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UCLA

UCLA 30 at Arizona 47

ARIZ
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:03 · Stefan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ariz 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Home team on offense+24.3Pregame prior−1.7Score differential+9.3Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:11: Khalil Tate pass complete to Trevor Wood for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack PAT MISSED) — ARIZ win probability +12.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:20: Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Jordan Lasley for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +16.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:36: Khalil Tate run for 71 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +13.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:04: Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Soso Jamabo for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +15.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:25: Nick Wilson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +12.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:23UCLA 4th & 5 at ARIZ 28, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.2%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:23ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04ARIZ 4th & 13 at UCLA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:38ARIZ 4th & 6 at UCLA 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:03UCLA 4th & 1 at ARIZ 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−3.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−12.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UCLA 4th & 16 at UCLA 19, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19ARIZ 4th & 9 at UCLA 11, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−8.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:19UCLA 4th & 19 at UCLA 11, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:06ARIZ 4th & 5 at UCLA 6, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:03UCLA 4th & 23 at UCLA 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:02ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 36, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:08ARIZ 4th & 16 at UCLA 47, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 13:44ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:23UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:39ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:03ARIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:07UCLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:11ARIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:20UCLA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:36ARIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:04UCLA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:25ARIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1640% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.8%
Khalil Tate run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
39.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 13 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
39.8%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+45
40.8%
Khalil Tate run for 45 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:2159% → 58%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
40.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+28
40.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 28 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
40.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 5 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
40.4%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
40.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
42.1%
JJ Molson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
42.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+1
42.4%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
42.2%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
42.1%
Jake Glatting punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
42.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
42.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43 Soso Jamabo fumbled, forced by Kylan Wilborn, recovered by Ariz Demetrius Flannigan-FowlesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3944% → 46%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
44.2%
Khalil Tate run for 10 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
44.2%
Khalil Tate run for 17 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
44.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
44.2%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the UCLA 9Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 3
OPP 9
-10
44.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
45.5%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+36
45.7%
Josh Pollack 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4155% → 57%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
45.2%
Darren Andrews run for 27 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-11
44.5%
Jalen Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44 UCLA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 21
OWN 41
+32
45.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 32 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
43.9%
Jalen Starks run for 2 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
43.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+10
44.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 10 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
43.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren Andrews, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
43.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 9 yds to the Ariz 6Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
44.3%
Jalen Starks run for 4 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive holding (1 Yards) to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.9%
Jalen Starks run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.9%
Josh Rosen run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.2%
Jalen Starks run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4445% → 52%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.6%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+53
44.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 53 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
46.3%
Nick Wilson run for 10 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
46.3%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 7Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+6
46.3%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.5%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8INT
13 plays · 65 yds · 1:2350% → 50%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
Jalen Starks run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
49.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
50.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
50.5%
Jalen Starks run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
51.5%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 20
OWN 36
0
52.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin Roberts, broken up by Kwesi MashackSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+19
52.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 19 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
50.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
51.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 20 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
50.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 13 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+42
50.0%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Jace Whittaker return for 28 yds to the Ariz 0 ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the Ariz 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:0154% → 54%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
53.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 6 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+19
53.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
55.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
55.8%
Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
56.0%
Tyrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-5
56.0%
Tate, K. pass incomplete to Johnson, T., PENALTY ARIZ ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 12
50
+6
55.4%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
55.3%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
54.4%
Jake Glatting punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10INT TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3443% → 31%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
56.7%
Jordan Lasley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+42
69.0%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted for a TD Jace Whittaker return for 42 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5631% → 43%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
68.8%
Jalen Starks run for 19 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
67.7%
Jalen Starks run for 13 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
66.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
66.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 7 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
65.9%
Jalen Starks run for 4 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
65.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
65.7%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
66.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+8
66.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 8 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
65.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 7 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+4
65.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
57.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4860% → 75%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
60.2%
Nick Wilson run for 13 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
62.0%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-10
61.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+31
59.9%
Khalil Tate run for 31 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
62.6%
Nick Wilson run for 13 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
62.6%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
62.6%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+8
61.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
62.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
75.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Trevor Wood for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13KICKOFF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
73.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
73.9%
Josh Rosen sacked by Kylan Wilborn for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+2
74.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
74.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
74.9%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:3077% → 81%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
76.9%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
77.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 5 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
77.7%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+39
77.6%
Nick Wilson run for 39 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
77.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
77.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-4
77.0%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
80.8%
Josh Pollack 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
78.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-8
79.3%
Josh Rosen sacked by Kylan Wilborn for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 19
OWN 11
0
79.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
79.8%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:5283% → 93%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
83.3%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
83.4%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+15
82.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 15 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
83.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+26
83.6%
Khalil Tate run for 26 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
83.7%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
83.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 3 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
83.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
92.6%
Josh Pollack 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4610% → 28%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
89.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 24 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+47
88.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 47 yds to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Jordan Lasley for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4479% → 92%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.0%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
92.4%
Khalil Tate run for 71 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:3210% → 27%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.3%
Brandon Stephens run for 3 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+14
90.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
90.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 15 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
88.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
88.6%
Brandon Stephens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+11
89.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (11 Yards) to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
88.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Soso Jamabo for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3980% → 95%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
81.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
82.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
81.8%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
82.8%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+44
82.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 44 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.3%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:226% → 5%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+28
93.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 13 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
93.5%
Josh Rosen sacked by Kurtis Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
93.5%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the Ariz 43Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-11
93.7%
Josh Rosen sacked by Kylan Wilborn for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 23
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ariz 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4996% → 97%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.7%
J.J. Taylor run for no gain to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+18
95.6%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
95.9%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
95.8%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+4
95.9%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+41
97.1%
Jake Glatting punt for 42 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for 41 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
95.9%
Josh Rosen sacked by Kylan Wilborn for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
95.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 6 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
95.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
95.1%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Dane Cruikshank return for 1 yd to the Ariz 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25DOWNS
15 plays · 40 yds · 5:2098% → 100%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
97.7%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+6
98.1%
Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+5
98.2%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
98.1%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.3%
Zach Green run for 8 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+7
98.3%
Zach Green run for 7 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
98.3%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+5
98.3%
Zach Green run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
98.3%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-15
99.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 16
OPP 47
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:20
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Jordan Lasley for Two-Point Conversion)
-16.4
TD · Q3 1:04
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Soso Jamabo for Two-Point Conversion)
-15.4
TD · Q3 3:36
Khalil Tate run for 71 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com