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ORE

Oregon 7 at Stanford 49

STAN
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:05 · Adam Stack punt blocked by blocked by Brandon Simmons return for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense+13.4Score differential+8.6Pregame prior+16.5Garbage-time factor+1.9Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:34: Bryce Love run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +0.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 10:37: Bryce Love run for 67 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +1.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 8:48: Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +1.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 3:26: Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +3.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:53: Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +3.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 12:28ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00STAN 4th & 1 at ORE 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−1.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−4.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:25STAN 4th & 7 at ORE 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:05ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 28, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:44ORE 4th & 2 at STAN 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−1.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:54ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 37, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:48ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:06STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:02ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 26, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:03ORE 4th & 12 at ORE 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:19STAN 4th & 4 at ORE 37, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:34STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:37STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:48ORE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:26STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:53STAN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:09STAN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:03STAN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:2676% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
75.5%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 18Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
75.5%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+34
75.5%
Bryce Love run for 34 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
75.5%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+34
75.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 34 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
75.5%
Bryce Love run for 10 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
75.9%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
75.6%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
75.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-3
75.6%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 40 OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
75.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Jacob Breeland, broken up by Ben EdwardsSimilar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
75.7%
Adam Stack punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
77.0%
Bryce Love run for 67 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 1:3723% → 25%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
76.9%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+59
77.0%
Royce Freeman run for 59 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
76.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
76.5%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+22
76.6%
Royce Freeman run for 22 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:1676% → 80%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
75.9%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
76.0%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 2 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+30
75.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 30 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
76.4%
Jay Tyler pass complete to Ryan Burns for 16 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
76.4%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+11
76.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Connor Wedington for 11 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.4%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Oregn 2Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
76.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 3Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
79.3%
Kani Benoit run for 8 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
79.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted Quenton Meeks return for no gain to the Stanf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:5480% → 81%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
80.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+30
80.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 30 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
80.7%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
80.8%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
81.4%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
81.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Oregn 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OregnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
79.9%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
79.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+8
79.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Royce Freeman for 8 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
79.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 7 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
79.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted Casey Toohill return for 2 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.6%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
82.6%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+3
82.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 3 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
81.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10PUNT TD
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:4019% → 11%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
81.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-13
80.3%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 33 OREGON Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 14
OWN 18
-10
81.2%
Burmeister, B. rush for 22 yards to the ORE40, out-of-bounds (Robinson,C), PENALTY ORE holding (Pisarcik, Jake) 10 yards to the ORE8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 24
OWN 8
+7
81.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+13
81.3%
Tony Brooks-James run for 13 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+2
89.4%
Adam Stack punt blocked by blocked by Brandon Simmons return for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:1511% → 10%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
89.2%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+5
89.0%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
89.0%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
88.3%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
88.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
88.4%
Kani Benoit run for 9 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
88.1%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
88.1%
Kani Benoit run for 6 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-1
90.1%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
90.5%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:4594% → 95%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
93.6%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-10
93.5%
Love,B rush for 5 yards to the STAN45 (Amadi, U.), PENALTY STAN holding (Schultz,D) 10 yards to the STAN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 19
OWN 30
+36
93.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 21 yds to the STANFORD 49 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, roughing passer (Henry Mondeaux) to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
93.7%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
93.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Tyree RobinsonSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+15
93.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Connor Wedington for 15 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
93.7%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+8
93.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 8 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.6%
Keller Chryst pass intercepted, touchback. Deommodore Lenoir return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:247% → 5%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
92.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 12 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
94.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
93.2%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
92.9%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
93.1%
Charles Nelson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
93.0%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+4
93.0%
Adam Stack punt for 42 yds , Connor Wedington returns for 4 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:0395% → 100%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.3%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
95.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
95.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Kaden Smith for 10 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
95.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
95.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+18
95.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 18 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
95.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
95.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
99.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Adam Stack punt for 50 yds, downed at the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.6%
Trevor Speights run for 6 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
99.5%
Trevor Speights run for 9 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trevor Speights, broken up by La'Mar Winston Jr.Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 42 yds, downed at the Oregn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.7%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Taylor Alie pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Taylor Alie pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Adam Stack punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Connor Wedington at the Stanf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+10
99.7%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 10 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+10
99.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 10 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
99.8%
Trevor Speights run for 13 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.8%
Trevor Speights run for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+21
99.8%
Trevor Speights run for 21 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.8%
Trevor Speights run for 2 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.8%
Trevor Speights run for 1 yd to the Oregn 3Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
OREGON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the Oregn 23Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Kani Benoit for 6 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Kani Benoit for 4 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Taylor Alie pass incomplete to Cam McCormickSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-6
99.9%
Taylor Alie sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Adam Stack punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:16100% → 100%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Donald Stewart for 15 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Dorian Maddox run for 4 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
99.9%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Donald Stewart, broken up by Jalen JelksSimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 5 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Dorian Maddox run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+15
99.9%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Parkinson,C, PENALTY ORE pass interference (Graham Jr., T.) 15 yards to the ORE15, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Donald Stewart for 7 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+6
99.9%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Stewart,D, PENALTY ORE pass interference (Graham Jr., T.) 6 yards to the ORE2, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 8 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 8 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Cam McCormickSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+17
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 17 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Thomas Schaffer for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 40 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, recovered by Stanf Jordan Fox , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:26
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 6:53
Keller Chryst pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q1 8:48
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com