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COLO

Colorado 30 at Arizona State 41

ASU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:33 · Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 196Pregame prior+1.7Home team on offense+6.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:07: Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +11.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 4:55: Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 54 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — COLO win probability +18.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:38: Demario Richard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +26.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:09: James Stefanou 28 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +15.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:33: Eno Benjamin run for 19 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +34.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33COLO 4th & 9 at ASU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:33ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:36COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:09ASU 4th & 9 at COLO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:42ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.0%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:24COLO 4th & 1 at ASU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−1.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:38COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:11ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:29ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:02COLO 4th & 7 at ASU 36, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:02ASU 4th & 1 at COLO 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−3.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−4.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:00ASU 4th & 7 at COLO 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−11.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:48ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 30, down 10
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:41COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:37ASU 4th & 6 at COLO 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−8.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:37COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−3.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:09COLO 4th & 6 at ASU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−22.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:33COLO 4th & 14 at COLO 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:46COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:38ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:07COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:07ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:55COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:38ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:33ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:46ASU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
68.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
68.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
68.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle Williams, broken up by Derek McCartneySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+50
68.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 50 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:1532% → 33%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
68.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 5 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
68.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
68.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
68.1%
Steven Montez run for 13 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
68.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 8
50
0
68.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 8
50
+9
68.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 9 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
68.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
68.0%
Beau Bisharat run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+19
68.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 19 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
67.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 1 yd to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
67.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
68.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
67.1%
James Stefanou 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
67.1%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
66.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 16 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
67.5%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
67.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
67.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+3
67.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 3 yds to the Colo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
66.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Chris Bounds for 12 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
66.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
66.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-5
66.6%
[NHSG], PENALTY COLO delay of game 5 yards to the COLO19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
66.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 15
OWN 19
+3
67.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 47 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for 3 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:2866% → 65%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
66.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
66.6%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
50
+8
66.7%
Demario Richard run for 8 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
66.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
66.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
66.7%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
67.1%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
67.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-3
66.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Manny Wilkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
64.8%
Brandon Ruiz 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:2336% → 45%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
64.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
63.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
63.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+12
63.5%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
62.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
62.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+16
62.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 16 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
61.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+6
61.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
61.8%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
61.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
62.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
61.9%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
55.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0055% → 56%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
55.0%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+22
55.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 22 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
55.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
55.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
55.7%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3646% → 46%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
53.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 12 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
53.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
53.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+6
54.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
54.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the ArzSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4154% → 65%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
53.5%
[SG], Wilkins, Manny pass incomplete to Williams, Kyle, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Lewis, Drew) 15 yards to the ASU43, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
54.2%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+21
54.1%
Manny Wilkins run for 21 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
55.1%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
56.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 7 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
56.3%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
64.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
59.9%
Steven Montez sacked by Tashon Smallwood for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+23
60.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 23 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
58.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
58.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+1
58.2%
Steven Montez run for 1 yd to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
59.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
59.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
58.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+6
58.1%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 6 yds to the Colo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 1:1344% → 58%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
56.0%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+20
55.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 20 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
54.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+8
53.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 8 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
53.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Chase LucasSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+15
53.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 15 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.8%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 0:5445% → 60%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
45.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 16 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
46.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to John Humphrey for 16 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
48.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 14 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
50.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 6 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
47.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
59.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 25 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14MISSED FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+55
60.0%
Brandon Ruiz 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
54.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
55.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
57.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 67 yds, downed at the ArzSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
56.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 9
-3
56.1%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q3 14:29
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
54.8%
Manny Wilkins run for no gain to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q3 14:29
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
54.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3248% → 54%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
51.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
51.5%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-5
51.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
46.0%
James Stefanou 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:0250% → 55%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
49.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 17 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
50.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 9 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
52.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
53.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 7 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
53.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kyle Williams, broken up by Afolabi LagudaSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
53.1%
N'Keal Harry run for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
51.4%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
55.0%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+7
55.0%
Demario Richard run for 7 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
55.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
55.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
53.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to John HumphreySimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
54.9%
Brandon Ruiz 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:5550% → 71%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
50.0%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+7
48.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
29.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 54 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
31.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 2 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
31.8%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
31.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Demario Richard, broken up by Derek McCartneySimilar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+7
30.6%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 7 yds to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
30.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
31.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-1
32.0%
Steven Montez sacked by Alani Latu and Christian Sam for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+3
33.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 64 yds , N'Keal Harry returns for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32 ARIZONA ST Penalty, IB (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:4629% → 36%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
28.7%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+31
28.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 31 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
30.2%
Eno Benjamin run for 16 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
32.8%
Eno Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
32.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+19
32.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 19 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
32.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
32.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
30.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Jalen HarveySimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
35.6%
Brandon Ruiz 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0071% → 68%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
29.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Alani Latu for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+19
30.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 19 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
27.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
27.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-7
27.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Jay Jay Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+1
31.8%
TEAM punt , Deion Guignard returns for 1 yd to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:2437% → 66%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
37.3%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+9
37.3%
Demario Richard run for 9 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
39.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
39.3%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
39.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 6 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+6
39.3%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
65.9%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25FG
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:2946% → 66%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
54.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 60 yds to the ArzSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
46.6%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
46.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
48.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Chase LucasSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
33.6%
James Stefanou 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3642% → 85%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
42.1%
Demario Richard run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+40
43.2%
Demario Richard run for 40 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
50.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 7 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
84.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 19 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
70.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Chris Bounds for 11 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
68.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
64.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
63.9%
Jay MacIntyre run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 9
50
-5
63.7%
Steven Montez sacked by DJ Calhoun and JoJo Wicker for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
70.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
72.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 2:1185% → 98%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
85.0%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+63
84.9%
Demario Richard run for 63 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
91.6%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+11
92.5%
Eno Benjamin run for 11 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.7%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.8%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 29INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
97.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 13 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 14 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.8%
Steven Montez pass intercepted, touchback. Chad Adams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:33
Eno Benjamin run for 19 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+34.4
TD · Q4 8:38
Demario Richard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
+26.6
TD · Q3 4:55
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 54 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-18.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com