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USC

USC 27 at Washington State 30

WSU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2017 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:37 · Kyle Sweet punt for 19 yds, downed at the USC 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior−4.2Home team on offense+5.4Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:13: Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 0:16: Chase McGrath 29 yd FG GOOD — USC win probability +11.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:14: Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +29.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:01: Sam Darnold run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — USC win probability +39.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:40: Erik Powell 32 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +26.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:36WSU 4th & 10 at USC 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:15WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42USC 4th & 7 at WSU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:11WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:36USC 4th & 12 at WSU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:05WSU 4th & 5 at USC 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:47USC 4th & 2 at WSU 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:06WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:56USC 4th & 1 at USC 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:54USC 4th & 11 at USC 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:20WSU 4th & 14 at USC 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−3.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−10.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:44USC 4th & 5 at USC 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:37WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 48, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:37USC 4th & 8 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:16WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 10, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:16USC 4th & 5 at WSU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−12.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:24WSU 4th & 2 at USC 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−6.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−8.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:05USC 4th & 13 at WSU 42, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%
    30% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:40WSU 4th & 2 at USC 15, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−4.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−34.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:46USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:48WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:25USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:14WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:01USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0237% → 39%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
37.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
37.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 5 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+30
37.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 30 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
38.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 14 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
38.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 5 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-5
38.8%
Luke Falk sacked by Uchenna Nwosu and Rasheem Green for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 27Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
38.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
38.8%
Erik Powell 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3861% → 62%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
38.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 16 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
38.7%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
38.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 8 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
39.1%
Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
39.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 6 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
39.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 4 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
39.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 20 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
39.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+9
39.6%
Sam Darnold run for 9 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.6%
Sam Darnold run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:5939% → 38%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
38.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
38.5%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
38.4%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
38.8%
Luke Falk run for 1 yd to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
39.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ DimrySimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
38.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
38.3%
Erik Powell punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:1961% → 61%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
39.0%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the USC 24Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+24
39.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler. Vaughns for 24 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+24
39.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 24 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
38.4%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
38.4%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
38.4%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
39.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0939% → 38%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
39.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
39.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 13
-8
38.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Josh Fatu for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 14
OWN 5
0
38.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 36 yds , Ajene Harris returns for no gain to the WshSt 41 Ajene Harris fumbled, recovered by USC Ajene HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2762% → 60%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-14
38.5%
Sam Darnold sacked by Hunter Dale for a loss of 14 yards to the WASHST 45 USC Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the USC 45Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 24
OWN 45
+2
39.1%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 22
OWN 47
+10
39.5%
Sam Darnold run for 10 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
40.2%
Reid Budrovich punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Robert Taylor at the WshSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 0:2240% → 45%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+61
39.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 61 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
42.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for no gain to the USC 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
42.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
45.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 28 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2657% → 56%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
43.5%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 36Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
44.4%
Sam Darnold pass intercepted Sean Harper Jr. return for no gain to the USC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5146% → 45%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
45.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
45.9%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
45.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
44.7%
Mitchell Cox punt for 32 yds, downed at the USC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:2255% → 59%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
45.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 6 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 4
OWN 14
-5
45.1%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 9Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+5
46.1%
Ronald Jones II run for 5 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+86
40.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 86 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
40.0%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Uchenna Nwosu return for no gain to the WshSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1562% → 65%
Q2 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
37.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
37.7%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Josh FaloSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.1%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
34.7%
Chase McGrath 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 3:2735% → 33%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.3%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
34.5%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Johnson-Mack, Isaiah, PENALTY USC pass interference (Marshall, Iman) 15 yards to the WASHST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
36.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 3 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-3
35.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Christian Rector and Josh Fatu for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+15
34.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 15 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-8
36.4%
Luke Falk sacked by John Houston Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 18
OWN 47
0
33.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 18
OWN 47
-5
33.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 23
OWN 42
+5
33.0%
USC Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
33.3%
Erik Powell punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0566% → 66%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
34.4%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Joseph Lewis IVSimilar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
35.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-2
34.5%
Reid Budrovich punt for 63 yds , Robert Taylor returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 94 yds · 4:3233% → 55%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
33.4%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+10
33.5%
Luke Falk run for 10 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
33.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 12 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
33.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 13 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
35.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 9 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+13
36.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
39.2%
James Williams run for 9 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
38.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+13
38.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tavares, PENALTY USC pass interference (Jones, Jack) 13 yards to the USC2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
38.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the USC 1Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
44.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:5656% → 52%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-14
44.1%
USC Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-14 Yards) to the USC 14Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+3
45.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 3 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+7
46.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
47.6%
Reid Budrovich punt for 45 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for no gain to the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 4:2749% → 55%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
49.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 21Similar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+4
48.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 4 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+2
48.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+25
46.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 25 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
52.8%
James Williams run for no gain to the USC 48Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
52.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+21
50.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 21 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
54.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the USC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
54.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USC 22Similar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 20
OPP 22
0
54.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+6
53.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
51.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
55.2%
Erik Powell 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0745% → 42%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
55.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 13 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
54.8%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
55.1%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
55.9%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
57.7%
Reid Budrovich punt for 31 yds, downed at the WshSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5160% → 58%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
59.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 8 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
61.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 1
50
-2
60.9%
James Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
58.4%
Kyle Sweet punt for 19 yds, downed at the USC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5445% → 43%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
54.8%
Darnold, Sam pass incomplete to Vaughns, Tyler, PENALTY WASHST roughing passer 15 yards to the USC48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
52.9%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 8
50
0
52.6%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 8
50
0
54.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 8
50
0
57.1%
Reid Budrovich punt for 48 yds, downed at the WshSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0058% → 56%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
57.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 3 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
57.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
56.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
55.9%
Erik Powell punt for 17 yds, downed at the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5448% → 53%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
52.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 11 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
52.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-4
52.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+9
59.1%
Sam Darnold run for 9 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
47.2%
Chase McGrath 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5254% → 88%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
55.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
53.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 15 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
58.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-7
59.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WASHST 48 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+7
56.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+9
58.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
60.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
61.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
61.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+11
58.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
88.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:0320% → 61%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.3%
Sam Darnold run for 11 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
79.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Joseph Lewis IV for 7 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
77.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
78.1%
Sam Darnold run for 1 yd to the USC 47Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+14
79.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Joseph Lewis IV for 14 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
79.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
81.4%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Joseph Lewis IVSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-5
82.0%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
83.5%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 13
OPP 42
+15
86.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 15 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
78.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 26 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
78.9%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 2Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.4%
Sam Darnold run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:1155% → 88%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
57.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Rasheem Green for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+9
54.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 9 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+35
58.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 35 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
64.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the USC 22Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
64.2%
James Williams run for no gain to the USC 15Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
88.4%
Erik Powell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0715% → 15%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
85.3%
Sam Darnold sacked by Jahad Woods for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 18 Sam Darnold fumbled, forced by Jahad Woods, recovered by WshSt Nate DeRider , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:0593% → 96%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
93.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:01
Sam Darnold run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-39.5
TD · Q4 10:14
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+29.3
FG · Q4 1:40
Erik Powell 32 yd FG GOOD
+26.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com