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ASU

Arizona State 30 at Utah 10

UTAH
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense−36.2Pregame prior+5.9Score differential−19.8Garbage-time factor−13.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:33: Brandon Ruiz 30 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +4.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: Demario Richard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +20.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:45: Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +20.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:31: Tyler Huntley pass intercepted for a TD Jay Jay Wilson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK) — ASU win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:41: Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:37ASU 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:06ASU 4th & 4 at UTAH 22, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.5%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:06UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:33ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 12, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:18UTAH 4th & 5 at ASU 44, down 9
    Close callPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:07ASU 4th & 8 at UTAH 49, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:54UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:32UTAH 4th & 9 at ASU 35, down 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:39UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 13, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:44ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 31, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−4.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 27, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:23ASU 4th & 13 at UTAH 46, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:44ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 37, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 0:40ASU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:45ASU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:31ASU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:41UTAH Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:2327% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
73.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
73.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
73.4%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+11
73.4%
N'Keal Harry run for 11 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.4%
Manny Wilkins run for no gain to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
73.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 16 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
73.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
73.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+5
73.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 5 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
72.2%
Brandon Ruiz 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
72.5%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
72.4%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted J'Marcus Rhodes return for 6 yds to the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3529% → 29%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
71.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kalen BallageSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
71.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+5
71.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 5 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
70.8%
Brandon Ruiz 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
71.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
70.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
70.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 43 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:2730% → 34%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
70.2%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+7
70.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+11
70.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
69.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
70.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 11 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
69.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
69.6%
Demario Richard run for 13 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
69.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
69.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
69.5%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
69.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
69.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kalen BallageSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
65.6%
Brandon Ruiz 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:1065% → 62%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
65.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Harrison Handley for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-4
65.2%
Tyler Huntley sacked by JoJo Wicker for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 6Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+15
64.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 15 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
65.3%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
65.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 13 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
65.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+14
64.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 14 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
64.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
64.8%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
62.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
61.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ryan Newsome at the ArzSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:5937% → 43%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
62.7%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+14
62.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 14 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
62.4%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
62.0%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+7
62.0%
Demario Richard run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
61.4%
Manny Wilkins run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
60.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
61.3%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.9%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
61.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to John Humphrey for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
56.1%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
56.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
57.0%
Kyle Fulks run for 8 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+3
57.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
57.1%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Simpkins,Demari, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Lucas, Chase) 15 yards to the UTAH37, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
57.9%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
57.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
57.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
56.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 55 yds, downed at the ArzSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 4:2945% → 72%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+25
54.7%
Demario Richard run for 25 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+35
53.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 35 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
51.8%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+18
51.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 18 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
51.6%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
51.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 4 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+5
48.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.5%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.9%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
41.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete, broken up by Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
40.4%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Chase Lucas return for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
33.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:2837% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
37.3%
Zack Moss run for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
39.1%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-10
39.8%
Moss, Zack rush for 3 yards to the UTAH48 (Rhodes, J.), PENALTY UTAH holding (Fakailoatonga,S) 10 yards to the UTAH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+17
37.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 17 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
40.0%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
40.5%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
40.4%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
40.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete, broken up by Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
40.0%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
39.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+53
38.4%
Matt Gay 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4766% → 94%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.1%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
34.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
34.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
33.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+13
32.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 13 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
31.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Donavan Thompson) to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
31.2%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+15
31.2%
Demario Richard run for 15 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
31.2%
Manny Wilkins run for no gain to the Utah 11Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
31.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+6
31.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the Utah 2Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
26.4%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Corrion Ballard) to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.9%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
13.1%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 13
OWN 13
0
13.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
12.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
12.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
6.1%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+9
6.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-11
5.9%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Cody Barton for a loss of 11 yards to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
6.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 40 yds, downed at the Utah 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
8.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 14 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
8.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+11
8.3%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Christian Sam return for 11 yds to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3796% → 96%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
4.1%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
3.8%
Manny Wilkins pass intercepted Kavika Luafatasaga return for no gain to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
6.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
6.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-2
6.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
6.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds, fair catch by N'Keal Harry at the ArzSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.8%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
3.8%
N'Keal Harry run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Philip Afia) to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
3.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-1
3.7%
N'Keal Harry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+19
3.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ryan Newsome for 19 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
3.5%
Richard,Demario rush for 1 yard to the UTAH42 (Heninger, Nick;Barton, Cody), PENALTY ASU holding (Bailey, Quinn) 10 yards to the ASU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
3.6%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
3.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan Newsome, broken up by Philip AfiaSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+7
3.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 7 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
3.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20INT TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:533% → 0%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
3.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+7
2.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 7 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 18
-4
3.0%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Carrington, D. for 6 yards to the UTAH24 (Wilson, Jay Jay), PENALTY UTAH illegal motion (Thompson, Bryan) 4 yards to the UTAH14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+20
0.3%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted for a TD Jay Jay Wilson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 4:430% → 3%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
0.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jameson Field for 2 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+10
0.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jameson Field for 10 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
0.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+13
0.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Devonta'e Henry-ColeSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 8 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+17
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 17 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.4%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.5%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
0.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
0.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+4
0.7%
Eno Benjamin run for 4 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+1
0.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 34 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
0.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 12 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
0.8%
Jordan Howard run for 11 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:40
Demario Richard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
-20.6
TD · Q3 4:45
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)
-20.5
FG · Q1 2:33
Brandon Ruiz 30 yd FG GOOD
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com