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WSU

Washington State 37 at Arizona 58

ARIZ
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:17 · Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 19 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:02: Davontavean Martin 8 Yd pass from Tyler Hilinski (Erik Powell PAT failed) — WSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 8:06: Tyler Hilinski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:35: J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +20.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:53: J.J. Taylor run for 79 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +17.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:50: Khalil Tate run for 49 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +11.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 11:21ARIZ 4th & 3 at WSU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:28WSU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:28ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:57WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:13ARIZ 4th & 5 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:04WSU 4th & 7 at ARIZ 39, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:04ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:07WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:43WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:56ARIZ 4th & 8 at WSU 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−5.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:56WSU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−2.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:47ARIZ 4th & 8 at WSU 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−1.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:04WSU 4th & 16 at ARIZ 39, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    15.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:11WSU 4th & 4 at ARIZ 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−2.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:51WSU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 21, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:36ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:17WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 41, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:04ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:28WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:16ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10WSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:02WSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:06WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:35ARIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:53ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:50ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:11ARIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:46WSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:51ARIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3950% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
49.7%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+43
49.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 43 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
49.7%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-5
49.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+16
49.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 16 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
49.7%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
49.7%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+5
49.7%
Khalil Tate run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
50.9%
Josh Pollack 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Luke Falk run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
51.0%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
51.1%
Kyle Sweet punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2251% → 54%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
51.1%
Khalil Tate run for 11 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
51.4%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 6
50
+2
51.5%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+48
53.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamie Nunley for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
53.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
53.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
52.9%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
53.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
53.4%
Kyle Sweet punt for 45 yds , Shun Brown returns for no gain to the Ariz 25 Shun Brown fumbled, recovered by WshSt Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:0547% → 48%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
52.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+10
52.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 10 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
52.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 6 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-2
52.8%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
52.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 13 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
52.9%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-1
52.5%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
52.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn Poindexter, broken up by Sean Harper Jr.Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
51.6%
Josh Pollack punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
53.3%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+6
53.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-5
53.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 22Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
53.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+8
54.3%
Erik Powell punt for 41 yds , Shun Brown returns for 8 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
54.2%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
54.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 5
50
0
54.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 5
50
0
53.1%
Josh Pollack punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:5946% → 45%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
53.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 15 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
53.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 10 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
52.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for no gain to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
53.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+10
52.4%
James Williams run for 10 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
52.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
52.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
52.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard Bell, broken up by Troy YoungSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+56
54.8%
Erik Powell 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
56.0%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
55.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+1
54.4%
Josh Pollack punt for 42 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 1 yd to the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
55.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+6
55.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 26
-5
55.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
56.5%
Luke Falk run for no gain to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
57.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:2859% → 68%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+41
58.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 41 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
67.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 17 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3334% → 32%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
65.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
68.4%
Kyle Sweet punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ariz 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14FG
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:3468% → 75%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
67.5%
Zach Green run for no gain to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+82
67.2%
Khalil Tate run for 82 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
69.9%
Zach Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 3Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
69.7%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
70.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
75.4%
Josh Pollack 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4626% → 39%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
73.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
71.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 1 yd to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
72.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
73.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+13
74.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+18
71.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 18 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
69.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 21 yds to the Ariz 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.3%
Tyler Hilinski run for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+57
73.9%
Lucas Havrisik 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+22
66.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 22 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
65.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 43 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 17
OWN 47
+7
67.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
65.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+3
66.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted Tony Fields II return for 3 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0070% → 71%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
70.4%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
71.1%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37 Khalil Tate fumbled, recovered by WshSt Robert TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:1732% → 47%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
67.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 19 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
66.2%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
66.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 10 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
53.4%
Davontavean Martin 8 Yd pass from Tyler Hilinski (Erik Powell PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for no gain to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
60.4%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Jahad Woods return for 13 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:1347% → 59%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
53.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+10
53.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 10 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
53.5%
Tyler Hilinski run for 11 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.5%
James Williams run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Tyler Hilinski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:2546% → 66%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+62
45.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 62 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0040% → 44%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
57.1%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 8 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
55.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+14
56.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted Lorenzo Burns return for 14 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 62%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
65.5%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
65.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
64.5%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
62.2%
Josh Pollack punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25INT
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:0040% → 46%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
60.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 24 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
56.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 11 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
55.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 6 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+30
55.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 30 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted, touchback. Jace Whittaker return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4562% → 80%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
62.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+79
79.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 79 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:4921% → 22%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
80.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
77.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
76.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 14 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
75.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 12 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
74.5%
Tyler Hilinski sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 38 Tyler Hilinski fumbled, recovered by WshSt Tyler Hilinski , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the Ariz 38 Tyler Hilinski fumbled, recovered by WshSt Frederick Mauigoa , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
80.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+4
81.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 34
-5
82.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 16
OPP 39
+56
78.2%
Erik Powell 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0882% → 93%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.9%
Anthony Mariscal run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+25
81.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 25 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
93.1%
Khalil Tate run for 49 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 29INT TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:3912% → 2%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
88.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
87.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Renard Bell, broken up by Dane CruikshankSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
88.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+66
98.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted for a TD Colin Schooler return for 66 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 30TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:252% → 10%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.5%
James Williams run for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
98.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+49
90.1%
Davontavean Martin 49 Yd pass from Tyler Hilinski (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 31TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4894% → 99%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.3%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+68
94.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamie Nunley for 68 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
94.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Zach Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 32DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 24 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
98.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Dereck BolesSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
98.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 10 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 3 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
98.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
98.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Dezmon Patmon, broken up by Lorenzo BurnsSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
98.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 33PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1499% → 99%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.3%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
99.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-2
99.5%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Josh Pollack punt for 54 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for no gain to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 34END OF GAME
10 plays · 69 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski run for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+6
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+11
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 2 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
99.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 7 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+6
99.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+19
99.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 19 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:35
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+20.5
TD · Q3 2:53
J.J. Taylor run for 79 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q3 11:02
Davontavean Martin 8 Yd pass from Tyler Hilinski (Erik Powell PAT failed)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com