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WSU

Washington State 33 at Oregon 10

ORE
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:41 · Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Brenden Schooler, broken up by Marcus Strong
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:37: Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 30 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +4.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:59: Erik Powell 52 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:02: Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +11.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:52: Erik Powell 47 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:35: Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 25 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 11WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:41ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:34WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:45ORE 4th & 3 at WSU 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:45WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:37WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:59ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:54WSU 4th & 8 at ORE 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:54ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:59WSU 4th & 20 at ORE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:59ORE 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−2.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:04ORE 4th & 9 at WSU 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:07WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:02ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:55WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:52WSU 4th & 23 at ORE 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−2.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:52ORE 4th & 19 at ORE 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−2.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:24WSU 4th & 10 at ORE 40, up 13
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:55ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:25WSU 4th & 5 at ORE 41, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:58ORE 4th & 6 at WSU 41, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:41WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 12, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:41WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:37ORE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:02WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:35WSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
43.9%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-5
43.9%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 10Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+6
43.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+16
43.9%
Royce Freeman run for 16 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
43.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+5
43.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for 5 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
43.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for 5 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
43.9%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
43.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 41 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.6%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
43.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
43.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
43.6%
Adam Stack punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
43.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-6
43.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Jonah Moi for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
43.8%
Erik Powell punt for 28 yds, downed at the WshSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 4:5844% → 45%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
44.0%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-1
44.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+15
43.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
44.2%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+5
44.2%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
44.2%
Kani Benoit run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-5
44.2%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 17
OPP 25
-5
43.9%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 22
OPP 30
+19
43.8%
Kani Benoit run for 19 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
44.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
44.2%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
44.2%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
44.0%
Kani Benoit run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
45.1%
Aidan Schneider 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
44.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
44.8%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
45.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
45.5%
Kyle Sweet punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
49.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 30 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
48.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
48.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
48.6%
Erik Powell punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
48.4%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-3
48.5%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+8
47.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Royce Freeman for 8 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
48.1%
Adam Stack punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:2251% → 53%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
49.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-9 Yards) to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
49.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+25
49.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvine for 25 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
48.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 16 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
47.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 21 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
47.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 21 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
47.0%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
47.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Henry Mondeaux for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
47.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
46.8%
Erik Powell 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
48.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
48.6%
Darrian McNeal run for 4 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
48.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+45
47.3%
Adam Stack punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the OREGON 37 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:1252% → 55%
Q2 10:11
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+23
48.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 8 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
45.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 4 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
47.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvine for 1 yd to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
47.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete, broken up by Thomas Graham Jr.Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+20
45.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 20 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
44.9%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
45.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr. (Robinson, Tyree), PENALTY WSU holding 10 yards to the ORE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 20
OPP 35
0
46.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard Bell, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 20
OPP 35
0
47.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete, broken up by Tyree RobinsonSimilar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 20
OPP 35
+52
45.2%
Erik Powell 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
45.1%
Royce Freeman run for 26 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
47.7%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
48.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
47.3%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
46.3%
Taj Griffin run for no gain to the WshSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 58%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
43.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+14
42.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 14 yds Renard Bell fumbled, forced by Troy Dye, recovered by Oregn Tyree RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:5048% → 44%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
47.5%
Burmeister, B. pass incomplete to Schooler, B., PENALTY WSU pass interference 15 yards to the WSU37, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
48.0%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
46.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 15
OPP 42
0
46.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Brenden Schooler, broken up by Robert TaylorSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+6
44.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
43.5%
Adam Stack punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
43.2%
James Williams run for 11 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
42.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Jalen Jelks for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+7
43.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
43.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ DimrySimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
44.8%
Erik Powell punt for 28 yds, downed at the Oregn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
44.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 8 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
46.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 5 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
47.0%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Hunter Dale for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
44.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+4
43.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5857% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
43.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Jordon Scott for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+29
44.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 29 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
41.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+38
40.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 38 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
39.4%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
28.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
30.4%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
30.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+6
29.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 6 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
29.7%
Adam Stack punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
29.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
30.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
30.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
31.6%
Erik Powell punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
28.8%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
29.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for 6 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
29.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the Oregn 44 Braxton Burmeister fumbled, forced by Hunter Dale, recovered by WshSt Robert TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2873% → 81%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
27.5%
James Williams run for 13 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
27.1%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+10
27.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
27.0%
James Williams run for no gain to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-13
27.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 15 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, clipping (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 23
OPP 30
0
27.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 23
OPP 30
0
28.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 23
OPP 30
+47
18.9%
Erik Powell 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
23.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 15 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
24.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
23.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-11
23.1%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 11 yards to the Oregn 30 OREGON Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 19
OWN 30
0
21.9%
Adam Stack punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
15.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 20 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
14.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the ORE40, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
14.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ Dimry, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
14.4%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
14.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
15.9%
Mitchell Cox punt for 25 yds, downed at the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4719% → 18%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
19.3%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+12
19.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 12 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
20.0%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Dylan Hanser for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 19Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+1
19.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the Oregn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 20
+27
17.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted Marcus Strong return for 27 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
3.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 25 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 1:405% → 3%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
4.7%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
4.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 8
OWN 0
0
4.4%
Burmeister, B. rush for 19 yards to the ORE48, out-of-bounds (Frankie Luvu), PENALTY ORE holding off-setting, PENALTY WSU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-10
4.6%
Burmeister, B. rush for 15 yards to the ORE44 (Hunter Dale), PENALTY ORE holding 10 yards to the ORE19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 18
OWN 19
0
3.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
3.0%
Adam Stack punt for 28 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for no gain to the Oregn 40 Jamal Morrow fumbled, recovered by Oregn Ty GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 28INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
3.0%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-1
3.1%
Kani Benoit run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
2.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted Robert Taylor return for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 29PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
2.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+3
2.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+15
2.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon Patmon, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the ORE46, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
2.4%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
2.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
2.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ Dimry, broken up by Jalen JelksSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 5
OPP 0
0
2.7%
Mitchell Cox punt 28 yards to the ORE13, Redd, Jaylon return to the ORE13, fumble by Redd, Jaylon recovered by WSU Justus Rogers at ORE20, Justus Rogers for no gain to the ORE20, PENALTY WSU kick catching interference off-setting, PENALTY ORE offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
2.7%
Mitchell Cox punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Darrian McNeal at the Oregn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
2.1%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+39
2.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 39 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
2.4%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 15
50
+9
2.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 9 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
2.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-10
2.3%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Dillon Sherman for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 31FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:2199% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
1.3%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
1.3%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+4
1.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
1.3%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+15
1.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard Bell (Robinson, Tyree), PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the ORE19, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
1.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
1.2%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
1.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle Sweet, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
0.4%
Erik Powell 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 32END OF GAME
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
0.8%
Darrian Felix run for 15 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
0.8%
Darrian Felix run for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
0.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+14
0.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Taj Griffin for 14 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by George HicksSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
0.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Brenden Schooler, broken up by Marcus StrongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:35
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 25 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q3 12:02
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-11
FG · Q3 5:52
Erik Powell 47 yd FG GOOD
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com