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WASH

Washington 42 at Oregon State 7

ORST
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:24 · Joel Whitford punt for 55 yds, downed at the OrgSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior−36.1Home team on offense−7.1Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:51: Jake Browning run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — ORST win probability +0.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:24: Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:24 — ORST win probability +2.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:43: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +4.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:51: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 34 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:33: Myles Gaskin run for 32 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00ORST 4th & 11 at ORST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:12WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ORST 4th & 13 at ORST 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:54WASH 4th & 5 at ORST 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:41ORST 4th & 3 at ORST 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:52WASH 4th & 16 at ORST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:52ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:56WASH 4th & 10 at ORST 25, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:37ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:42ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:33ORST 4th & 13 at ORST 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:23ORST 4th & 4 at WASH 12, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:51WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:43WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:51WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:33WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:59WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:53WASH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:23ORST Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
3.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Tuli Wily-Matagi for 6 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
3.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+5
3.8%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
3.8%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Ryan Nall, broken up by Azeem VictorSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
3.8%
Ryan Nall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
3.8%
Darell Garretson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+58
3.8%
Nick Porebski punt for 58 yds, downed at the OREGONST 2 WASHINGTON Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
10 plays · 98 yds · 4:0395% → 95%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
4.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 12 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
4.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
4.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
4.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+40
4.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 40 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
4.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
4.5%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
4.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
5.0%
Jake Browning run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
5.2%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
5.2%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
5.2%
Darell Garretson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
5.1%
Nick Porebski punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
5.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
5.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
5.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-9
5.4%
Jake Browning sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+11
5.6%
Jake Browning run for 11 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
5.6%
Joel Whitford punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Seth Collins at the OrgSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:096% → 7%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
6.3%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
6.3%
Ryan Nall run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+14
6.2%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 14 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
6.5%
Seth Collins run for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+6
6.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 6 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
7.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
6.8%
Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:5493% → 92%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
7.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
6.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+6
7.0%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Lenius, Brayden, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Wilson, Shawn) 6 yards to the WASH36, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
6.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 9 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
6.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 6 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
6.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
6.6%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
6.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for no gain to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
7.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
8.1%
Artavis Pierce run for 22 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
8.6%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
8.6%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 3 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+1
8.6%
Darell Garretson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
8.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8MISSED FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:1091% → 91%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
8.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+6
8.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+6
8.8%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
8.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Jay IrvineSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
8.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+10
8.7%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Lenius, Brayden, dropped pass, PENALTY OSU holding 10 yards to the WASH29, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
8.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
8.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
7.8%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Dissly, Will (Vakameilalo, K.), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Savea, Paisa) 15 yards to the OSU45, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
7.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 26 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
7.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-11
7.6%
Coleman, Lavon rush for 19 yards to the OSU0, PENALTY WASH holding (Adams, Trey) 11 yards to the OSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 21
OPP 30
+13
8.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-8
8.6%
Jake Browning sacked by Manase Hungalu and Bright Ugwoegbu for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+42
9.5%
Tristan Vizcaino 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.2%
Thomas Tyner run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
10.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
10.4%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
10.0%
Nick Porebski punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0291% → 89%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
9.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
9.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will Dissly, broken up by Austin HudsonSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-9
9.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Manase Hungalu for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
11.5%
Joel Whitford punt for 55 yds, downed at the OrgSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
11.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:1389% → 94%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
10.9%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pettis, Dante, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Irvine, Jay) 15 yards to the WASH28, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+32
10.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 32 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
9.7%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pounds, Quinten, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Crawford, X.) 15 yards to the OSU25, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
9.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
9.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-4
9.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+20
10.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
7.3%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
7.2%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
7.2%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Tuli Wily-MatagiSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
7.1%
Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:1993% → 97%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
6.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 9 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-5
6.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Jesse Sosebee) to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
6.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
50
+20
6.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
6.2%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-4
6.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+34
2.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 34 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.6%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
3.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ryan Nall for 19 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
4.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
4.0%
Artavis Pierce run for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
4.0%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 3 yds Artavis Pierce fumbled, forced by Ben Burr-Kirven, recovered by Wash Greg GainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
2.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 14 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
2.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+6
1.9%
Jake Browning pass intercepted David Morris return for 6 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.8%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Seth Collins, broken up by Jordan MillerSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
2.7%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+6
2.7%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Thomas Tyner for 6 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
2.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:4598% → 99%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
1.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 25 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
1.6%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
1.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+15
1.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 15 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
1.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles Gaskin, broken up by Kee WhetzelSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
1.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 32 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.5%
Thomas Tyner run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
0.5%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Fred Lauina) to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
0.5%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
0.5%
Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:0899% → 100%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
1.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
0.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 11 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
0.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
0.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+11
0.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 15 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
0.2%
Thomas Tyner run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
0.2%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 5 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-2
0.2%
Thomas Tyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 33 Thomas Tyner fumbled, recovered by Wash Tevis BartlettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22TD
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
0.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+17
0.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
0.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 3 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
0.3%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+6
0.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 6 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
0.2%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
0.2%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:240% → 0%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
0.1%
Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+18
0.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 18 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
0.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 5 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+11
0.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 11 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
0.1%
Trevorris Johnson run for 7 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+12
0.1%
Trevorris Johnson run for 12 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
0.1%
Trevorris Johnson run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
0.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 2 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
0.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Thomas Tyner, broken up by Amandre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+12
0.1%
Thomas Tyner run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
0.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+1
0.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
0.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
0.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, offside defense (Titus Failauga) to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 5
OWN 34
+1
0.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:43
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q3 8:51
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 34 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)
-3.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:24
Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:24
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com