Try the model
WASH

Washington 37 at Colorado 10

COLO
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:03 · Tristan Vizcaino 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior−9.8Home team on offense−13.2Score differential−3.7Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:24: Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +3.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:04: Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +9.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:38: Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 43 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +9.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:03: Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Myles Bryant return for 35 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +16.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +6.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:47COLO 4th & 9 at WASH 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:35WASH 4th & 7 at COLO 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−3.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:35COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:36WASH 4th & 6 at COLO 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:28COLO 4th & 17 at WASH 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:03WASH 4th & 5 at COLO 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 16 at COLO 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:16COLO 4th & 1 at WASH 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:09COLO 4th & 18 at COLO 43, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:48WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 21, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:20COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 33, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:24COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:04WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:38WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:03WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:16WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:17WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3621% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
21.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 8 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
21.2%
Beau Bisharat run for 2 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
21.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 9 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
21.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
21.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+22
21.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 22 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
21.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
21.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
21.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
24.8%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+25
24.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 25 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
24.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 8 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
24.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Rick GamboaSimilar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
24.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
24.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
24.4%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-5
24.5%
Browning, Jake rush for 10 yards to the COLO41, PENALTY WASH illegal motion (McClatcher, C.) 5 yards to the WASH44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
24.7%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Afolabi Laguda return for no gain to the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 43 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
28.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 9 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+5
29.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
28.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
28.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 7 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
29.1%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
29.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
29.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 6 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+7
29.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 7 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
29.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Levi Onwuzurike for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
29.5%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+2
29.1%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 9
OPP 40
+13
28.7%
Alex Kinney punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wash 12 COLORADO Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:2067% → 64%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
32.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+18
32.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 18 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
32.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 19 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
31.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
31.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will DisslySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+9
32.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
31.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
31.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-5
34.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
34.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
36.1%
Tristan Vizcaino 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
37.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
37.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
36.8%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
36.3%
Alex Kinney punt blocked by Vita Vea blocked by Vita VeaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:4564% → 71%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
35.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
35.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
39.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 4 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0035% → 37%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
34.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+6
34.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
35.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 13 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
36.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 11 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
36.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+2
36.5%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Jordan Miller return for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:1769% → 69%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
31.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will DisslySimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
31.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 15 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
30.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 17 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
29.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+15
29.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 15 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
29.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-1
29.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 8Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
30.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
30.6%
Tristan Vizcaino 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9INT
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:0333% → 35%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
32.5%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
34.3%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 34 Steven Montez fumbled, recovered by Colo Phillip Lindsay for a 1ST down , return for 5 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
32.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for no gain to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
32.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+4
34.2%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
34.8%
Beau Bisharat run for 1 yd to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
34.0%
N/A pass complete to Shay Fields for 10 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
35.0%
Steven Montez pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Miller return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
32.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
31.5%
Jake Browning run for 9 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:1769% → 80%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
30.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
30.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 7 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
30.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
29.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for no gain to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
29.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+15
29.6%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pettis, Dante, PENALTY COLO face mask (Lewis, Drew) 15 yards to the COLO43, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
20.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 43 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0521% → 25%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+29
20.5%
Steven Montez run for 29 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
22.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 2 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
22.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+16
21.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 16 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
22.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
23.9%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
23.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
23.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-9
22.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Team for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+49
24.7%
James Stefanou 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:2576% → 78%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
24.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
22.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+8
21.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
21.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+10
21.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
21.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
21.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+4
21.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
22.5%
Tristan Vizcaino 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:0026% → 12%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
25.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 8 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-2
27.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+35
11.8%
Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Myles Bryant return for 35 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:5612% → 11%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
11.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+4
12.5%
Devin Ross run for 4 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
12.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 5 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
13.2%
Steven Montez sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-6
11.6%
Steven Montez sacked by Azeem Victor for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
11.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:3791% → 99%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
9.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+27
9.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 27 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
8.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+12
8.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
8.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
8.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
2.5%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
2.5%
Beau Bisharat run for 2 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
2.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
2.6%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
2.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
2.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Juwann Winfree for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
2.8%
Steven Montez run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
2.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
0.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 57 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
0.3%
Beau Bisharat run for 3 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
0.3%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Josh Kaiser) to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+20
0.3%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 20 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
0.3%
Beau Bisharat run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-11
0.3%
N/A run for a loss of 11 yards to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 18
OWN 43
0
0.3%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Laviska Shenault Jr.Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
0.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
0.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
0.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+4
0.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+6
0.2%
Joel Whitford punt for 51 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for 6 yds to the Colo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.2%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Kyle EvansSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-4
0.2%
Sam Noyer sacked by Sean Constantine for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:03
Steven Montez pass intercepted for a TD Myles Bryant return for 35 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
-16
TD · Q2 9:04
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q3 11:38
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 43 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com