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COLO

Colorado 0 at Washington State 28

WSU
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:02 · Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds, downed at the WshSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−0.5Pregame prior+21.8Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:25: Davontavean Martin 50 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:50: Brandon Arconado 18 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:37: Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross — COLO win probability +1.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:32: Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo — WSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:26: Jamal Morrow 9 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9COLO made the numbers' call on 12 of 15
  1. Q1 12:03WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:02COLO 4th & 6 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:59WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:32COLO 4th & 1 at WSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:30COLO 4th & 1 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:24COLO 4th & 10 at WSU 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:08COLO 4th & 3 at WSU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:07COLO 4th & 24 at COLO 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:43WSU 4th & 2 at COLO 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:17COLO 4th & 28 at WSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:07COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:30COLO 4th & 2 at WSU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:35WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:16COLO 4th & 8 at WSU 17, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−2.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:40WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:07COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:36WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:22COLO 4th & 1 at WSU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:11COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:27WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 23, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:44WSU 4th & 10 at COLO 32, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:23COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:25WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:50WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:26WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:17WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:4975% → 74%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
74.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
74.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 3 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+10
74.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
74.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ DimrySimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
74.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-8
74.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Derek McCartney for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
74.2%
Kyle Sweet punt for 28 yds, downed at the Colo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4126% → 26%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-5
74.3%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 23Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
74.3%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
74.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
74.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 12 yds to the Colo 43 Jamal Morrow fumbled, recovered by Colo Evan WorthingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5026% → 27%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
73.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
73.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
50
-2
73.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3074% → 73%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
73.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 10Similar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
73.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 20
OWN 10
0
73.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+6
73.1%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
72.9%
Kyle Sweet punt for 35 yds, downed at the Colo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4028% → 27%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
72.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
72.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
72.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
72.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds, downed at the WshSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:5673% → 71%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
72.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+1
72.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+5
72.3%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
72.6%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+15
72.4%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Isaiah Oliver) to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
72.5%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
73.1%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
73.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
72.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-10
72.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Frederick Mauigoa) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
71.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
71.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 26 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for no gain to the Colo 41 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Colo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8DOWNS
13 plays · 24 yds · 4:3130% → 30%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
70.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
50
+7
69.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
69.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
70.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
69.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
69.3%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
69.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
69.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
68.4%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
68.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-4
69.0%
Steven Montez sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
70.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross. COLORADO Jeromy Irwin ejected for Targeting Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:5472% → 78%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
71.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+16
72.4%
Luke Falk run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+50
77.8%
Davontavean Martin 50 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:1224% → 23%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
76.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 24 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
75.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 9
50
+5
74.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
74.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
75.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
76.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 4:1277% → 85%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
77.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+13
77.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
77.6%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+2
79.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 2 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
79.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 17 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
79.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+8
80.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
80.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
80.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
85.1%
Brandon Arconado 18 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
10 plays · -4 yds · 1:2616% → 15%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
84.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 9 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+1
83.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-15
84.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Bryce Bobo) to the Colo 16Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 25
OWN 16
0
84.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for no gain to the Colo 16Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 25
OWN 16
+1
84.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 24
OWN 17
0
84.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1887% → 87%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
86.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
86.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 8 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
87.2%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
87.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+2
87.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
87.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:3715% → 14%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
85.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
86.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 7 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:3715% → 14%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
85.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
84.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 18 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
84.0%
Sam Noyer run for 1 yd to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
84.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Nnamdi Oguayo) to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-18
83.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the WshSt 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Colo Sam NoyerSimilar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 28
OPP 46
0
85.3%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 28
OPP 46
0
85.7%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 28
OPP 46
0
86.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 21 yds, downed at the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4487% → 96%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
86.8%
Luke Falk run for 9 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
87.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 21 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
87.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+6
87.8%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
87.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
88.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+22
88.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 22 yds to the Colo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.2%
Jamal Morrow 9 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:085% → 4%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
95.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to George Frazier for 9 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
95.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.4%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
95.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-7
95.7%
Sam Noyer sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 18
OWN 36
0
95.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds , Marcus Strong returns for no gain to the WshSt 25 Marcus Strong fumbled, recovered by Colo George FrazierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:305% → 4%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.0%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
95.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+7
95.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
95.8%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5097% → 96%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
96.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
96.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
96.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Kyle Sweet punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:143% → 3%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 12 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
96.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-5
96.2%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Bryce Bobo) to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+16
96.4%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Devin Ross for 16 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
96.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+4
96.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
96.9%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 8
OPP 17
0
97.3%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3098% → 98%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.5%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
97.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ DimrySimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-7
97.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Leo Jackson III and Chris Mulumba for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 17
OWN 10
0
98.0%
Kyle Sweet punt for 58 yds, downed at the Colo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:242% → 2%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+15
98.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Sean Harper Jr.) to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-6
98.2%
Sam Noyer sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
98.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+22
98.5%
James Williams run for 22 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.6%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
98.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
98.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Blackmon at the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
98.7%
Sam Noyer run for 13 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
98.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 3
50
+2
98.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Devin Ross for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:0099% → 100%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.9%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
99.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+8
99.0%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 1 yd to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+19
99.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 19 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.2%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+8
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 8 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Renard Bell 5 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Sam Noyer run for no gain to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 49 yds, downed at the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 8 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Kyle Sweet punt for 36 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 5 yds to the Colo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28FUMBLE
1 play · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+30
99.9%
Casey Marksberry pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 16 yds Juwann Winfree fumbled, recovered by WshSt Jalen Thompson , return for 30 yds to the Colo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 7 yds to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 30PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Casey Marksberry pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
Casey Marksberry run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 24 Casey Marksberry fumbled, recovered by Colo Casey MarksberrySimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Casey Marksberry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 58 yds, downed at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Keith Harrington run for 6 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:26
Jamal Morrow 9 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)
+7.5
TD · Q2 11:25
Davontavean Martin 50 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)
+5.4
TD · Q2 4:50
Brandon Arconado 18 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com