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
40.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 8 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
42.6%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
42.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 20 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
44.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 16 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
75.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 11 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1942% → 36%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
58.5%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
58.5%
Ryan Burns run for 3 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-2
59.3%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
64.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 3:3577% → 95%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
77.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
76.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
84.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
86.0%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
87.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
89.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-1
91.4%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 9
50
+4
92.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
94.5%
Kyle Sweet punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1512% → 11%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
88.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
88.4%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+8
89.4%
K.J. Costello pass intercepted Frankie Luvu return for 8 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:56
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 11 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+30.3
TD · Q3 2:37
Luke Falk pass intercepted by Bobby Okereke return for 52 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
-23
TD · Q3 6:30
K.J. Costello run for a loss of 8 yards K.J. Costello fumbled, recovered by K.J. Costello run for 22 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)
-17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com