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UTAH

Utah 20 at Oregon 41

ORE
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFUMBLEFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.4ORE 99.8%Kani Benoit run for 21 yds for a TD,(Aidan Schneider KICK)AWAY 20 - HOME 41 · Q4 2:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:10 · Kani Benoit run for 21 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 171Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+23.8Garbage-time factor+14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.9Pregame prior−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 5:54: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for a loss of 6 yards for a TD Darren Carrington II fumbled, forced by Ugochukwu Amadi, recovered by Oregn Ugochukwu Amadi , return for 47 yds, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +9.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:36: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darrin Paulo for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +12.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 3:27: Charles Nelson pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 22 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +11.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:24: Tony Brooks-James run for 23 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +6.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:57: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 29 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q2 14:50UTAH 4th & 5 at ORE 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−3.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:40ORE 4th & 6 at UTAH 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−4.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:42UTAH 4th & 10 at ORE 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−5.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:54ORE 4th & 16 at ORE 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−2.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:30UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:12ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:36UTAH 4th & 1 at ORE 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−10.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:14ORE 4th & 10 at UTAH 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−8.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:49UTAH 4th & 6 at ORE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−9.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 13 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:57ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:29UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:22ORE 4th & 11 at UTAH 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:22UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 14, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:10UTAH 4th & 21 at UTAH 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:55ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:36UTAH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:27ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:24ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:57UTAH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:10ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0546% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Charles Nelson for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
45.5%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.5%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
45.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 6 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+9
45.5%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
45.5%
Kani Benoit run for 24 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
45.5%
Kani Benoit run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
45.5%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-5
45.5%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+15
45.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for 15 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
45.5%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Cam McCormick for 5 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 24 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
48.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
48.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+17
48.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 17 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
48.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 6 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+6
48.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
47.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 11 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
47.8%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-3
47.8%
Kyle Fulks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 14
OPP 23
-5
48.3%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 19
OPP 28
-8
48.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Jonah Moi and Jalen Jelks for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 27
OPP 36
-5
48.7%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 32
OPP 41
0
48.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 36 yds, downed at the Oregn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
52.2%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+11
52.1%
Taj Griffin run for 11 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
52.3%
Taj Griffin run for 8 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 2
OWN 27
-5
52.7%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 22Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
52.3%
Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-5
52.1%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-2
51.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 21 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, recovered by Utah Leki FotuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4049% → 50%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
51.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 14 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
51.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Oregn 3Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
51.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
50.1%
Matt Gay 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:1051% → 59%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-9
50.9%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 17Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+15
50.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for 15 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+6
50.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 6 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
51.5%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
52.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
50
+3
52.2%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
52.4%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+34
53.4%
Royce Freeman run for 34 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
54.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
54.3%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Charles Nelson for no gain to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
58.5%
Aidan Schneider 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FUMBLE TD
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:4643% → 35%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
56.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
57.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 4 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
57.2%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Carrington, Darren, PENALTY ORE pass interference 5 yards to the UTAH40, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
56.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
55.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 8 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
65.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for a loss of 6 yards for a TD Darren Carrington II fumbled, forced by Ugochukwu Amadi, recovered by Oregn Ugochukwu Amadi , return for 47 yds, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:1233% → 34%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.4%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+46
67.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 46 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
64.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 13 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
64.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
64.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
65.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson Nacua, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
66.1%
Matt Gay 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:4867% → 67%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.4%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
65.8%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Sunia Tauteoli for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 19Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+1
66.8%
Adam Stack punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 32 , Boobie Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2431% → 30%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
69.1%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Austin Faoliu for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 31 Tyler Huntley fumbled, recovered by Utah Tyler Huntley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+9
69.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 9 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
68.2%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
69.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dillon Mitchell at the Oregn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1370% → 71%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
70.2%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+2
69.9%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+2
69.1%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Adam Stack punt for 43 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
72.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:2431% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
69.0%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+14
67.8%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
67.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 33 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.8%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Oregn 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Oregn 1Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darrin Paulo for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:2258% → 69%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
58.4%
Tony Brooks-James run for 21 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
60.9%
Royce Freeman run for 14 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
61.7%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+14
62.6%
Burmeister, B. pass incomplete to Mitchell, D., PENALTY UTAH pass interference 14 yards to the UTAH21, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
62.6%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
65.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
68.9%
Aidan Schneider 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:2535% → 34%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
65.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-8
64.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Cody Ippolito for 7 yds to the Utah 42 UTAH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+25
66.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 25 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
62.2%
Zack Moss run for 19 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
59.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
60.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+4
62.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
66.0%
Matt Gay 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2272% → 86%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
71.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 56 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
75.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the Utah 19Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
75.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-5
74.4%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+22
85.9%
Charles Nelson pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 22 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 3:2716% → 12%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.2%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
84.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 10 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
82.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 5 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi Wilson, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
82.8%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
84.3%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Wilson, Siaosi, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the ORE47, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
81.2%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Carrington, Darren, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the UTAH43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
84.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+7
84.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
50
0
87.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
50
0
87.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dillon Mitchell at the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:1891% → 99%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
90.9%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 10Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+38
90.9%
Royce Freeman run for 38 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
91.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 17 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
92.0%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
92.0%
Kani Benoit run for 6 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
92.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
98.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 23 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:272% → 12%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
98.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
98.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 31 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Brady BreezeSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
88.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 29 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Darrian McNeal for 5 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
94.4%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
94.4%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
94.5%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
94.3%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+2
94.4%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+2
94.2%
Adam Stack punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 21 , Boobie Hobbs returns for 2 yds to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
93.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 17 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
92.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+6
93.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 6 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
92.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:2497% → 98%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
96.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-7
97.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+7
97.7%
Taj Griffin run for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Adam Stack punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-8
98.3%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Henry Mondeaux for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+11
98.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 11 yds to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:4898% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.4%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
Kani Benoit run for 21 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-11
99.8%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Jalen Jelks for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 21
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Devonta'e Henry-Cole, broken up by Deommodore LenoirSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 21
OWN 27
+13
99.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 14
OPP 44
-4
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:36
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darrin Paulo for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q3 3:27
Charles Nelson pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 22 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
+11.6
FUMBLE · Q2 5:54
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for a loss of 6 yards for a TD Darren Carrington II fumbled, forced by Ugochukwu Amadi, recovered by Oregn Ugochukwu Amadi , return for 47 yds, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com