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NEV

Nevada 7 at Washington State 45

WSU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:55 · Quinton Conaway punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+45.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.3Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:24: Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 13 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:50: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 40 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:35: James Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 12:34: Erik Powell 28 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NEV made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:31WSU 4th & 20 at NEV 38, tied
    Close callWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    95.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:55NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:30NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:44NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:35WSU 4th & 1 at NEV 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:34WSU 4th & 6 at NEV 11, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:34NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 38, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:33WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 8, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:13NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:38NEV 4th & 6 at WSU 24, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:51WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 42, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:44NEV 4th & 3 at WSU 6, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:37WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:24WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:50WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:35WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:20WSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:06WSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:56NEV Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.1%
Kaymen Cureton sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
97.1%
Kaymen Cureton pass complete to McLane Mannix for 8 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
97.1%
Kaymen Cureton sacked by Hercules Mata'afa and Garrett McBroom for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Quinton Conaway punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
96.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 12 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
96.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+13
96.9%
James Williams run for 13 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.9%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-10
96.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 20
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 20
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.4%
Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
96.4%
Kaymen Cureton pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-3
96.4%
Kaymen Cureton sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 39Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
96.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:5896% → 96%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
96.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to CJ DimrySimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+52
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 52 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Kaymen Cureton run for no gain to the Nevad 24Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Kaymen Cureton pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Kaymen Cureton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Quinton Conaway punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1196% → 97%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
96.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 5 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+9
96.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 9 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
96.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+15
96.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tav (BROADY, Maliek), PENALTY NEV pass interference (BROWN, Daniel) 15 yards to the NEV18, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
96.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 13 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
96.3%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
96.3%
Kaymen Cureton run for 4 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
96.2%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
96.3%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
96.3%
Kaymen Cureton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-2
96.3%
Kaymen Cureton sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
96.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 41 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for no gain to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:3796% → 98%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 14 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
96.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+18
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 18 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
96.4%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
96.4%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+40
97.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 40 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
97.5%
David Cornwell pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 6 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
97.5%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-5
97.5%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (David Cornwell) to the Nevad 23Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+21
97.5%
David Cornwell pass complete to Justin Brent for 21 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.4%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to Justin BrentSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.5%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
97.5%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to Kelton Moore NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Quinton Conaway punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:2298% → 99%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
97.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+6
97.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
97.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+45
97.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 45 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
97.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+7
97.7%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle Sweet, broken up by Vosean CrumbieSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q2 6:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
James Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11INT
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
99.2%
Blake Wright run for 7 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+5
99.2%
Blake Wright run for 5 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
99.2%
CORNWELL, David pass incomplete to DEMPS, Wyatt, QB hurry by Woods, Jahad, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Strong, Marcus) 15 yards to the NEV33, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+37
99.2%
Blake Wright run for 22 yds to the WASHST 45 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Robert Taylor) to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
David Cornwell pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the WshSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2499% → 100%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 7 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+30
99.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 30 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
99.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Nick Begg for 16 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.3%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
99.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
99.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
99.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the Nevad 5 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, roughing passer (Patrick Choudja) to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
99.3%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
David Cornwell pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 6 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
99.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 60 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
99.5%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the Nevad 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-4
99.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 11Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
99.7%
Erik Powell 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Blake Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 24Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
99.7%
David Cornwell pass complete to McLane Mannix for 11 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
David Cornwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Marcellus PippinsSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.7%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Quinton Conaway punt for 46 yds, downed at the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
99.7%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 11
OWN 15
-7
99.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Ricky Thomas Jr. and Asauni Rufus for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 8Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 18
OWN 8
+1
99.7%
Erik Powell punt for 39 yds , Vosean Crumbie returns for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.7%
David Cornwell pass intercepted Robert Taylor return for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 69 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:42
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+14
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 14 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+3
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 3 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.8%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Martin Jr., Tav (RUFUS, Asauni), PENALTY NEV personal foul (CHOUDJA, P.) 15 yards to the WSU37, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Davontavean Martin) to the Nevad 49Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+9
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-9
99.8%
Luke Falk sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 19
OPP 35
+14
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 14 yds Jamire Calvin fumbled, forced by Ahki Muhammad, recovered by Nevad Asauni RufusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
David Cornwell pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 7 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-2
99.8%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Quinton Conaway punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 1 yd to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+20
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 20 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 2 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 11 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Tavares Martin Jr. 19 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
David Cornwell pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 7 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
David Cornwell pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 4 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
99.9%
David Cornwell pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 4 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Frankie Luvu) to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
David Cornwell pass complete to Blake Wright for 6 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
David Cornwell pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 12 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Blake Wright run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
100.0%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps, broken up by Sean Harper Jr.Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 6
OPP 24
-12
100.0%
David Cornwell sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 12 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22INT
2 plays · -31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski run for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 5 Tyler Hilinski fumbled, forced by Malik Reed, recovered by WshSt Tyler HilinskiSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 41
OWN 5
+1
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted Nephi Sewell return for 1 yd to the WshSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q4 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
David Cornwell pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
David Cornwell pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the WshSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 14 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-8
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski sacked by Asauni Rufus for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Keith Harrington for 13 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 2
OWN 42
-4
100.0%
James Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 38 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
100.0%
BROADY, Maliek rush for no gain to the WSU38 (Rodgers, Will;Rogers, Justus), PENALTY WSU offside (Rodgers, Will) 5 yards to the WSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+8
100.0%
David Cornwell pass complete to Brandon Scott for 8 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
100.0%
David Cornwell pass complete to Maliek Broady for 7 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+5
100.0%
Maliek Broady run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
100.0%
David Cornwell pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+10
100.0%
Maliek Broady run for 10 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-1
100.0%
Maliek Broady run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
David Cornwell run for 3 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Maliek Broady run for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
100.0%
Keith Harrington run for 6 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:50
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 40 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 6:35
James Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 3:24
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 13 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com