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UCLA

UCLA 17 at Utah 48

UTAH
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:11 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 48 yds , Mossi Johnson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 16 Mossi Johnson fumbled, forced by Caleb Repp, recovered by Utah Boobie Hobbs
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+17.5Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:57: Zack Moss run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:08: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:24: Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 24 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +9.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 14:48: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 75 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:04: Zack Moss run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:21UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:38UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:11UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:23UCLA 4th & 4 at UTAH 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:23UTAH 4th & 20 at UTAH 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:02UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07UTAH 4th & 7 at UCLA 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:48UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:58UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:07UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:46UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:15UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:02UTAH 4th & 2 at UCLA 32, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:21UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:18UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 37, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:57UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:08UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:24UCLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:48UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:04UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:13UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:59UCLA Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:27UTAH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:3929% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
70.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
70.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
70.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
70.7%
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
70.7%
Devon Modster pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
70.8%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0670% → 70%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
70.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
70.4%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-3
70.2%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Chigozie Nnoruka for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 6
OWN 19
-2
70.0%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 49 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
70.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
69.8%
Jalen Starks run for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
69.9%
Jalen Starks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
70.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:3570% → 69%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
70.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
70.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 2 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+4
70.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
70.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+8
70.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-5
69.4%
UTAH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-1
69.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 7
OWN 27
-3
68.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 48 yds , Mossi Johnson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 16 Mossi Johnson fumbled, forced by Caleb Repp, recovered by Utah Boobie HobbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:3671% → 74%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
70.5%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+2
70.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+15
70.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 15 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.8%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:2326% → 29%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
73.8%
Theo Howard run for 3 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+20
73.9%
Demetric Felton run for 20 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+42
73.4%
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 42 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
71.7%
Devon Modster sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+10
72.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 10 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+1
71.8%
Dymond Lee pass complete to Devon Modster for 1 yd to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
70.9%
JJ Molson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · -10 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
70.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi Wilson UTAH Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
70.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
70.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-7
70.6%
Moss, Zack rush for no gain to the UTAH15 (Young, Kenny;Wadood, Jaleel), PENALTY UTAH holding (Havili-Katoa, A) 7 yards to the UTAH8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 27
OWN 8
0
70.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+7
70.2%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
69.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
71.3%
Devon Modster pass complete to Jalen Starks for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+10
72.0%
Jalen Starks run for 10 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
70.8%
Jalen Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+14
72.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 53 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 14 yds to the Utah 27 Boobie Hobbs fumbled, forced by Mossi Johnson, recovered by Utah Cody Barton , return for 1 yd to the Utah 42 UCLA Penalty, illegal participation (Cody Barton) to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:4471% → 80%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
70.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+12
70.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 12 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
71.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
71.8%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-5
72.1%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Carrington, D. for 34 yards to the UCLA20 (Wadood, Jaleel), PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass (Toala, Paul) 5 yards to the UTAH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-5
71.5%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+14
70.9%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
50
+6
72.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 6 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
72.2%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
72.2%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
72.5%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
80.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4421% → 32%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
79.5%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+17
79.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 17 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
79.1%
Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
78.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
50
+26
77.8%
Devon Modster pass complete to Theo Howard for 26 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
68.4%
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 24 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:1772% → 76%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 12 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
72.4%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+13
73.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 13 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
73.6%
Zack Moss run for 15 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
73.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+7
73.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+13
73.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
73.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
73.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
73.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
75.8%
Matt Gay 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
76.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 75 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
83.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
83.8%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q3 14:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
84.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2585% → 96%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
85.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
85.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
86.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 0
0
85.3%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Thompson, Bryan, PENALTY UCLA pass interference off-setting, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
86.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
50
+5
85.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
86.0%
Zack Moss run for 13 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
86.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
86.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+6
85.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
95.9%
Zack Moss run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.0%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Wilson, broken up by Chase HansenSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
95.0%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+2
95.1%
Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 2 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+19
95.1%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 51 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 19 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:0796% → 100%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+43
95.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 43 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
99.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+4
99.3%
Devon Modster run for 4 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Devon Modster pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
99.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 5 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-3
99.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+8
99.5%
Devon Modster run for 8 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+12
99.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 45 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 12 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
99.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Darrin Paulo) to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+6
99.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+14
99.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 14 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Jacob Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 8 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+50
99.7%
Matt Gay 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:030% → 1%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Matt Lynch run for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Darren Andrews run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
50
+21
99.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 6 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Matt Lynch pass complete to Theo Howard for 6 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
99.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+8
99.8%
Jalen Starks run for 8 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.8%
Lynch, Matt pass incomplete to Pabico, C, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Hobbs, Boobie) 13 yards to the UTAH2, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the Utah 2Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
99.7%
Jalen Starks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
Matt Lynch pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:3299% → 100%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.8%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
98.9%
Kyle Fulks run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, personal foul (Darnay Holmes) to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.0%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 1
OPP 34
-1
99.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
98.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
99.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+12
98.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 12 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.0%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cody Ippolito for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Matt Lynch run for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Matt Lynch pass incomplete to Theo Howard, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
UTAH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 6 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 1 yd to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:04
Zack Moss run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q3 14:48
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 75 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+10
TD · Q2 4:24
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 24 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com