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FRES

Fresno State 16 at Washington 48

WASH
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:00 · Blake Cusick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+39.6Home team on offense+22.0Score differential+15.4Blowout margin+7.7Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:48: Myles Gaskin run for 28 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:34: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 7:11: Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino PAT MISSED) — WASH win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:59: Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 6 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK) — WASH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:58: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 73 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK) — WASH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 12:33FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 36, down 20
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:46FRES 4th & 5 at WASH 31, down 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:00FRES 4th & 1 at midfield, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:46WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 18, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:31FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 38, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:42FRES 4th & 7 at WASH 12, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:28FRES 4th & 6 at WASH 17, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:14WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 21, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:38FRES 4th & 14 at WASH 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:27WASH 4th & 3 at FRES 3, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:11FRES 4th & 10 at WASH 24, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:50WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 35, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:48WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:34WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:11WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:07WASH Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:59FRES Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:09WASH Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:58WASH Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:072% → 2%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
97.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
97.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
97.8%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+4
97.8%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+5
97.7%
Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 5 yds to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:2098% → 98%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+36
97.7%
Dante Pettis pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 36 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
97.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
97.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
97.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 28 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:002% → 3%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.6%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+4
97.5%
Blake Cusick punt for 50 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 4 yds to the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:4698% → 98%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
97.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 17 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+50
97.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 50 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 4Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
97.4%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 8 FRESNO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the FrsSt 4Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
97.6%
Chason Virgil pass intercepted Tevis Bartlett return for 24 yds to the FrsSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:362% → 1%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-10
98.0%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 19
OWN 20
+16
98.0%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 16 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+77
98.6%
Blake Cusick punt for 41 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 77 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 3:541% → 1%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+18
98.7%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 18 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+5
98.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
98.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.6%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Josh Hokit for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
98.6%
Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.7%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
98.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-4
98.7%
Chason Virgil run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
98.8%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
98.6%
Jimmy Camacho 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
98.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 10 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Quinten Pounds run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.9%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY FRESNOST pass interference 15 yards to the FRESNOST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
98.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 13 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
99.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 20 yds to the FrsSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:411% → 1%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+19
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Jared Rice for 19 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Derrion Grim for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 1
50
0
99.4%
Blake Cusick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4598% → 99%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+2
99.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 2 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+6
99.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
99.3%
Joel Whitford punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:411% → 0%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
50
0
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
50
+12
99.3%
Josh Hokit run for 12 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.5%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+8
99.6%
Chason Virgil run for 8 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.6%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
99.6%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+14
99.6%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Jordan Mims for 14 yds to the Wash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 6 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 15 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 8 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 6 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+7
99.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 7 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+11
99.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 11 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
99.6%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+73
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 73 yds for a TD, (Van Soderberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 26 Myles Gaskin fumbled, recovered by FrsStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
99.7%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 11 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.7%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
99.6%
Jimmy Camacho 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:17100% → 100%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Will Dissly for 9 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
99.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by George Helmuth for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 40 K.J. Carta-Samuels fumbled, recovered by FrsStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 19 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wash 12Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 1
OPP 12
-5
99.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
99.8%
Jimmy Camacho 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-1
99.8%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Quinten Pounds for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+6
99.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 48 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 6 yds to the Wash 27 WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22FG
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:250% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Josh Hokit for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+23
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 23 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 9 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+8
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 8 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Jimmy Camacho 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:57100% → 100%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Jacob Kizer for 9 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
Carta-Samuels, K.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY FRESNOST personal foul 15 yards to the FRESNOST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+13
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 13 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:090% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+10
99.9%
Josh Hokit run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+16
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 16 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 21 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for no gain to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 10
OPP 24
-7
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 31 Marcus McMaryion fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Daniel Bridge-Gadd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 7:11
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino PAT MISSED)
+0.5
TD · Q1 7:34
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 10:48
Myles Gaskin run for 28 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com