Try the model
ORE

Oregon 3 at Washington 38

WASH
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:53 · Adam Stack punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+11.8Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+28.8Garbage-time factor+9.8Blowout margin+15.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:05: Dante Pettis 64 Yd Punt Return (Tristan Vizcaino Kick) — WASH win probability +4.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:54: Myles Gaskin 34 Yd Run (Tristan Vizcaino Kick) — WASH win probability +3.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:59: Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis — WASH win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:42: Dante Pettis 47 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Tristan Vizcaino Kick) — WASH win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:59: Lavon Coleman 31 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Tristan Vizcaino Kick) — WASH win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:16ORE 4th & 6 at WASH 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:49WASH 4th & 11 at ORE 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:04WASH 4th & 10 at ORE 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:05ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:57ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:17WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:40ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 14, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06ORE 4th & 4 at WASH 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:45ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:30ORE 4th & 19 at ORE 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:20WASH 4th & 11 at ORE 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:55WASH 4th & 1 at ORE 1, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 10:05WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:54WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:42WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:59WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:17WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 7:2811% → 14%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.9%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
88.9%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
88.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 9 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
88.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Charles Nelson for 4 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
88.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Charles Nelson for 3 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+13
88.1%
Royce Freeman run for 13 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
87.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 9 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+4
87.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
87.5%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
87.3%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
87.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
86.8%
Charles Nelson run for 2 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
86.5%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-1
86.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
86.2%
Aidan Schneider 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:1186% → 85%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
86.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
85.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
85.6%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-10
85.2%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Fuller, Aaron for 31 yards to the OREGON32, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Wattenberg, Luke) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 21
OWN 27
+46
84.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 46 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
85.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-5
85.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jaxson Kirkland) to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
85.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
85.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
84.6%
Tristan Vizcaino 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:5316% → 18%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
84.5%
Royce Freeman run for 19 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
84.0%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+8
83.7%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
83.2%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+6
82.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
82.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Charles Nelson for 7 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+18
82.5%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds to the Wash 15 Kani Benoit fumbled, forced by JoJo McIntosh, recovered by Wash Keishawn Bierria , return for 12 yds to the Wash 7 WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Ezekiel Turner) to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:1883% → 83%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
83.4%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Dillon Mitchell) to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
83.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
84.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
83.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 20 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
83.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
83.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 6 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+12
83.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
83.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Oregn 16Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-5
83.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Andrew Kirkland) to the Oregn 21Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+4
83.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 4 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
82.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
83.2%
Tristan Vizcaino 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3818% → 14%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
82.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 4 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
81.7%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+2
81.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+64
86.1%
Dante Pettis 64 Yd Punt Return (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4814% → 14%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
85.8%
Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-11
85.7%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 11 yards to the Oregn 14Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+12
86.2%
Royce Freeman run for 12 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
86.5%
Adam Stack punt for 31 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 26 OREGON Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2687% → 85%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
50
-1
87.0%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
86.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
85.4%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2514% → 14%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
85.7%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+6
85.7%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 15
-1
85.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 14 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, recovered by Oregn Royce FreemanSimilar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
86.2%
Adam Stack punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3187% → 91%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
86.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
90.5%
Myles Gaskin 34 Yd Run (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:2011% → 10%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
89.3%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Royce Freeman for no gain to the Oregn 37Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+9
89.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 9 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
89.3%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-3
88.6%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 6
50
+2
89.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
90.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1692% → 92%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
91.8%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
91.5%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Brady Breeze return for no gain to the Oregn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:349% → 9%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
91.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 8 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
90.6%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1491% → 97%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will DisslySimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
91.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 20 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
91.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-1
91.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+47
96.7%
Dante Pettis 47 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:304% → 4%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.0%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
95.9%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
95.9%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Charles Nelson for 4 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
96.0%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-4
96.2%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
96.5%
Adam Stack punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:3697% → 100%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+24
97.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 24 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
97.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+10
97.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
97.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+2
97.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-2
97.6%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+31
99.7%
Lavon Coleman 31 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 4 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 8 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+5
99.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
99.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-10
99.7%
Freeman, Royce rush for 4 yards to the OREGON45, PENALTY OREGON holding (Breeland, Jacob) 10 yards to the OREGON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-3
99.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 28 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, recovered by Oregn Braxton BurmeisterSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 14
OWN 28
-5
99.8%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Brenden Schooler) to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 19
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Adam Stack punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
99.8%
Salvon Ahmed 58 Yd Run (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.9%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-6
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Taylor Rapp for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Adam Stack punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:15100% → 100%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-11
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 45 Lavon Coleman fumbled, recovered by Wash Jake BrowningSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 21
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 16
50
+5
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dillon Mitchell at the Oregn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20INT
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
100.0%
Royce Freeman run for 15 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 18 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted Tevis Bartlett return for no gain to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 6:01100% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 10 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+14
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 14 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
100.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+6
100.0%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
100.0%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Oregn 7Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
100.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 7 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+8
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 8 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 8 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 4 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:42
Dante Pettis 47 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)
+5.2
TD · Q2 10:05
Dante Pettis 64 Yd Punt Return (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)
+4.2
TD · Q2 3:54
Myles Gaskin 34 Yd Run (Tristan Vizcaino Kick)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com