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UCLA

UCLA 34 at Stanford 58

STAN
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—STAN 65.5%Jet Toner 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 6 · Q1 0:53
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:53 · Jet Toner 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense+1.0Pregame prior+12.7Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:35: Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +11.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:51: Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +12.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 8:26: K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 15 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +10.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:59: Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +9.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:19: Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 39 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:17STAN 4th & 8 at UCLA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15UCLA 4th & 5 at STAN 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:53STAN 4th & 15 at UCLA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12UCLA 4th & 8 at STAN 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:20STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:09STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 16, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:32UCLA 4th & 6 at STAN 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:49UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00STAN 4th & 2 at UCLA 22, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:18STAN 4th & 6 at UCLA 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:01UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 45, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:11UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 24, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:23UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:35STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:55STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:51UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:26STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:59STAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:19UCLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:52STAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:59UCLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:58STAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:25STAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:2867% → 67%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
66.6%
Bryce Love run for 9 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+12
66.7%
Bryce Love run for 12 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
66.7%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
66.7%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
66.8%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
66.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
66.7%
Jet Toner 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FUMBLE
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:2833% → 33%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
66.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
66.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 6 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
66.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 18 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
66.2%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 25
OWN 41
0
66.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 25
OWN 41
+6
66.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+14
66.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 14 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5034% → 35%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
66.0%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
65.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
66.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Tyler) to the Stanf 10Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
66.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
65.5%
JJ Molson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:4766% → 65%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
65.8%
Keller Chryst run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
65.8%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
65.4%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Walker Little) to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+18
65.2%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
65.9%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (David Bright) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+7
65.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 7 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
66.0%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-2
65.9%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-2
65.0%
Jake Bailey punt for 48 yds , Darren Andrews returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3035% → 35%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
65.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+1
65.1%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Justin Reid return for 1 yd to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1367% → 66%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
66.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 3 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Adarius Pickett) to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
66.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Stanf Cameron ScarlettSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
66.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
65.6%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
65.5%
Jet Toner 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:3334% → 35%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
66.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+49
66.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 49 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
64.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
64.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
63.4%
JJ Molson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-5
64.7%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3565% → 64%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
65.4%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
64.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 6 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
65.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+12
64.2%
Jake Bailey punt for 42 yds , Darren Andrews returns for 12 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:4737% → 46%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
63.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
62.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+48
62.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 48 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
60.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
54.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 12 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5157% → 54%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
56.5%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 7Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+3
56.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+6
54.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 6 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
54.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Darren Andrews at the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:3047% → 49%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
53.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 8 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+5
52.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+31
52.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 31 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
50.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 7 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
50.5%
UCLA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-6 Yards) to the Stanf 9Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
50.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 3 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
50.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
51.1%
JJ Molson 23 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Harrison PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5053% → 67%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.5%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
52.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+11
51.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
52.5%
Bryce Love run for 27 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
55.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+32
55.3%
Bryce Love run for 32 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3140% → 38%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
59.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
61.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
61.7%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 38 yds , Jay Tyler returns for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:4664% → 75%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
64.4%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
66.0%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 12
50
+20
64.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 20 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
66.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
66.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (David Bright) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+15
66.1%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Denzel Fisher) to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
75.4%
K.J. Costello run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0428% → 28%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
72.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
72.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso JamaboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3176% → 76%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
75.5%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
75.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 2 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+6
74.4%
K.J. Costello run for 6 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
76.4%
Jet Toner 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5924% → 38%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
76.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 13 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
75.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+24
73.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 9 yds to the STANFORD 42 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Alijah Holder) to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
74.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 15 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
74.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
74.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
62.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 3:1467% → 82%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
66.5%
Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+6
66.4%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+22
65.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 22 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+43
68.8%
Connor Wedington run for 43 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
71.5%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
82.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 15 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:3820% → 18%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
79.7%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the UCLA 13Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+7
80.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 7 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
80.6%
Josh Rosen sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 15 Josh Rosen fumbled, recovered by UCLA Breland Brandt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+27
81.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Christian Pabico for 27 yds Christian Pabico fumbled, recovered by Stanf Alameen MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:3183% → 94%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
83.0%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
83.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 6 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
82.8%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-5
82.5%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+9
82.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 9 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
84.4%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
84.6%
Bryce Love run for 9 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+5
84.8%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 1:267% → 18%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
93.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 8 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+5
93.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
93.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+22
93.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 22 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
93.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
93.4%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jordan Perez) to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
81.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 39 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22TD
17 plays · 72 yds · 6:0885% → 97%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
85.2%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+12
84.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 12 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
84.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
86.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
86.8%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
87.6%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Stanf 41 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 13
OWN 49
0
87.2%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+2
87.0%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+5
86.6%
UCLA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+15
87.2%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Darnay Holmes) to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
88.0%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+30
87.9%
Bryce Love run for 30 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
88.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (A.T. Hall) to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
88.5%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
88.5%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.6%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:454% → 14%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso JamaboSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+13
96.3%
Josh Rosen run for 13 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
96.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+6
95.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 6 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+14
96.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 14 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
86.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 15 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:4791% → 97%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
90.8%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+69
97.3%
Bryce Love run for 69 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:213% → 2%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
97.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 6 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+6
97.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 6 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
97.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 32 yds to the STANFORD 38 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Scott Quessenberry) to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
97.7%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Ben Edwards return for 10 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:5598% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+62
97.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for 62 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
99.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
99.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 2 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+21
99.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 21 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
99.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 21 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.5%
Josh Rosen run for 7 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+13
99.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 13 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-5
99.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:51
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q3 0:19
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 39 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q2 3:35
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com