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STAN

Stanford 23 at Utah 20

UTAH
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Jake Bailey punt for 34 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the Utah 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense−6.7Pregame prior−2.2Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:35: Keller Chryst run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +7.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:00: Matt Gay 30 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +3.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:26: Jet Toner 29 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +4.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:02: Bryce Love run for 68 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +20.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:44: Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +24.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:19STAN 4th & 2 at UTAH 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:10STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:00STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:49UTAH 4th & 12 at STAN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:58STAN 4th & 11 at UTAH 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:58UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 27, up 4
    Close callPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00UTAH 4th & 12 at STAN 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06STAN 4th & 3 at UTAH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.4
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 26, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.6%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:26STAN 4th & 7 at UTAH 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−9.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:35UTAH 4th & 13 at STAN 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−11.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00STAN 4th & 9 at UTAH 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−3.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:40UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:24STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:47STAN 4th & 9 at UTAH 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:00UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:35STAN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:02STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:44UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:4159% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.2%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
41.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 7 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+54
41.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Kaden Smith for 54 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
41.6%
Love,B rush for 12 yards to the UTAH0, clock 12:51, PENALTY STAN illegal motion (Marx,D) 5 yards to the UTAH17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 15
OPP 17
-5
41.6%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+13
41.6%
Keller Chryst run for 13 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
41.6%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+3
41.7%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Kaden Smith for 3 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
42.1%
Jet Toner 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
42.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 17 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
42.5%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
42.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Alijah HolderSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
42.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
42.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 46 yds, downed at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
42.7%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+3
42.7%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 12Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
42.7%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
42.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:3443% → 47%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
50
+7
43.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Zack Moss for 7 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+19
43.4%
Zack Moss run for 19 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
43.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Samson Nacua for 13 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
43.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 16Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+3
43.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 3 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+11
43.7%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae. (Holder,A), PENALTY STAN pass interference (Holder,A) 11 yards to the STAN2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
46.1%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
46.2%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
46.5%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+11
46.8%
Jake Bailey punt for 61 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 11 yds to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:0346% → 47%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
46.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
46.1%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
46.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+31
46.6%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 31 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-15
47.5%
Williams, Troy rush for 7 yards to the STAN23, out-of-bounds (Reid,J), PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Moss, Zack) 15 yards to the STAN45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 25
OPP 45
0
46.8%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 25
OPP 45
+13
46.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 13 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+50
47.2%
Matt Gay 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:5152% → 51%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
47.6%
UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
46.7%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+14
47.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 14 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
46.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 12 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
46.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 6 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+12
46.6%
K.J. Costello run for 12 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
46.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
46.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
47.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+27
49.5%
Jet Toner 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.2%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
49.1%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
48.8%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
48.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:2250% → 59%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
50.1%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-2
50.0%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+25
50.9%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 25 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+39
48.4%
Bryce Love run for 39 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.5%
Keller Chryst run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:3545% → 49%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.7%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
45.0%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
45.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
46.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
46.3%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
46.6%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+16
45.2%
Zack Moss run for 16 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
47.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 36 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
48.2%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
46.8%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
45.4%
Troy Williams sacked by Bobby Okereke for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 12Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
49.2%
Matt Gay 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 2:4854% → 59%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+19
46.1%
Bryce Love run for 19 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
45.1%
Keller Chryst run for 1 yd to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
45.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+19
46.7%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 19 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
43.6%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+16
44.7%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 16 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
42.6%
Keller Chryst run for 2 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
41.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Donald Stewart for 5 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
42.5%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
40.7%
Jet Toner 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
43.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
43.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
43.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
42.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Zack Moss for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-11
41.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3662% → 65%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
37.9%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
37.9%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Utah 14Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+2
39.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Bryce Love for 2 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
34.8%
Jet Toner 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 7:5138% → 42%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.7%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
37.9%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
36.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Zack Moss for 6 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
38.1%
Troy Williams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
50
+11
41.1%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 11 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
41.5%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
42.9%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
42.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+11
42.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 11 yds Darren Carrington II fumbled, forced by Alijah Holder, recovered by Utah Devonta'e Henry-Cole for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
42.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
42.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+14
40.7%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae., PENALTY STAN pass interference (Holder,A) 14 yards to the STAN2, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
42.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 2Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-11
41.1%
Troy Williams sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 11 yards to the Stanf 13Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
41.6%
Matt Gay 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:2960% → 60%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
40.1%
K.J. Costello run for 7 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+7
38.4%
Costello,K pass incomplete to Irwin,T (Blackmon, J.), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Blackmon, J.) 7 yards to the STAN37, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
38.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Donald Stewart for 16 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
36.6%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
36.7%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-5
37.2%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (Walker Little) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 13
50
+9
39.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-5
39.1%
Bailey,J punt 40 yards to the UTAH1, out-of-bounds, PENALTY STAN illegal formation 5 yards to the UTAH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+3
40.4%
Jake Bailey punt for 34 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
42.2%
Demari Simpkins pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
42.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+21
40.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 21 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
43.8%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
43.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Zack MossSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
42.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
39.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 37 yds, downed at the Stanf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:5561% → 81%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
39.5%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+68
18.8%
Bryce Love run for 68 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:2520% → 17%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
19.5%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae., PENALTY UTAH holding (Falemaka, Lo) 10 yards to the UTAH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
19.2%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+16
19.0%
Troy Williams run for 16 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
19.7%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
21.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 11 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
22.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+24
22.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 24 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
25.2%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Darren Carrington II) to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+11
16.9%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Quenton Meeks return for 11 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
13.4%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+3
14.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+3
14.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
14.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
10.3%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Justin Reid return for no gain to the Stanf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0591% → 92%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
9.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
9.2%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
9.0%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-1
9.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
9.2%
Jake Bailey punt for 40 yds, downed at the Utah 5Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
8.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Cameron ScarlettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 2:517% → 35%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
6.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+15
6.5%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae. (Meeks,Q), PENALTY STAN personal foul (Kalambayi,P) 15 yards to the UTAH20, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
6.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
7.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-1
6.7%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+15
6.3%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Wilson, Siaosi, PENALTY STAN personal foul (Phillips,H) 15 yards to the UTAH38, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
7.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
7.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 17 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
8.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Samson Nacua for 9 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
9.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+18
9.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
10.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
35.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0194% → 94%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 12
50
-1
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:44
Troy Williams pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+24.2
TD · Q4 12:02
Bryce Love run for 68 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
-20.7
TD · Q2 9:35
Keller Chryst run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com