Try the model
UCLA

UCLA 23 at Washington 44

WASH
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:25 · Stefan Flintoft punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+6.7Home team on offense+36.6Score differential+31.1Garbage-time factor+11.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3Blowout margin+16.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:00: JJ Molson 42 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +1.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:07: Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +2.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:23: Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 8 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson PAT MISSED) — UCLA win probability +4.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:46: Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:27: Lavon Coleman run for 33 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +6.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:00UCLA 4th & 9 at WASH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:00WASH 4th & 4 at UCLA 14, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:56UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:46UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:50WASH 4th & 3 at UCLA 9, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:54UCLA 4th & 20 at UCLA 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:31UCLA 4th & 4 at WASH 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 39, down 11
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:48UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:27UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:39WASH 4th & 3 at UCLA 6, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:25UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:07WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:23UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:46WASH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:27WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:01WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:54UCLA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:29WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
88.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
88.6%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+4
88.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:1212% → 14%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
88.1%
Josh Rosen sacked by Greg Gaines for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+1
88.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+22
88.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 7 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
88.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+16
88.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 16 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
88.0%
Josh Rosen run for 5 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+5
88.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
88.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-9
88.0%
Josh Rosen sacked by Vita Vea for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+6
88.1%
Josh Rosen run for 6 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
86.2%
JJ Molson 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:0086% → 85%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
86.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
86.1%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pettis, Dante (Wadood, Jaleel), PENALTY UCLA personal foul 15 yards to the WASH46, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
86.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+18
86.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 18 yds to the UCLA 20 Lavon Coleman fumbled, forced by Jaleel Wadood, recovered by Wash Dante Pettis for a 1ST down , return for 17 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
86.7%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+2
86.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
86.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 5 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
85.3%
Tristan Vizcaino 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
84.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 2 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
84.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
85.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+8
85.3%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 30 , Dante Pettis returns for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:4785% → 87%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
84.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+35
84.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 35 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
85.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
85.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+9
85.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
85.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+9
85.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.1%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4414% → 19%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
86.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Christian Pabico for 16 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
85.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 10 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
85.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+14
85.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
84.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
84.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+11
85.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 11 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
84.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
80.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 8 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:2584% → 87%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
84.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 17 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
86.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.3%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
86.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso Jamabo, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
86.9%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:2486% → 88%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
86.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
86.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+52
86.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 37 yds to the WASHINGTON 31 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, personal foul (Krys Barnes) to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
87.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
87.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 1
OPP 7
-2
86.8%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
87.6%
Tristan Vizcaino 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 1:5112% → 12%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
87.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+11
87.9%
Rosen, Josh pass incomplete to Howard, Theo, PENALTY WASH pass interference (Burr-Kirven,Ben) 11 yards to the UCLA40, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-7
87.0%
Josh Rosen sacked by Benning Potoa'e for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-7
88.2%
Josh Rosen sacked by Austin Joyner for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
88.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 46 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3288% → 89%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
88.0%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+8
87.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 8 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+3
88.2%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
88.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3511% → 11%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+6
89.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Christian Pabico for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+6
88.9%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 11 , Dante Pettis returns for 6 yds to the Wash 43 WASHINGTON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Connor O'Brien) to the Wash 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
88.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
87.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
87.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 4 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
87.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
88.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0088% → 89%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
88.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+10
88.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
88.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
89.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
89.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
89.1%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Darnay Holmes return for no gain to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso JamaboSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
87.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
88.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+20
88.1%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 20 yds to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:1989% → 96%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
88.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 34 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
89.4%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+33
95.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 33 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.5%
Brandon Stephens run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
94.2%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Najee Toran) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
94.5%
Devon Modster pass complete to Brandon Stephens for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Christian Pabico, broken up by Vita VeaSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+21
94.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 45 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 21 yds to the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:5696% → 98%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 3 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+13
95.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 13 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
96.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, personal foul (Jaelan Phillips) to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
96.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
96.6%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
98.2%
Tristan Vizcaino 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Brandon Stephens run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
97.9%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Andre James) to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+9
97.9%
Devon Modster run for 9 yds to the UCLA 18 Devon Modster fumbled, forced by DJ Beavers, recovered by Wash Myles Bryant , return for 8 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:1799% → 100%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
98.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 12 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:010% → 1%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Brandon Stephens run for 11 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
99.9%
Brandon Stephens run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+21
99.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 21 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Darren Andrews, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Brandon Stephens run for no gain to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+14
99.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Christian Pabico for 14 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
99.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 19 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Brandon Stephens run for 1 yd to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Brandon Stephens for 5 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+9
99.9%
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
Devon Modster pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1699% → 100%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 11 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+10
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
99.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+7
99.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 7 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Brandon Stephens run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Devon Modster pass incomplete to Jordan Wilson, broken up by Azeem VictorSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Ty Jones for 11 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
UCLA Penalty, offside defense (Greg Rogers) to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for no gain to the Wash 41 K.J. Carta-Samuels fumbled, recovered by Wash K.J. Carta-Samuels for a 1ST down , return for 2 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+51
99.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for a loss of 4 yards Kamari Pleasant fumbled, forced by Marcus Moore, recovered by UCLA Osa Odighizuwa , return for 51 yds, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
99.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
99.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:27
Lavon Coleman run for 33 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 10:23
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 8 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson PAT MISSED)
-4
TD · Q2 9:46
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com