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WSU

Washington State 3 at California 37

CAL
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2017 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:18 · Dylan Klumph punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior−37.6Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:34: Vic Enwere 6 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick) — CAL win probability +2.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:27: Erik Powell 52 Yd Field Goal — WSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Kyle Wells 2 Yd pass from Ross Bowers (Matt Anderson Kick) — CAL win probability +10.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:13: Matt Anderson 48 Yd Field Goal — CAL win probability +10.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:10: Ross Bowers 7 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick) — CAL win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:12CAL 4th & 9 at WSU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12WSU 4th & 6 at CAL 32, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46CAL 4th & 10 at CAL 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18CAL 4th & 10 at WSU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:31WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:10WSU 4th & 2 at CAL 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53CAL 4th & 14 at WSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:06CAL 4th & 8 at CAL 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:50CAL 4th & 5 at WSU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:13CAL 4th & 26 at WSU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:13CAL 4th & 3 at WSU 31, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%−1.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:49WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−4.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:47WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:13CAL 4th & 4 at WSU 24, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:26WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 42, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:51CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 14, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00WSU 4th & 1 at CAL 39, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 4:34CAL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:00CAL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:10CAL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:26CAL Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0690% → 89%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
10.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-1
10.7%
Luke Falk sacked by James Looney for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
11.0%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Camryn Bynum return for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2FG
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1511% → 12%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
11.1%
Vic Wharton III run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
11.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+21
11.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 21 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
11.5%
Derrick Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
11.8%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Jake Ashton) to the WshSt 10Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
11.9%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
12.2%
Matt Anderson 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:5388% → 87%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
12.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 14 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
12.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 16 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
12.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 9 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
12.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-5
12.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Madison) to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
13.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
13.2%
Erik Powell 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2313% → 13%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
13.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
13.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan Veasy, broken up by Marcus StrongSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
13.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+16
13.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 42 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 16 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
13.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 10 yds Jamire Calvin fumbled, forced by Jaylinn Hawkins, recovered by Cal Devante Downs , return for 4 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1214% → 14%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
13.9%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
14.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-1
14.1%
Ross Bowers sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
14.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3486% → 84%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
14.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Luc Bequette for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
14.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+5
15.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+31
15.8%
Erik Powell punt for 38 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for 31 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:4916% → 19%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
16.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 17 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
16.2%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the WshSt 6Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.6%
Vic Enwere 6 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FG
18 plays · 40 yds · 8:0083% → 76%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
18.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 11 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
18.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
18.7%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
50
+2
19.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
19.6%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+10
20.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
20.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 4 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
20.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
21.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+16
22.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 16 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
21.6%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the Cal 3Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-8
22.2%
James Williams run for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 11Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-15
23.6%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Martin Jr., Tavares for 11 yards to the CALIFORNIA0, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Martin Jr., Tavares) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 26
-9
24.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Cameron Goode for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 0
OPP 35
+52
23.6%
Erik Powell 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:1725% → 27%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
25.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 7 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+9
26.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 9 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
27.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 18 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
27.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
27.7%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Kamryn Bennett) to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+6
27.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 6 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-5
28.0%
Bowers, Ross pass complete to Noa, Kanawai for 17 yards to the WASHST17, PENALTY CALIFORNIA ineligible downfield on pass (Bennett, Kamryn) 5 yards to the WASHST39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 14
OPP 39
0
27.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
26.7%
Ross Bowers punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11INT
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:2973% → 68%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
27.8%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+18
29.4%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Raymond Davison III) to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
28.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
28.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+17
28.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 17 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
28.4%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
27.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 2 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+15
29.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 15 yds Renard Bell fumbled, forced by Darius Allensworth, recovered by WshSt Renard Bell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
28.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-2
29.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Darius Allensworth for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 15Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
31.9%
Luke Falk pass intercepted, touchback. Camryn Bynum return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:0735% → 35%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
35.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Enwere for 19 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
37.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 2 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
38.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Gavin ReinwaldSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
36.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan DuncanSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
35.4%
Dylan Klumph punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:0664% → 61%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
35.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 17 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
35.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
35.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+8
37.2%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
38.7%
Mitchell Cox punt for 1 yd, downed at the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14END OF HALF
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:4842% → 54%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
41.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 8 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
41.9%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+14
40.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 14 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
41.9%
Ross Bowers sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 15 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 25
OPP 38
+19
42.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 19 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+8
41.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 8 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
44.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Enwere for 9 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
54.3%
Kyle Wells 2 Yd pass from Ross Bowers (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:5755% → 58%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
54.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 9 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 1
OWN 20
-1
55.9%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 19Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+33
56.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 33 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
59.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
59.2%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
59.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
58.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:5842% → 45%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+21
58.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 21 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+43
57.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 43 yds to the Cal 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
54.7%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Raymond Davison III return for no gain to the Cal 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:2662% → 65%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
61.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 11 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.3%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete to Veasy, Jordan, PENALTY WASHST holding (Thompson, Jalen) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
62.7%
Vic Enwere run for 7 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
64.4%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
65.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 27 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
65.6%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Kamryn Bennett) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+4
66.9%
Derrick Clark run for 4 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
67.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-15
67.1%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete to Veasy, Jordan, PENALTY CALIFORNIA personal foul 15 yards to the WASHST41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 26
OPP 41
0
66.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Gavin ReinwaldSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 26
OPP 41
0
65.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 39 yds, downed at the WshSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:0434% → 29%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
66.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 6
-1
67.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Luc Bequette and Cameron Goode for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+22
68.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 22 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-11
67.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Jordan Kunaszyk and James Looney for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 16Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 21
OWN 16
+12
69.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
70.6%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Jordan Kunaszyk return for no gain to the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4376% → 82%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
75.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
75.9%
Vic Enwere run for 7 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
75.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
82.0%
Matt Anderson 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:0020% → 16%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
79.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Jordan Kunaszyk for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+10
82.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 10 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-6
82.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Gerran Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
84.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 46 yds, downed at the Cal 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:2986% → 98%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
86.0%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+24
86.7%
Vic Enwere run for 24 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 5 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
88.6%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
88.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 7 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
89.7%
Vic Enwere run for 7 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+26
90.5%
Vic Enwere run for 26 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
91.0%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 4Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
92.4%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Ross Bowers 7 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:143% → 3%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.9%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
97.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
97.5%
Erik Powell punt for 33 yds , Vic Wharton III returns for no gain to the Cal 47 Vic Wharton III fumbled, recovered by Cal Josh DraydenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:2399% → 100%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.7%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
98.8%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
98.9%
Derrick Clark run for 9 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-4
98.9%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+7
99.0%
Vic Enwere run for 7 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.2%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+8
99.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 8 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
99.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
99.8%
Matt Anderson 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-26
99.9%
Gerran Brown 26 Yd Fumble Return (Matt Anderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 27 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 3 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Quentin Tartabull return for no gain to the Cal 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Zion Echols run for 3 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-10
99.9%
Echols, Zion rush for 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA36, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding (Williams, Gentle) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+1
99.9%
Zion Echols run for 1 yd to the Cal 12Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Zion Echols run for 2 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 14
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
Dylan Klumph punt for 42 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 8 yds to the Cal 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-4
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 6 yds to the Cal 37 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Kyle Sweet) to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+8
100.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to CJ Dimry for 8 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 5:13
Matt Anderson 48 Yd Field Goal
+10.4
TD · Q2 0:00
Kyle Wells 2 Yd pass from Ross Bowers (Matt Anderson Kick)
+10.3
TD · Q4 13:10
Ross Bowers 7 Yd Run (Matt Anderson Kick)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com