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WASH

Washington 7 at Arizona State 13

ASU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:30 · Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior−18.3Home team on offense+17.3Score differential+8.0Garbage-time factor+6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Time remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:44: Brandon Ruiz 25 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +7.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:47: Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37 — WASH win probability +4.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23 — ASU win probability +6.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:32: Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +17.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:22: Manny Wilkins pass complete to Demario Richard for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24 — ASU win probability +7.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:34WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:03ASU 4th & 1 at WASH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16WASH 4th & 4 at ASU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:21ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48WASH 4th & 20 at WASH 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:03ASU 4th & 9 at WASH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:48WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:05ASU 4th & 1 at WASH 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−4.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:44ASU 4th & 7 at WASH 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:54WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:15ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:36ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:24WASH 4th & 3 at ASU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−1.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:10WASH 4th & 8 at ASU 9, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:30ASU 4th & 17 at midfield, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:39WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:00ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 3, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−5.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:50WASH 4th & 2 at ASU 4, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.6%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−12.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:49ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:12WASH 4th & 24 at WASH 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:04ASU 4th & 6 at WASH 29, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−5.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:29WASH 4th & 9 at ASU 20, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−4.0
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:56ASU 4th & 3 at WASH 37, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 5:26ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:32WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5589% → 88%
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
11.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-1
11.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
11.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
11.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Newsome at the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
17 plays · 63 yds · 7:4412% → 19%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
12.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
12.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+8
12.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 8 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
12.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+8
13.3%
Demario Richard run for 8 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
13.4%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+8
13.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 8 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+4
14.1%
N'Keal Harry run for 4 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
14.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
14.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+8
14.7%
Manny Wilkins run for 8 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
15.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 1 yd to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
15.5%
Kyle Williams run for no gain to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+8
15.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 8 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+4
15.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 4 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
16.7%
Wilkins, Manny pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHINGTON offside (Taylor, Keith) 0 yards to the WASHINGTON1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:0482% → 81%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
17.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 20 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
18.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+4
18.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 4 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
19.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Newsome at the ArzSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4420% → 21%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
19.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 9 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+4
20.3%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
20.4%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+5
21.0%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
21.0%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
20.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:0279% → 77%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-16
21.4%
Jake Browning sacked by Renell Wren and Alani Latu for a loss of 16 yards to the Wash 13 Jake Browning fumbled, forced by Renell Wren, recovered by Wash Kaleb McGary , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 26
OWN 13
0
22.2%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 26
OWN 13
+6
22.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 20
OWN 19
+16
23.3%
TEAM punt for 16 yards, blocked by Curtis HodgesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1724% → 25%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
24.4%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
24.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Jalen HarveySimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
24.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Kalen BallageSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+52
25.0%
Brandon Ruiz 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3474% → 71%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
26.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
26.7%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-9
28.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Alani Latu and Tashon Smallwood for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
29.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 47 yds, downed at the ArzSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:1629% → 45%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
29.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
29.4%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
30.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
30.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
31.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
31.4%
Manny Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
33.2%
N'Keal Harry run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
33.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+36
35.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 36 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-7
37.3%
Manny Wilkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+1
37.9%
Kyle Williams run for 1 yd to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
38.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 6 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
45.4%
Brandon Ruiz 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3556% → 51%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.7%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
44.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+24
46.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 24 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
44.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 8
50
+3
45.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 3 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-4
45.8%
Jake Browning sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
49.3%
Joel Whitford punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1453% → 53%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
52.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
53.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
54.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 14 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
56.2%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-2
57.2%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 14
OWN 40
0
54.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0655% → 55%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
55.6%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
55.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Austin Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 38 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:1847% → 33%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
53.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 12 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
53.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Christian Sam and JoJo Wicker for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+2
56.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 38 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+9
56.6%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
57.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 5 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
56.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
58.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+8
63.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 8 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
61.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
62.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
63.4%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
65.5%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
67.1%
Van Soderberg 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3371% → 73%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
71.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 23 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
72.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 14 yds Jalen Harvey fumbled, forced by Jordan Miller, recovered by ArzStSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan JenkinsSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
73.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-7
72.7%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Taylor Rapp for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 17
50
0
72.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:4628% → 24%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
72.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 6 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
72.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 5 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
73.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 16 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
73.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
74.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
75.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 56 yds, downed at the ArzSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1378% → 79%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
78.4%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
78.7%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
78.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+10
79.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 10 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:5725% → 20%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
74.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+13
76.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
74.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 12 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
74.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will DisslySimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
75.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+2
79.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
80.3%
Van Soderberg 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1187% → 87%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.9%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
87.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-5
87.4%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-5
87.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 43 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 32 Dante Pettis fumbled, recovered by Wash Dante PettisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:4713% → 11%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
86.8%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
87.0%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-15
88.4%
Jake Browning sacked by George Lea for a loss of 15 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 24
OWN 18
+16
89.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 56 yds , Ryan Newsome returns for 16 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:5191% → 92%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
91.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Demario Richard for 5 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
91.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
50
+17
91.6%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 17 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
92.8%
Jalen Harvey run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
93.2%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
93.4%
Manny Wilkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
92.4%
Brandon Ruiz 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
17 plays · 71 yds · 3:288% → 24%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
91.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
92.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
92.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 4 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
92.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+8
92.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 8 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+17
92.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
91.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-5
92.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Kaleb McGary) to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
93.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+12
93.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 12 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
92.9%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
93.3%
Jake Browning run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.9%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:2288% → 96%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Demario Richard for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+20
88.0%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 20 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
91.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+8
91.3%
Demario Richard run for 8 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
93.7%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
93.7%
Manny Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
94.5%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+30
94.1%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Ceejhay French-Love for 30 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-3
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:32
Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
-17.4
FG · Q2 5:44
Brandon Ruiz 25 yd FG GOOD
+7.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:22
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Demario Richard for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com