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COLO

Colorado 23 at UCLA 27

UCLA
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Stefan Flintoft punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+5.3Home team on offense+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.5Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:39: Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +10.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:59: Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +13.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. FG · Q3 1:09: James Stefanou 33 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +7.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 6:46: James Stefanou 33 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +7.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:26: JJ Molson 31 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +12.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13UCLA 4th & 9 at COLO 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:22UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:34COLO 4th & 5 at UCLA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10UCLA 4th & 4 at COLO 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18COLO 4th & 7 at UCLA 11, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:56COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:39COLO 4th & 1 at UCLA 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−2.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:37COLO 4th & 2 at UCLA 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−2.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:52COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−2.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:48UCLA 4th & 15 at COLO 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−4.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−14.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:46COLO 4th & 12 at UCLA 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−5.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−14.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:26UCLA 4th & 2 at COLO 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−3.1
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−27.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:34COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:09UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:36UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:39UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:59COLO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1DOWNS
17 plays · 38 yds · 4:4771% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
70.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30 UCLA Penalty, illegal block (Scott Quessenberry) to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
70.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 7 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
70.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
70.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 16 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
70.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
70.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
70.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
70.9%
Jalen Starks run for 2 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
70.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
70.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan Lasley, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
70.4%
Jalen Starks run for 2 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
70.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
70.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
70.4%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
70.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:1531% → 36%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
69.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
69.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+14
69.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
50
-2
69.0%
Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+15
69.3%
Steven Montez run for 15 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
69.0%
Steven Montez run for 1 yd to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-2
69.1%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+2
69.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 2 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+15
69.5%
UCLA Penalty, personal foul (Darnay Holmes) to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
63.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 21 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2565% → 70%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
65.1%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+44
64.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 44 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
66.6%
COLORADO Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+2
66.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
66.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+1
66.1%
Josh Rosen run for 1 yd to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
66.6%
Jalen Starks run for no gain to the Colo 12Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
70.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 12 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:0933% → 33%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
66.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
66.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 12 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.1%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-14
65.5%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 1 yd to the Colo 48 COLORADO Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+10
67.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 10 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
66.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
67.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds, downed at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
67.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
67.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
66.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
66.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6FG
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:2534% → 37%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+42
65.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 42 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
63.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-3
64.1%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+9
65.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 9 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
62.9%
James Stefanou 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5864% → 73%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
65.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
65.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
65.3%
Jalen Starks run for 2 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
66.1%
Darren Andrews run for 2 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+46
66.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 46 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.8%
Josh Rosen run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.6%
Jalen Starks run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-10
68.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Gerrad Kough) to the Colo 17Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+5
69.0%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
69.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
70.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
72.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 1 yd to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
71.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 10 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
72.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren Andrews, broken up by Rick GamboaSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
72.2%
Brandon Stephens run for 6 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
71.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
70.9%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10DOWNS
18 plays · 76 yds · 2:5132% → 30%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
68.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
68.3%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
67.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
68.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 11 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
66.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
66.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
65.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 11 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
65.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
65.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 8 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
66.4%
UCLA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
65.1%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive holding (Denzel Fisher) to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
65.1%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
66.9%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
68.2%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 7
OPP 11
0
70.2%
T.J. Patterson pass incomplete to James StefanouSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
70.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+16
70.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 16 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
69.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+6
69.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 16
-8
70.3%
Team run for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 8Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
71.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 50 yds, downed at the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:2872% → 83%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
71.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 30 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
73.0%
UCLA Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Lasley) to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
72.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 19 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
73.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 21 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
73.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the Colo 2Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4019% → 32%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
81.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 24 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
79.5%
Bryce Bobo run for 9 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
78.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
79.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
80.0%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Jonathan Huckins) to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+14
81.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 14 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+25
80.0%
Steven Montez run for 25 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
77.9%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
81.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive holding (Denzel Fisher) to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0074% → 76%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
73.7%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+10
73.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 10 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
74.8%
Josh Rosen run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
75.6%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Evan Worthington return for 1 yd to the Colo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 4:2827% → 35%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
73.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+10
73.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive holding (Denzel Fisher) to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
72.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+14
70.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 14 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
69.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
69.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Colin SamuelSimilar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
70.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+15
71.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 15 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
67.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
67.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+15
69.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 15 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
67.9%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (Bryce Bobo) to the UCLA 16Similar
Q3 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
0
68.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
69.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q3 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
71.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
64.8%
James Stefanou 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0268% → 67%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
68.2%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+9
67.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-2
68.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
66.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
65.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
65.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+5
66.9%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
67.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:0068% → 74%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
68.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 16 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
70.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
69.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 5 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+7
70.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 7 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
71.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+19
71.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 19 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Giovanni GentosiSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
73.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 8 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+5
71.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 5 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
73.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for no gain to the Colo 11Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
73.4%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
72.4%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
69.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+33
73.9%
JJ Molson 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:5527% → 38%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
72.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
70.6%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
68.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+37
69.0%
Steven Montez run for 37 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
66.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
66.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
69.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
62.1%
James Stefanou 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21FG
20 plays · 79 yds · 6:1366% → 96%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
65.8%
Josh Rosen sacked by Javier Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+18
65.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 18 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
68.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan Lasley, broken up by Ryan MoellerSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+19
67.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 19 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
71.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+11
73.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 11 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
75.5%
Josh Rosen run for 4 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
75.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+7
72.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
75.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-1
79.3%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+5
81.4%
Jalen Starks run for 5 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
95.8%
JJ Molson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0010% → 14%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
89.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 31 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
86.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
85.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to George FrazierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.2
TD · Q3 6:59
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
-13.3
FG · Q4 0:26
JJ Molson 31 yd FG GOOD
+12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com