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CAL

California 7 at Washington 38

WASH
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:10 · Dylan Klumph punt for 41 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 17 yds to the Cal 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+35.1Home team on offense+12.5Score differential+4.0Garbage-time factor+2.0Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:37: Jake Browning run for 21 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +2.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:44: Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:10: Timeout CALIFORNIA, clock 00:10 — WASH win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:51: Jake Browning pass complete to Jusstis Warren for 2 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 1:07: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for a loss of 11 yards, Dante Pettis fumbled, recovered by Cal Darius Allensworth , return for 37 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CAL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:28CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:32CAL 4th & 2 at CAL 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:35WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:48WASH 4th & 6 at CAL 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:09WASH 4th & 4 at CAL 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:09CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:37WASH 4th & 2 at CAL 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:10CAL 4th & 21 at CAL 3, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:31WASH 4th & 28 at WASH 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:16CAL 4th & 12 at CAL 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:17CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:10CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:08WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 27, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:44CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 30, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:59WASH 4th & 4 at CAL 39, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00CAL 4th & 21 at WASH 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:44WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:37WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:44WASH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:51WASH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:16WASH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:223% → 3%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
97.2%
Zion Echols run for 1 yd to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
97.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+8
97.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 8 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
96.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
96.8%
Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
96.8%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+5
96.8%
Ross Bowers run for 5 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Dylan Klumph punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:4497% → 96%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
96.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Will Dissly) to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+6
96.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
96.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
96.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 5 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+13
96.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will DisslySimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-6
96.2%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+29
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 29 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
96.1%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 11Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
95.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 6:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
96.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 11 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:004% → 4%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+8
96.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 8 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
96.0%
Dylan Klumph punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4596% → 96%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+4
96.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+2
95.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 50 yds, downed at the Cal 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
95.7%
Patrick Laird run for 9 yds to the Cal 25 Patrick Laird fumbled, forced by Taylor Rapp, recovered by Wash JoJo McIntoshSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3096% → 96%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
95.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-1
95.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 21Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
95.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
95.5%
Tristan Vizcaino 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:525% → 5%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
95.3%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-6
95.2%
Ross Bowers sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 18Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+4
95.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+22
95.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 51 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 22 yds to the Wash 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:3995% → 95%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
95.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Trey Adams) to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+3
95.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+4
95.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 4 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+11
95.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 11 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
95.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 8 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+5
95.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 5 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 4 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+9
94.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Cal 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
94.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 6 yds to the Cal 6Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
94.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Quinten PoundsSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
94.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
94.8%
Van Soderberg 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:465% → 5%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Patrick LairdSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
94.8%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
94.8%
Dylan Klumph punt for 38 yds, downed at the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:2895% → 97%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
94.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+18
94.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 18 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 2 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
94.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+7
94.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
94.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
94.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+4
94.4%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+21
96.9%
Jake Browning run for 21 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 2:204% → 3%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
96.4%
Jeremiah Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 10Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 10
-5
96.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Valentino Daltoso) to the Cal 5Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+14
96.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 14 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 19
-16
96.4%
Ross Bowers sacked by Benning Potoa'e for a loss of 16 yards to the Cal 3Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 21
OWN 3
+17
96.6%
Dylan Klumph punt for 41 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 17 yds to the Cal 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:1897% → 99%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 7 yds to the Cal 20Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
97.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+12
97.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Cal 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:332% → 1%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
98.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 8 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-1
97.8%
Ross Bowers sacked by Jaylen Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+14
97.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 14 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-13
97.9%
Ross Bowers sacked by Tevis Bartlett for a loss of 13 yards to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 23
OWN 36
+6
98.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 6 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+15
98.8%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete to Laird, Patrick, PENALTY WASHINGTON personal foul (Vea, Vita) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
98.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 6 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+6
98.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Raymond Davison III) to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
98.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Hunter Bryant) to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-5
98.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Will Dissly) to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 20
OWN 28
-8
98.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Tevin Paul for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 28
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.7%
Vic Enwere run for 7 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
98.0%
Ross Bowers run for 4 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jeremiah HawkinsSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
98.1%
Zion Echols run for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-4
98.1%
Ross Bowers sacked by Vita Vea for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 6:1498% → 100%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
98.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+5
98.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
98.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
98.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 25 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
98.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
98.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
98.5%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
98.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Cal 27Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
98.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+11
98.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 11 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
98.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+7
98.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Cal 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Cal 2Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jusstis Warren for 2 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.7%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Zion Echols for 4 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Zion EcholsSimilar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+14
99.8%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 14 yds to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FUMBLE TD
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:03100% → 99%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 3 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Nick Harris) to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+37
99.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for a loss of 11 yards, Dante Pettis fumbled, recovered by Cal Darius Allensworth , return for 37 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:4299% → 100%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+10
99.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 10 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Cal 12Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-9
99.9%
Ross Bowers sacked by Ryan Bowman and Jaylen Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+11
99.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 11 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Ross Bowers sacked by Tevis Bartlett for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 33Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Derrick Clark run for 2 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Derrick Clark for 4 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+13
99.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 13 yds to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 12 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Cal 44Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-2
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 39Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24FUMBLE
15 plays · 25 yds · 4:520% → 0%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Zion Echols run for 4 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Derrick Clark run for 4 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
100.0%
Derrick Clark run for 4 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
100.0%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 7 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Derrick Clark run for 1 yd to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 8 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Chase Forrest run for 7 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+8
100.0%
Derrick Clark run for 8 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
100.0%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 23 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 11 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Gavin ReinwaldSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-11
100.0%
Chase Forrest sacked by Amandre Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 21
OPP 24
-41
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 41 yards to the Cal 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cal Steven CouttsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:37
Jake Browning run for 21 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 2:44
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q3 4:51
Jake Browning pass complete to Jusstis Warren for 2 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com