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ARIZ

Arizona 45 at California 44

CAL
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Josh Pollack 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 95Pregame prior−9.0Home team on offense−18.8Score differential−7.7Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Time remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 10:36: Patrick Laird run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +28.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 1:41: Matt Anderson 52 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +25.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Kanawai Noa 13 Yd pass from Ross Bowers (Matt Anderson Kick) — CAL win probability +25.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Zach Green 25 Yd Run (Josh Pollack Kick) — ARIZ win probability +41.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 00:00 — CAL win probability +49.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32CAL 4th & 10 at ARIZ 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ARIZ 4th & 21 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00ARIZ 4th & 9 at CAL 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 5:07ARIZ 4th & 2 at CAL 19, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%−4.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−27.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:41CAL 4th & 4 at ARIZ 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−14.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:09CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−5.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:51CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:32ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:22ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:20ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:00CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:32ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:42CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:36CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.6%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
32.6%
Khalil Tate run for 8 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
32.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
32.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 5 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
32.6%
Jake Glatting punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:2533% → 38%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
33.4%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+36
33.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 36 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
33.6%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
33.6%
Vic Enwere run for 8 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-5
33.6%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
33.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 9 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
33.7%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
33.7%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+7
33.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 7 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
33.7%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Ariz 8Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
37.9%
Patrick Laird run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1963% → 65%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
37.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 19 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
36.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
36.6%
Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
36.7%
Khalil Tate run for 12 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
34.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 30 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.7%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
35.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Troy Young) to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
36.3%
Enwere, Vic rush for no gain to the CAL43 (Cruikshank, D.), PENALTY CAL holding (Gibson, Ryan) 10 yards to the CAL33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+8
35.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 8 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+5
35.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 5 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+12
36.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 12 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
36.5%
Ross Bowers sacked by Finton Connolly for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+7
36.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 7 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
36.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
35.6%
Dylan Klumph punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3763% → 67%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
37.0%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+76
32.9%
Khalil Tate run for 76 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0033% → 35%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.3%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
33.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 11 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
33.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 15 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
34.6%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted Lorenzo Burns return for 21 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:5468% → 67%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
50
+4
31.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
31.7%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
31.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
31.7%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-15
31.9%
Tate, K. pass incomplete to Poindexter, S., PENALTY ARIZ personal foul (Taylor, JJ) 15 yards to the ARIZ48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 23
OWN 48
+2
32.7%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 21
50
+10
33.2%
Jake Glatting punt for 35 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 10 yds to the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
33.1%
Vic Enwere run for 8 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
34.1%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
33.1%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.8%
Dylan Klumph punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:2168% → 75%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
32.4%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+15
32.4%
Tate, K. pass incomplete to Peterson, C. (Franklin Jr., M), PENALTY CAL pass interference (Franklin Jr., M) 15 yards to the ARIZ48, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
31.7%
Tyrell Johnson run for 21 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
31.3%
Green, Z. rush for 4 yards to the CAL27 (Tongilava, Aise), PENALTY CAL offside (Looney, James) 5 yards to the CAL26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+1
31.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 1 yd to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-1
31.3%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+13
31.6%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the Cal 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
24.7%
Zach Green run for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10INT
18 plays · 75 yds · 0:0026% → 28%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
26.3%
Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+6
26.7%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
26.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Zion Echols for 6 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
26.9%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
27.1%
Vic Enwere run for 4 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
27.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 5 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
27.6%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 4
50
+5
27.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (Tony Fields II) to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
27.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
27.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Brandon Singleton, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
27.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 12 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
28.1%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
28.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 5 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+13
27.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Colin Schooler) to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
28.1%
N/A run for 5 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+1
28.1%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Ariz 7Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
27.6%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted, touchback. Jarrius Wallace return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 4:4077% → 81%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
23.2%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+18
23.2%
Zach Green run for 18 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
22.2%
Zach Green run for 5 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
22.1%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 1
50
+1
22.3%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
22.1%
Zach Green run for 6 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+16
22.0%
Khalil Tate run for 16 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
22.0%
Branden Leon run for 4 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-1
19.2%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 24Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-2
18.8%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
19.0%
Josh Pollack 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 5:5421% → 36%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
21.1%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+11
21.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 11 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
21.4%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
22.0%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+7
22.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 7 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
23.0%
Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+8
23.1%
Patrick Laird run for 8 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
23.1%
Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
23.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 14 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
23.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
23.5%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-5
22.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Valentino Daltoso) to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+19
22.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 19 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
35.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:2871% → 86%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
28.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 10 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
27.1%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
27.0%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+56
14.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14TD
15 plays · 56 yds · 4:4119% → 36%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
18.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
18.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 9 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
19.1%
Malik McMorris run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
19.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
18.8%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+11
18.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 11 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
19.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Zion Echols for 1 yd to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
19.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+5
18.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (DeAndre' Miller) to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+9
19.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 9 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
19.9%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-5
19.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Valentino Daltoso) to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+15
19.4%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete to Noa, Kanawai (Wallace, J.), QB hurry by Wilborn, K., PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Wallace, J.) 15 yards to the ARIZ4, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
35.6%
Ross Bowers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 2:4274% → 75%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.0%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
23.9%
Zach Green run for 9 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
22.7%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
22.7%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
22.9%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
21.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 2 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
21.1%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
24.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete, broken up by Tevin PaulSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
25.4%
Jake Glatting punt for 34 yds, downed at the Cal 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:0725% → 60%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
24.8%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 18Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
24.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 0
0
22.3%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete to Wharton III, Vi (Burns, L.), PENALTY CAL holding off-setting, PENALTY ARIZ pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+18
23.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 18 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
26.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 3 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
27.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 8 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
28.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan Veasy, broken up by Dane CruikshankSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+15
25.8%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete to Laird, Patrick, QB hurry by Wilborn, K., PENALTY ARIZ personal foul (Burns, L.) 15 yards to the ARIZ38, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
29.8%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
29.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 13 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
31.5%
Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
59.6%
Patrick Laird run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:2353% → 77%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
47.3%
Zach Green run for 6 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+9
45.8%
Zach Green run for 9 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
45.5%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
46.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 13 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
42.3%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
50
-2
41.8%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+25
43.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 25 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
39.0%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
39.0%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+1
41.1%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Cal 19Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
23.2%
Josh Pollack 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:2233% → 58%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
33.2%
Patrick Laird run for 6 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+12
35.4%
Patrick Laird run for 12 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
37.3%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+11
38.0%
Ross Bowers run for 11 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
39.6%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Ariz 37 Patrick Laird fumbled, forced by Colin Schooler, recovered by Cal Addison OomsSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
39.6%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
39.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan, broken up by Jarrius WallaceSimilar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+52
58.4%
Matt Anderson 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:5852% → 60%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
47.7%
Khalil Tate run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
45.4%
Branden Leon run for 4 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+13
42.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 13 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
39.9%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
39.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+31
40.5%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Ashtyn Davis return for 31 yds to the Cal 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1756% → 54%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
55.8%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
55.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
51.7%
Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
54.3%
Dylan Klumph punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ariz 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
79.6%
Kanawai Noa 13 Yd pass from Ross Bowers (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 41%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
86.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa, broken up by Lorenzo Burns Ross Bowers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 9 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+1
82.1%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
82.1%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-2
82.1%
Ross Bowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 13Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
40.5%
Zach Green 25 Yd Run (Josh Pollack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0070% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 0
OPP 25
0
30.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa, broken up by Lorenzo BurnsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
20.8%
Bryce Wolma 22 Yd pass from Khalil Tate (Josh Pollack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
20.8%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Cal 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0035% → 39%
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+16
35.4%
Patrick Laird run for 16 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
41.2%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
35.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 10 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
38.7%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-88.1
TD · OT 0:00
Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 00:00
+49.4
TD · OT 0:00
Zach Green 25 Yd Run (Josh Pollack Kick)
-41.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com