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COLO

Colorado 36 at Oregon State 33

ORST
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:01 · Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds, downed at the OREGONST 20 OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Colo 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior−10.5Home team on offense−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:07: Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +14.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:20: Ryan Nall run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +20.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:53: Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 9 yds for a TD, (Steven Montez pass to Bryce Bobo for Two-Point Conversion) — COLO win probability +23.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:22: Ryan Nall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +41.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:34: Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +51.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:41ORST 4th & 13 at COLO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41COLO 4th & 10 at ORST 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:41ORST 4th & 3 at COLO 19, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:35COLO 4th & 19 at COLO 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:26ORST 4th & 2 at COLO 2, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−7.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19COLO 4th & 1 at ORST 49, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.1%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:01ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 39, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:52COLO 4th & 17 at COLO 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−5.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:10ORST 4th & 13 at COLO 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−12.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−17.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:59ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:34COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:42COLO Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:07COLO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:20ORST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:53COLO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    57.4%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:22ORST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−1.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:34COLO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−3.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
24.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
24.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 15
0
24.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 15
+3
24.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 48 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 3 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5925% → 30%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
24.7%
Thomas Tyner run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+9
24.7%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 9 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
24.7%
Thomas Tyner run for 8 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+6
24.7%
Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
24.7%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 6 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
24.7%
Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+6
24.7%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 6 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
24.7%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+9
24.7%
Darell Garretson run for 9 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.5%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:2071% → 73%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
28.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Shawn WilsonSimilar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
28.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+74
27.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 74 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4727% → 29%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
27.3%
Ryan Nall run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+19
27.6%
Ryan Nall run for 19 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
27.9%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 38 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
28.1%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
28.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Ryan Nall, broken up by Derek McCartneySimilar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 8
OPP 9
-5
27.8%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Noah Togiai) to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
27.7%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+32
29.4%
Jordan Choukair 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
29.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 14 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
29.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
29.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+9
29.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive holding (9 Yards) to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
28.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
28.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
28.9%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-4
29.4%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Jonathan Huckins) to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-5
29.4%
COLORADO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
29.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Timmy Hernandez at the OrgSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:4931% → 37%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
31.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+8
31.4%
Artavis Pierce run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+41
31.4%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 41 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
32.7%
Thomas Tyner run for 2 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+3
34.5%
Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+2
34.0%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
37.4%
Jordan Choukair 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
36.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 18 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-9
35.7%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 19
OWN 28
0
36.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 19
OWN 28
+12
37.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 52 yds , Timmy Hernandez returns for 12 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:2439% → 49%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
39.2%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
39.2%
Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
39.7%
Trevorris Johnson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
40.4%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Timmy Hernandez, broken up by Evan WorthingtonSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
39.9%
Ryan Nall run for 17 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
40.6%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
40.6%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+24
39.9%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 24 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
40.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 8 yds to the Colo 6Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
40.8%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
40.8%
Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the Colo 2Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.8%
Ryan Nall run for no gain to the Colo 2Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Noah Togiai, broken up by Evan WorthingtonSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
48.9%
Jordan Choukair 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:3751% → 64%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
48.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+15
49.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 15 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
47.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
47.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 2
50
+1
47.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
48.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-9
46.9%
Steven Montez sacked by Manase Hungalu for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 19
OWN 46
0
48.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 19
OWN 46
+38
49.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 38 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
45.5%
Lindsay, Philli rush for 3 yards to the OSU13 (Aydon, Elu), PENALTY OSU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the OSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 5
OPP 11
+11
36.4%
Bryce Bobo pass complete to Steven Montez for 11 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 1:3643% → 49%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
42.7%
Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
43.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+14
41.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Noah Togiai for 14 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.9%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+19
44.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 19 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
46.5%
Ryan Nall run for 7 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
47.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Ryan Nall, broken up by Nick FisherSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
45.6%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
47.0%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 8 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+31
48.7%
Jordan Choukair 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11INT
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:0050% → 53%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
49.7%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+13
49.9%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 13 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
51.6%
Ryan Nall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+4
50.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
50
-10
50.5%
Garretson, D. pass complete to Hodgins, Isaiah for 7 yards to the COLO43 (Lewis, Drew), PENALTY OSU holding (Lauina, Fred) 10 yards to the OSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+17
48.4%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 17 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
52.2%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
52.1%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Noah Togiai for 6 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
51.6%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+43
52.8%
Darell Garretson pass intercepted Evan Worthington return for 43 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:1553% → 67%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
46.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 8 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+17
46.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
45.3%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Isaac Miller) to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+6
46.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+7
45.3%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
46.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
32.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
39.5%
Tyner, Thomas rush for 7 yards to the OSU41 (Gamboa, Rick), PENALTY OSU holding (Togiai, Noah) 10 yards to the OSU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+8
38.6%
Artavis Pierce run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
38.7%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Ryan NallSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+7
37.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Thomas Tyner for 7 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+26
38.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds, downed at the OREGONST 20 OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Colo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
35.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
35.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
37.0%
Steven Montez run for 10 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
33.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
34.3%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-9
34.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Jonathan Willis for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
38.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Timmy Hernandez at the OrgSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:0540% → 67%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.9%
Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
40.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 15 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
43.7%
Thomas Tyner run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+19
44.1%
Ryan Nall run for 19 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
46.5%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 20 yds to the Colo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
66.7%
Ryan Nall run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
20 plays · 88 yds · 6:2241% → 73%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
58.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+12
59.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 12 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
58.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 2 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
58.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
56.0%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
57.4%
Steven Montez run for 11 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
53.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
53.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+6
53.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
53.1%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Ross, Devin (Arnold, Brandon), PENALTY OSU holding (Wilson, Shawn) 10 yards to the OSU30, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
51.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
50.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
50.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
50.8%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
52.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
50.8%
Kyle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
50.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyre, broken up by Jalen MooreSimilar
Q4 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
27.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 9 yds for a TD, (Steven Montez pass to Bryce Bobo for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:2736% → 86%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+31
36.2%
Ryan Nall run for 31 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
40.8%
Ryan Nall run for 9 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
42.0%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
41.9%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
41.6%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
41.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 7 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
44.1%
Ryan Nall run for 14 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
44.1%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+9
44.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 9 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.7%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:4029% → 90%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
71.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 6 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
70.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
69.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 11 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
68.0%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Fields, Shay (Wilson, Shawn), PENALTY OSU holding 10 yards to the OSU48, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
64.8%
Steven Montez run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
64.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
62.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
62.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+8
62.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
10.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19MISSED FG
15 plays · 36 yds · 1:2031% → 16%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
31.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
30.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+16
28.2%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 16 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
32.6%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Trevorris JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
30.9%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Noah Togiai for 11 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
29.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 8 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
37.5%
Darell Garretson run for 4 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
34.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Noah Togiai, broken up by Nick FisherSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-3
32.4%
Ryan Nall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 13
OPP 34
0
22.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Timmy Hernandez, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+52
16.1%
Jordan Choukair 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
6.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:34
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
-51.9
TD · Q4 4:22
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+41.6
TD · Q4 8:53
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 9 yds for a TD, (Steven Montez pass to Bryce Bobo for Two-Point Conversion)
-23.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com